Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

ATIndex

Futures · Started Jul 2005

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
1.8%
Max Drawdown
38.2%
Trades
209
Win Trades
94.3%
Profit Factor
2.30
Win Months
4.3%

About this strategy

Please read before subscribing

ATIndex was formally ATDow which traded soley the YM untill 9/22/06. In a continued effort to make improvements we have made the following changes: -

We have added additional intruments that can be traded i.e. YM, ES and ER2. This will generate a greater number of trades per month and hopefully higher profits.

ATDow used to hold some trades overnight, now all trades are closed automatically at 16:10 EST at the very latest. Because intraday margins are usually 50% of overnight margins, this will enable you to use a higher leverage and allow you to trade with a lower amount of capital.

This should also lower the maximum drawdowns but will probably lower the win% slightly.

The subscription fee has been changed to pay if profitable as we do not think that you should be charged for a losing period.

I will be trading 1 contract for every $30,000 in the account and may have a maximum of 4 open positions at any one time.

The number of subscriptions is limited and once full if you would still like to trade the system tel USA (01) 703 8225961.

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2005-0.4-12.835.36.55.4-5.025.4
200615.71.64.47.52.15.13.33.9-1.1-0.0-14.5-8.417.7
2007-2.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-2.0
20080.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20090.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-0.00.00.0-0.0
20100.00.00.00.00.00.0-0.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20110.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20120.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20130.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20140.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20150.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20160.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20170.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20180.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20190.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began7/24/2005
Suggested Minimum Capital$100,000
Age257 months
What it tradesFutures
# Trades209
# Profitable197
% Profitable94.3%
Avg trade duration9.0 hours
Max peak-to-valley drawdown38.2%
drawdown periodAug 03, 2005 - Aug 29, 2005
Annual Return (Compounded)1.8%
Avg win$741
Avg loss$5,349

Ratios

W:L ratio2.27
Sharpe Ratio0.03
Sortino Ratio0.04
Calmar Ratio-0.01

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.03
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life519.1%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-476.0%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)1.8%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)2.9%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity33.0%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.9%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss100.0%
Chance of 40% account loss13.3%
Chance of 50% account loss6.7%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$5,349
Avg Win$741
# Winners197
Sum Trade PL (losers)$64,185
Sum Trade PL (winners)$145,890
Num Months Winners15
# Losers12
% Winners94.3%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table255

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)540.57
Avg Position Time (hrs)9.01
Avg Trade Length0.40
Last Trade Ago7190

Regression

Alpha0
Beta0.02
Treynor Index0.09

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.02
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.07
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades11.11
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)3.01
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats82.06
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats66.67
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades2.75
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.81
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.09

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.03
SD0.23
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.11
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.11
df90
t0.31
p0.38
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.60
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.82
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.60
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.82
Sortino ratio0.13
Upside Potential Ratio0.60
Upside part of mean0.12
Downside part of mean-0.09
Upside SD0.11
Downside SD0.19
N nonnegative terms86
N negative terms5
N of observations91
Mean of predictor0.19
Mean of criterion0.03
SD of predictor0.27
SD of criterion0.23
Covariance0.01
r0.12
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.10
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.01
Mean Square Error0.05
DF error89
t(b)1.11
p(b)0.14
t(a)0.08
p(a)0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.08
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.27
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.16
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.17
Treynor index (mean / b)0.26
Jensen alpha (a)0.01
Mean-0.01
SD0.29
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.03
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.03
df90
t-0.09
p0.53
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.74
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.68
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.74
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.68
Sortino ratio-0.03
Upside Potential Ratio0.42
Upside part of mean0.11
Downside part of mean-0.12
Upside SD0.11
Downside SD0.26
N nonnegative terms86
N negative terms5
N of observations91
Mean of predictor0.15
Mean of criterion-0.01
SD of predictor0.27
SD of criterion0.29
Covariance0.01
r0.15
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.16
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0.08
DF error89
t(b)1.41
p(b)0.08
t(a)-0.32
p(a)0.62
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.38
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.24
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.17
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.06
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.13
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.16
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean0.08
SD0.42
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.19
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.19
df1997
t0.53
p0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.52
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.90
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.52
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.90
Sortino ratio0.29
Upside Potential Ratio1.98
Upside part of mean0.55
Downside part of mean-0.47
Upside SD0.32
Downside SD0.28
N nonnegative terms1898
N negative terms100
N of observations1998
Mean of predictor0.27
Mean of criterion0.08
SD of predictor0.51
SD of criterion0.42
Covariance0.05
r0.25
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.21
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.03
Mean Square Error0.17
DF error1996
t(b)11.50
p(b)0.38
t(a)0.17
p(a)0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.17
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.24
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.26
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.31
Treynor index (mean / b)0.39
Jensen alpha (a)0.03
Mean-0.01
SD0.43
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.02
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.02
df1997
t-0.06
p0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.73
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.69
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.73
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.69
Sortino ratio-0.03
Upside Potential Ratio1.52
Upside part of mean0.51
Downside part of mean-0.52
Upside SD0.27
Downside SD0.33
N nonnegative terms1898
N negative terms100
N of observations1998
Mean of predictor0.14
Mean of criterion-0.01
SD of predictor0.51
SD of criterion0.43
Covariance0.05
r0.25
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.21
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.04
Mean Square Error0.17
DF error1996
t(b)11.57
p(b)0.37
t(a)-0.26
p(a)0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.18
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.25
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.34
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.26
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.04
Jensen alpha (a)-0.04
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.05
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
Mean0
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms131
N negative terms0
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.02
Mean of criterion0
SD of predictor0.57
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean0
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms131
N negative terms0
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.86
Mean of criterion0
SD of predictor0.58
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations91
Minimum0.49
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.23
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.04
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low5
Percentage of outliers low0.05
Mean of outliers low0.86
Number of outliers high15
Percentage of outliers high0.16
Mean of outliers high1.06
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.63
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.00
Extreme Value Index (regression method)2.37
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations1998
Minimum0.55
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.53
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low100
Percentage of outliers low0.05
Mean of outliers low0.96
Number of outliers high203
Percentage of outliers high0.10
Mean of outliers high1.02
Extreme Value Index (moments method)1.19
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.65
VaR(95%) (regression method)-0.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations2
Minimum0.18
Quartile 10.26
Median0.34
Quartile 30.42
Maximum0.51
Mean of quarter 10.18
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.51
Inter Quartile Range0.16
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations12
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.03
Quartile 30.07
Maximum0.66
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.02
Mean of quarter 30.05
Mean of quarter 40.32
Inter Quartile Range0.07
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.17
Mean of outliers high0.43
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.01
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.27
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.40
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.67
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.65
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-401172512
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)26
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.01
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.01
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.02
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.02
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-0.06
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.01
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.01
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.01
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.03
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-0.17
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 484 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
ER2 H7long12Jan 5, 2007Jan 5, 2007($3,276)
YM H7long6Jan 5, 2007Jan 5, 2007$492
YM H7long6Dec 22, 2006Dec 22, 2006$372
ER2 H7long6Dec 22, 2006Dec 22, 2006$1,212
ER2 H7long18Dec 18, 2006Dec 18, 2006($13,044)
ER2 H7long24Dec 15, 2006Dec 15, 2006($2,472)
ER2 H7short12Dec 14, 2006Dec 14, 2006($216)
ER2 H7long6Dec 13, 2006Dec 13, 2006$432
ER2 H7long18Dec 12, 2006Dec 12, 2006$516
ER2 H7long6Dec 12, 2006Dec 12, 2006$552
ER2 H7long6Dec 11, 2006Dec 11, 2006$912
ER2 H7long24Dec 8, 2006Dec 8, 2006$1,668
ER2 H7long18Dec 7, 2006Dec 7, 2006$936
ER2 Z6long6Dec 6, 2006Dec 6, 2006($228)
ER2 Z6long12Dec 6, 2006Dec 6, 2006$1,524
ER2 Z6long6Dec 5, 2006Dec 5, 2006$732
ER2 Z6short18Dec 4, 2006Dec 4, 2006($4,764)
ER2 Z6long24Dec 1, 2006Dec 1, 2006($1,632)
ER2 Z6long6Nov 30, 2006Nov 30, 2006$312
ER2 Z6long6Nov 30, 2006Nov 30, 2006$372
ER2 Z6long6Nov 30, 2006Nov 30, 2006$432
ER2 Z6long24Nov 29, 2006Nov 29, 2006$3,168
ER2 Z6long6Nov 29, 2006Nov 29, 2006$372
ER2 Z6long6Nov 28, 2006Nov 28, 2006$792
ER2 Z6long12Nov 28, 2006Nov 28, 2006$1,164
ER2 Z6long28Nov 27, 2006Nov 27, 2006($32,424)
ER2 Z6long7Nov 24, 2006Nov 24, 2006$364
YM Z6short112Sep 12, 2006Sep 22, 2006($3,536)
YM Z6short8Sep 11, 2006Sep 11, 2006$296
YM Z6long8Sep 11, 2006Sep 11, 2006$296

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.