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Algebra Global Fund

Equity · Stocks · Started Aug 2020

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
18.4%
Max Drawdown
43.7%
Trades
358
Win Trades
69.3%
Profit Factor
1.10
Win Months
14.9%

About this strategy

*Actively managed strategy based on a proven authors trading system;
*Indices, currencies, stocks, futures - country & instrument (with min correlation) diversification;
*Significant volatility but mathematically optimal combination of risk and reward;
*Working timeframes - day, week;
*No Martingale, miracles, and crazy trades;
*Min leverage;
*This strategy is not a "magic system" that make 200% in a month and then disappear. This is a professional and painstaking hedge fund job. Long-term copy only. Better from 6 month;
*CONTINUOUSLY FOLLOWING THE STRATEGY MULTIPLIES THE CHANCES OF SUCCESS!

Non-hedged Equity

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2020-0.812.44.339.23.467.5
20213.52.6-0.51.35.2-2.35.25.5-9.412.3-10.9-2.67.9
2022-4.0-36.80.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-39.3
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began8/28/2020
Suggested Minimum Capital$50,000
Age74 months
What it tradesStocks, Futures
# Trades358
# Profitable248
% Profitable69.3%
Avg trade duration7.1 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown43.6%
drawdown periodNov 16, 2021 - Feb 23, 2022
Annual Return (Compounded)18.4%
Avg win$523
Avg loss$1,103

Ratios

W:L ratio1.09
Sharpe Ratio0.08
Sortino Ratio0.10
Calmar Ratio0.22

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.14
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life121.3%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)8.4%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)18.4%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.2%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)3.3%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity108.4%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.8%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.1%
Percent Trades Futures0.2%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.7%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss70.5%
Chance of 20% account loss43.5%
Chance of 30% account loss24.0%
Chance of 40% account loss6.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.5%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.2%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)718
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)380

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$1,103
Avg Win$523
# Winners248
Sum Trade PL (losers)$121,308
Sum Trade PL (winners)$129,583
Num Months Winners11
# Losers110
% Winners69.3%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct2493

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table74

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)10211.67
Avg Position Time (hrs)170.19
Avg Trade Length7.10
Last Trade Ago1670

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)1.44
Daily leverage (max)5

Regression

Alpha0
Beta0.18
Treynor Index0.03

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.15
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.02
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades110.98
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.06
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.59
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.39
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.01

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.48
SD0.42
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.14
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.09
df16
t1.36
p0.34
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.57
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.82
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.60
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.78
Sortino ratio2.94
Upside Potential Ratio4.34
Upside part of mean0.71
Downside part of mean-0.23
Upside SD0.40
Downside SD0.16
N nonnegative terms12
N negative terms5
N of observations17
Mean of predictor0.17
Mean of criterion0.48
SD of predictor0.15
SD of criterion0.42
Covariance0.04
r0.64
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.80
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.17
Mean Square Error0.11
DF error15
t(b)3.20
p(b)0.12
t(a)0.57
p(a)0.41
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.60
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta3.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.47
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.81
Treynor index (mean / b)0.27
Jensen alpha (a)0.17
Mean0.40
SD0.38
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.06
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.01
df16
t1.26
p0.35
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.64
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.73
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.67
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.69
Sortino ratio2.29
Upside Potential Ratio3.68
Upside part of mean0.65
Downside part of mean-0.25
Upside SD0.34
Downside SD0.18
N nonnegative terms12
N negative terms5
N of observations17
Mean of predictor0.16
Mean of criterion0.40
SD of predictor0.15
SD of criterion0.38
Covariance0.04
r0.64
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.65
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.14
Mean Square Error0.09
DF error15
t(b)3.21
p(b)0.12
t(a)0.51
p(a)0.42
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.55
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.74
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.43
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.70
Treynor index (mean / b)0.24
Jensen alpha (a)0.14
VaR(95%)0.14
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.17
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.07
Mean0.28
SD0.40
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.71
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.71
df386
t0.86
p0.19
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.91
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.32
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.91
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.32
Sortino ratio1.02
Upside Potential Ratio7.63
Upside part of mean2.12
Downside part of mean-1.84
Upside SD0.29
Downside SD0.28
N nonnegative terms196
N negative terms191
N of observations387
Mean of predictor0.11
Mean of criterion0.28
SD of predictor0.15
SD of criterion0.40
Covariance0.02
r0.31
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.80
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.07
Mean Square Error0.15
DF error385
t(b)6.32
p(b)0
t(a)0.62
p(a)0.27
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.55
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.05
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.42
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.81
Treynor index (mean / b)0.35
Jensen alpha (a)0.20
Mean0.20
SD0.40
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.50
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.50
df386
t0.61
p0.27
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.11
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.12
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.11
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.12
Sortino ratio0.70
Upside Potential Ratio7.21
Upside part of mean2.08
Downside part of mean-1.88
Upside SD0.28
Downside SD0.29
N nonnegative terms196
N negative terms191
N of observations387
Mean of predictor0.10
Mean of criterion0.20
SD of predictor0.15
SD of criterion0.40
Covariance0.02
r0.31
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.82
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.12
Mean Square Error0.15
DF error385
t(b)6.43
p(b)0
t(a)0.39
p(a)0.35
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.57
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.06
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.50
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.74
Treynor index (mean / b)0.25
Jensen alpha (a)0.12
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.05
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
Mean-0.77
SD0.54
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-1.42
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-1.41
df130
t-1.00
p0.54
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-4.20
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.36
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-4.19
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.36
Sortino ratio-1.88
Upside Potential Ratio6.92
Upside part of mean2.83
Downside part of mean-3.60
Upside SD0.36
Downside SD0.41
N nonnegative terms57
N negative terms74
N of observations131
Mean of predictor-0.14
Mean of criterion-0.77
SD of predictor0.16
SD of criterion0.54
Covariance0.04
r0.45
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.56
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.55
Mean Square Error0.24
DF error129
t(b)5.77
p(b)0.22
t(a)-0.80
p(a)0.54
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.10
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.91
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.81
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.49
Jensen alpha (a)-0.55
Mean-0.92
SD0.55
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-1.68
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-1.67
df130
t-1.19
p0.55
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-4.46
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.10
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-4.45
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.10
Sortino ratio-2.18
Upside Potential Ratio6.55
Upside part of mean2.77
Downside part of mean-3.68
Upside SD0.35
Downside SD0.42
N nonnegative terms57
N negative terms74
N of observations131
Mean of predictor-0.15
Mean of criterion-0.92
SD of predictor0.16
SD of criterion0.55
Covariance0.04
r0.46
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.58
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.68
Mean Square Error0.24
DF error129
t(b)5.81
p(b)0.22
t(a)-0.98
p(a)0.55
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.04
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.12
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-2.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.69
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.58
Jensen alpha (a)-0.68
VaR(95%)0.06
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.07
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.06

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations17
Minimum0.85
Quartile 11.00
Median1.03
Quartile 31.05
Maximum1.42
Mean of quarter 10.94
Mean of quarter 21.03
Mean of quarter 31.04
Mean of quarter 41.19
Inter Quartile Range0.06
Number outliers low2
Percentage of outliers low0.12
Mean of outliers low0.87
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.12
Mean of outliers high1.29
Extreme Value Index (moments method)1.47
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.06
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.08
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations387
Minimum0.86
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.10
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.03
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low23
Percentage of outliers low0.06
Mean of outliers low0.94
Number of outliers high27
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high1.06
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.46
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.05
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.33
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.04
Number of observations131
Minimum0.90
Quartile 10.98
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.09
Mean of quarter 10.96
Mean of quarter 20.99
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.04
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low4
Percentage of outliers low0.03
Mean of outliers low0.91
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.02
Mean of outliers high1.08
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.34
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.08
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.15
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.06

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations4
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.06
Quartile 30.12
Maximum0.16
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.11
Mean of quarter 40.16
Inter Quartile Range0.12
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations28
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.05
Maximum0.40
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.03
Mean of quarter 40.15
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.11
Mean of outliers high0.26
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.57
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.17
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.42
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.34
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.18
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations3
Minimum0.06
Quartile 10.10
Median0.14
Quartile 30.27
Maximum0.40
Mean of quarter 10.06
Mean of quarter 20.14
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.40
Inter Quartile Range0.17
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-314281088
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)99
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.59
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.54
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)3.43
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs3.43
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal3.08
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.28
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.26
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.64
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.72
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal5.28
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.72
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.59
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-1.46
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-1.46
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-8.38

Trading record

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
RSX long4000Feb 22, 2022Feb 24, 2022($11,548)
COIN long400Feb 18, 2022Feb 24, 2022($7,435)
KWEB long3200Jan 28, 2022Feb 23, 2022$19
RSX long2100Feb 18, 2022Feb 22, 2022($5,486)
RSX short2100Feb 18, 2022Feb 18, 2022$562
COIN short289Feb 18, 2022Feb 18, 2022($81)
COIN long289Jan 28, 2022Feb 18, 2022$4,080
RSX long2100Jan 25, 2022Feb 18, 2022$3,232
KWEB long3500Jan 24, 2022Jan 28, 2022($8,860)
RSX long2500Jan 6, 2022Jan 24, 2022($9,296)
KWEB long3500Dec 15, 2021Jan 24, 2022($3,312)
BA long255Nov 10, 2021Jan 4, 2022($2,683)
RSX long1375Dec 14, 2021Jan 4, 2022($459)
SLV long2446Dec 21, 2021Dec 29, 2021$93
SLV long2446Nov 11, 2021Dec 20, 2021($4,193)
KWEB long1179Nov 4, 2021Dec 14, 2021($9,120)
UNG short2826Oct 25, 2021Nov 11, 2021$5,800
BNO short1465Oct 18, 2021Nov 10, 2021($386)
RSX short1143Nov 3, 2021Nov 10, 2021($862)
RSX short917Oct 27, 2021Nov 2, 2021$589
KWEB long1500Oct 18, 2021Nov 2, 2021($3,155)
SLV long2232Sep 9, 2021Oct 25, 2021$441
KWEB long1500Sep 8, 2021Oct 14, 2021($3,210)
GDX long1620Sep 21, 2021Oct 14, 2021$3,154
UNG short2553Sep 15, 2021Sep 21, 2021$5,203
GDX long1600Sep 20, 2021Sep 20, 2021$411
@M2K Z1long9Sep 9, 2021Sep 15, 2021($121)
@MES Z1short3Sep 8, 2021Sep 8, 2021($27)
KWEB long1910Sep 7, 2021Sep 7, 2021$243
GBP/NZD long60Sep 6, 2021Sep 7, 2021$22

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.