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Algebra Crypto Fund

Equity · Stocks · Started Nov 2020

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
34.1%
Max Drawdown
23.2%
Trades
163
Win Trades
62.6%
Profit Factor
1.60
Win Months
12.7%

About this strategy

*Russia is not an easy country with its own political and economic risks. But knowing and understanding these risks as well as the prospects for the development of individual enterprises can bring you excellent income!
*I have been working on the Russian stock market since 1995 and, using my experience, I want to introduce you an actively managed strategy based on the best and most promising companies (ADR) of the Russian economy. Classic value investing backed by technical analysis and a proven trading system;
*Min leverage;
*Shorts allowed;
*Due to the small number of Russian ADRs, the Fund also operates with commodities (futures, ETFs) as the basis of the Russian economy, and US dollar Index;
*This strategy is not a "magic system" that make 200% in a month and then disappear. This is a professional and painstaking hedge fund job. Long-term copy only. Better from 6 month;
*CONTINUOUSLY FOLLOWING THE STRATEGY MULTIPLIES THE CHANCES OF SUCCESS!

Non-hedged Equity

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
202017.211.430.6
2021-0.31.54.21.63.9-1.74.8-1.41.99.1-11.2-3.57.6
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began11/2/2020
Suggested Minimum Capital$25,000
Age72 months
What it tradesStocks
# Trades163
# Profitable102
% Profitable62.6%
Avg trade duration5.8 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown23.2%
drawdown periodNov 10, 2021 - Dec 20, 2021
Annual Return (Compounded)34.1%
Avg win$393
Avg loss$423

Ratios

W:L ratio1.61
Sharpe Ratio0.37
Sortino Ratio0.56
Calmar Ratio1.80

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.07
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life132.8%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-0.5%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)34.1%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.3%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)8.6%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity23.5%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.8%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss12.0%
Chance of 20% account loss2.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.5%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)656
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)915
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)733

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$423
Avg Win$393
# Winners102
Sum Trade PL (losers)$25,788
Sum Trade PL (winners)$40,038
Num Months Winners9
# Losers61
% Winners62.6%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct1523

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table71

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)8308.38
Avg Position Time (hrs)138.47
Avg Trade Length5.80
Last Trade Ago1735

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)1.15
Daily leverage (max)3.03

Regression

Alpha0.01
Beta0.04
Treynor Index0.30

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.11
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.02
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades4.05
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.07
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.42
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.25
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.25

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.48
SD0.27
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.78
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.66
df12
t1.85
p0.26
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.27
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.75
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.33
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.66
Sortino ratio5.15
Upside Potential Ratio6.50
Upside part of mean0.61
Downside part of mean-0.13
Upside SD0.28
Downside SD0.09
N nonnegative terms9
N negative terms4
N of observations13
Mean of predictor0.31
Mean of criterion0.48
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.27
Covariance0.02
r0.62
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.28
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.09
Mean Square Error0.05
DF error11
t(b)2.60
p(b)0.01
t(a)0.36
p(a)0.36
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.20
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.36
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.48
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.67
Treynor index (mean / b)0.38
Jensen alpha (a)0.09
Mean0.44
SD0.25
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.75
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.64
df12
t1.82
p0.27
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.29
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.72
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.36
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.63
Sortino ratio4.52
Upside Potential Ratio5.86
Upside part of mean0.58
Downside part of mean-0.13
Upside SD0.26
Downside SD0.10
N nonnegative terms9
N negative terms4
N of observations13
Mean of predictor0.29
Mean of criterion0.44
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.25
Covariance0.02
r0.59
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.18
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.10
Mean Square Error0.05
DF error11
t(b)2.43
p(b)0.02
t(a)0.39
p(a)0.35
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.11
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.25
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.45
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.65
Treynor index (mean / b)0.38
Jensen alpha (a)0.10
VaR(95%)0.08
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.11
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
Mean0.40
SD0.22
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.83
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.83
df294
t1.95
p0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.69
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.02
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.68
Sortino ratio2.90
Upside Potential Ratio9.88
Upside part of mean1.36
Downside part of mean-0.96
Upside SD0.17
Downside SD0.14
N nonnegative terms154
N negative terms141
N of observations295
Mean of predictor0.28
Mean of criterion0.40
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.22
Covariance0.00
r0.15
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.25
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.27
Mean Square Error0.05
DF error293
t(b)2.59
p(b)0.01
t(a)1.61
p(a)0.05
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.73
Treynor index (mean / b)1.62
Jensen alpha (a)0.33
Mean0.38
SD0.22
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.73
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.72
df294
t1.83
p0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.13
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.58
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.13
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.58
Sortino ratio2.68
Upside Potential Ratio9.60
Upside part of mean1.35
Downside part of mean-0.97
Upside SD0.17
Downside SD0.14
N nonnegative terms154
N negative terms141
N of observations295
Mean of predictor0.27
Mean of criterion0.38
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.22
Covariance0.00
r0.15
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.25
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.31
Mean Square Error0.05
DF error293
t(b)2.59
p(b)0.01
t(a)1.51
p(a)0.07
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.71
Treynor index (mean / b)1.52
Jensen alpha (a)0.31
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
Mean0.02
SD0.25
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.06
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.06
df130
t0.05
p0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.71
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.84
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.71
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.84
Sortino ratio0.09
Upside Potential Ratio7.16
Upside part of mean1.27
Downside part of mean-1.26
Upside SD0.17
Downside SD0.18
N nonnegative terms64
N negative terms67
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.16
Mean of criterion0.02
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.25
Covariance0.00
r0.11
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.21
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.02
Mean Square Error0.06
DF error129
t(b)1.22
p(b)0.43
t(a)-0.05
p(a)0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.13
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.56
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.71
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.67
Treynor index (mean / b)0.08
Jensen alpha (a)-0.02
Mean-0.01
SD0.25
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.06
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.06
df130
t-0.04
p0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.83
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.71
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.83
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.71
Sortino ratio-0.08
Upside Potential Ratio6.93
Upside part of mean1.26
Downside part of mean-1.27
Upside SD0.17
Downside SD0.18
N nonnegative terms64
N negative terms67
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.15
Mean of criterion-0.01
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.25
Covariance0.00
r0.11
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.22
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.05
Mean Square Error0.06
DF error129
t(b)1.28
p(b)0.43
t(a)-0.14
p(a)0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.12
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.57
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.74
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.65
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.06
Jensen alpha (a)-0.05
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations13
Minimum0.91
Quartile 11.00
Median1.05
Quartile 31.06
Maximum1.25
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 21.04
Mean of quarter 31.05
Mean of quarter 41.14
Inter Quartile Range0.06
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.08
Mean of outliers high1.25
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.24
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.06
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.07
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations295
Minimum0.94
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.07
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low13
Percentage of outliers low0.04
Mean of outliers low0.97
Number of outliers high14
Percentage of outliers high0.05
Mean of outliers high1.04
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.26
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.21
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02
Number of observations131
Minimum0.94
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.07
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low7
Percentage of outliers low0.05
Mean of outliers low0.96
Number of outliers high4
Percentage of outliers high0.03
Mean of outliers high1.04
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.43
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.03
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.36
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.03

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations4
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.02
Quartile 30.04
Maximum0.09
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.09
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.25
Mean of outliers high0.09
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations25
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.02
Quartile 30.04
Maximum0.20
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.03
Mean of quarter 40.07
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.04
Mean of outliers high0.20
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.62
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.08
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.20
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.53
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.08
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations13
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.03
Maximum0.20
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.10
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.08
Mean of outliers high0.20
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.57
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.10
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.26
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.85
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.17
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-294045440
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)40
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.62
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.60
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)6.60
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs6.60
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal5.60
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.51
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.50
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)2.54
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs6.94
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal19.18
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.01
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.01
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.07
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.14
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0.44

Trading record

Placed 48 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
SLV long1700Dec 21, 2021Dec 22, 2021($56)
RSX long1650Dec 21, 2021Dec 22, 2021$71
SBRCY long1263Nov 17, 2021Dec 21, 2021($3,692)
SLV long1700Dec 15, 2021Dec 21, 2021$913
RSX long1000Dec 14, 2021Dec 20, 2021($1,365)
SLV long1888Nov 11, 2021Dec 14, 2021($3,274)
NILSY long774Nov 10, 2021Dec 7, 2021($1,274)
BNO short1136Nov 11, 2021Nov 15, 2021$268
UNG short1376Oct 25, 2021Nov 11, 2021$2,759
BNO short626Oct 18, 2021Nov 10, 2021($174)
RSX short476Nov 3, 2021Nov 10, 2021($381)
RSX short673Oct 27, 2021Nov 2, 2021$432
NILSY long1200Oct 19, 2021Oct 27, 2021($2,045)
SLV long1323Sep 7, 2021Oct 25, 2021$666
RSX long1628Oct 5, 2021Oct 14, 2021$1,595
RSX long667Sep 29, 2021Oct 4, 2021$382
RSX long1400Sep 21, 2021Sep 23, 2021$464
UNG short1052Sep 15, 2021Sep 21, 2021$2,246
RSX long2004Sep 8, 2021Sep 15, 2021$852
RSX long1400Sep 2, 2021Sep 3, 2021$275
RSX short1400Aug 26, 2021Sep 2, 2021($1,895)
NILSY long647Aug 24, 2021Aug 26, 2021($277)
SLV long924Aug 19, 2021Aug 26, 2021$244
RSX short712Aug 19, 2021Aug 24, 2021($219)
RSX short712Aug 3, 2021Aug 19, 2021$88
UNG short1481Aug 17, 2021Aug 19, 2021$321
SLV long926Aug 12, 2021Aug 17, 2021$430
RSX long2121Jul 27, 2021Aug 3, 2021$834
RSX long1872Jul 20, 2021Jul 26, 2021$714
RSX short685Jul 19, 2021Jul 19, 2021$16

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.