Athena II - Futures
- hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
- 0.0%
- Max Drawdown
- 100.0%
- Trades
- 534
- Win Trades
- 62.0%
- Profit Factor
- 1
- Win Months
- 1.6%
About this strategy
Order Size - Round 10, 20, 40 lots, based on subscriber feedback - Tradebullet subscribers can use scaling factor percentage settings (use only 10% or 20%, of Athena IIs lot size).
Contracts - CBOT mini-size Dow and CME E-mini S&P 500 instruments (less frequently: CME E-mini Nasdaq-100 Futures). Known on Collective2 as @YMXX, @ESXX, and @NQXX.
This system does not release stops to subscribers. Positions are monitored fully by the system.
This system attempts to capture intra-day swings/legs - not precision in/out scalping, therefore average length trades held: 4 hours - overnight.
Athena II is cyclical in nature, meaning at times up to 10 traders per day are made. The opposite end of this spectrum is to have only two or three trades occur during a week (rare). I keep subscribers aware of any changes in trading frequencies.
If feedback overwhelmingly shows that overnight trades are less desirable by subscribers, Athena II will be split into two systems: a day trading system only (RTH only, no overnight positions) and the original system.
I trade this system on my personal accounts. Although it is a fully automated process, I do not wish to relinquish that much control to any automated process Therefore when trades are on, I am also actively involved in monitoring how and when trade signals are sent to Collective2.
Broadcasts are sent to keep subscribers aware of how open positions are being managed, based on the current system structure. Specifically for positions that are being held overnight. What is an example broadcast message? For example, at the end of the day, if it is anticipated that a closing order could occur overnight or no further orders will occur until the open.
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005 | 10.4 | 21.2 | 33.9 | ||||||||||
| 2006 | 13.9 | -5.4 | 73.8 | -34.2 | -76.4 | -124.7 | -63.8 | -40.7 | -11.2 | -82.1 | -5062.2 | 0.0 | -157.4 |
| 2007 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2008 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2009 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2010 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2011 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2012 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2013 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2014 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2015 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2016 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2017 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2018 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2019 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||
| 2020 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2021 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2022 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2023 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2024 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2025 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2026 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Statistics
Overview
| Strategy began | 11/7/2005 |
|---|---|
| Suggested Minimum Capital | $100,000 |
| Age | 254 months |
| What it trades | Futures |
| # Trades | 534 |
| # Profitable | 331 |
| % Profitable | 62.0% |
| Avg trade duration | 21.4 hours |
| Max peak-to-valley drawdown | 100.0% |
| drawdown period | Aug 18, 2006 - Nov 07, 2006 |
| Annual Return (Compounded) | 0.0% |
| Avg win | $3,498 |
| Avg loss | $5,671 |
Ratios
| W:L ratio | 1.01 |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.19 |
| Sortino Ratio | -0.33 |
| Calmar Ratio | 0 |
CORRELATION STATISTICS
| Correlation to SP500 | 0.12 |
|---|---|
| Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life | 523.5% |
| Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu) | -703.0% |
Return Statistics
| Ann Return (w trading costs) | 0.0% |
|---|---|
| Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant) | 0.0% |
| Return Pcnt Since TOS Status | 0.0% |
| Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees) | 0.3% |
Slump
| Current Slump as Pcnt Equity | — |
|---|---|
| Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life | 1.0% |
Instruments
| Percent Trades Forex | 0.0% |
|---|---|
| Percent Trades Futures | 1.0% |
| Percent Trades Options | 0.0% |
| Percent Trades Stocks | 0.0% |
Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
| Chance of 10% account loss | 100.0% |
|---|---|
| Chance of 20% account loss | 100.0% |
| Chance of 30% account loss | 100.0% |
| Chance of 40% account loss | 100.0% |
| Chance of 50% account loss | 100.0% |
| Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 100.0% |
| Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 100.0% |
| Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 100.0% |
| Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 100.0% |
| Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 100.0% |
Automation
| Percentage Signals Automated | 0.0% |
|---|
Popularity
| Popularity (Today) | 0 |
|---|---|
| Popularity (Last 6 weeks) | 0 |
| Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale) | 0 |
Trading Style
| Any stock shorts? 0/1 | 0 |
|---|
Trades-Own-System Certification
| Trades Own System? | 0 |
|---|---|
| TOS percent | 0.0% |
Win / Loss
| Avg Loss | $5,671 |
|---|---|
| Avg Win | $3,498 |
| # Winners | 331 |
| Sum Trade PL (losers) | $1,151,249 |
| Sum Trade PL (winners) | $1,157,928 |
| Num Months Winners | 4 |
| # Losers | 203 |
| % Winners | 62.0% |
Dividends
| Dividends Received in Model Acct | 0 |
|---|
Age
| Num Months filled monthly returns table | 8 |
|---|
Frequency
| Avg Position Time (mins) | 1283.77 |
|---|---|
| Avg Position Time (hrs) | 21.40 |
| Avg Trade Length | 0.90 |
| Last Trade Ago | 7247 |
Regression
| Alpha | 0 |
|---|---|
| Beta | 3.88 |
| Treynor Index | 0 |
Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)
| MAE:Equity, average, all trades | 0.13 |
|---|---|
| MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat | 0 |
| MAE:Equity, average, losing trades | 0.25 |
| MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat | — |
| MAE:Equity, average, winning trades | 0.06 |
| MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat | — |
| Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades | 150.43 |
| MAE:PL (avg, all trades) | 1.74 |
| MAE:PL (avg, losing trades) | — |
| MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats | 35.92 |
| MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats | 79.10 |
| MAE:PL (avg, winning trades) | — |
| MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy | — |
| Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades | 1.05 |
| Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades | -1.32 |
| Hold-and-Hope Ratio | 0.01 |
RATIO STATISTICS
| Mean | 0.07 |
|---|---|
| SD | 0.40 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 0.18 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 0.18 |
| df | 88 |
| t | 0.48 |
| p | 0.32 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -0.54 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0.90 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -0.54 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 0.90 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.33 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 1.11 |
| Upside part of mean | 0.24 |
| Downside part of mean | -0.17 |
| Upside SD | 0.34 |
| Downside SD | 0.21 |
| N nonnegative terms | 83 |
| N negative terms | 6 |
| N of observations | 89 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.18 |
| Mean of criterion | 0.07 |
| SD of predictor | 0.22 |
| SD of criterion | 0.40 |
| Covariance | -0.00 |
| r | -0.00 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | -0.01 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 0.07 |
| Mean Square Error | 0.16 |
| DF error | 87 |
| t(b) | -0.03 |
| p(b) | 0.51 |
| t(a) | 0.47 |
| p(a) | 0.32 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.40 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.39 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.23 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.37 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -14.12 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | 0.07 |
| Mean | 0 |
| SD | 0.37 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 0 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 0 |
| df | 88 |
| t | 0.00 |
| p | 0.50 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -0.72 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0.72 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -0.72 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 0.72 |
| Sortino ratio | 0 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 0.75 |
| Upside part of mean | 0.20 |
| Downside part of mean | -0.20 |
| Upside SD | 0.27 |
| Downside SD | 0.26 |
| N nonnegative terms | 83 |
| N negative terms | 6 |
| N of observations | 89 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.16 |
| Mean of criterion | 0 |
| SD of predictor | 0.22 |
| SD of criterion | 0.37 |
| Covariance | 0.00 |
| r | 0.01 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0.02 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.00 |
| Mean Square Error | 0.14 |
| DF error | 87 |
| t(b) | 0.11 |
| p(b) | 0.46 |
| t(a) | -0.02 |
| p(a) | 0.51 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.35 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.39 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.28 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.28 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | 0.00 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | -0.00 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.16 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.20 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.00 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.02 |
| Mean | 0.31 |
| SD | 0.79 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 0.39 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 0.39 |
| df | 1954 |
| t | 1.05 |
| p | 0.49 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -0.33 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 1.10 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -0.33 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 1.10 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.62 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 2.99 |
| Upside part of mean | 1.48 |
| Downside part of mean | -1.17 |
| Upside SD | 0.62 |
| Downside SD | 0.49 |
| N nonnegative terms | 1833 |
| N negative terms | 122 |
| N of observations | 1955 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.28 |
| Mean of criterion | 0.31 |
| SD of predictor | 0.53 |
| SD of criterion | 0.79 |
| Covariance | -0.00 |
| r | -0.01 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | -0.01 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 0.31 |
| Mean Square Error | 0.63 |
| DF error | 1953 |
| t(b) | -0.30 |
| p(b) | 0.50 |
| t(a) | 1.06 |
| p(a) | 0.48 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.08 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.06 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.26 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.88 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -29.87 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | 0.31 |
| Mean | 0 |
| SD | 0.79 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 0 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 0 |
| df | 1954 |
| t | 0 |
| p | 0.50 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -0.72 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0.72 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -0.72 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 0.72 |
| Sortino ratio | 0 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 2.18 |
| Upside part of mean | 1.33 |
| Downside part of mean | -1.33 |
| Upside SD | 0.50 |
| Downside SD | 0.61 |
| N nonnegative terms | 1833 |
| N negative terms | 122 |
| N of observations | 1955 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.13 |
| Mean of criterion | 0 |
| SD of predictor | 0.54 |
| SD of criterion | 0.79 |
| Covariance | -0.00 |
| r | -0.01 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | -0.01 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 0.00 |
| Mean Square Error | 0.63 |
| DF error | 1953 |
| t(b) | -0.31 |
| p(b) | 0.50 |
| t(a) | 0.00 |
| p(a) | 0.50 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.08 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.06 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.57 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.57 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -0.00 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | 0.00 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.08 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.10 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.00 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.01 |
| Mean | 0 |
| SD | 0 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 0 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 0 |
| df | 0 |
| t | 0 |
| p | 0 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 0 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 0 |
| Sortino ratio | 0 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 0 |
| Upside part of mean | 0 |
| Downside part of mean | 0 |
| Upside SD | 0 |
| Downside SD | 0 |
| N nonnegative terms | 131 |
| N negative terms | 0 |
| N of observations | 131 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.82 |
| Mean of criterion | 0 |
| SD of predictor | 0.67 |
| SD of criterion | 0 |
| Covariance | 0 |
| r | 0 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 0 |
| Mean Square Error | 0 |
| DF error | 0 |
| t(b) | 0 |
| p(b) | 0 |
| t(a) | 0 |
| p(a) | 0 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | 0 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | 0 |
| Mean | 0 |
| SD | 0 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 0 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 0 |
| df | 0 |
| t | 0 |
| p | 0 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 0 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 0 |
| Sortino ratio | 0 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 0 |
| Upside part of mean | 0 |
| Downside part of mean | 0 |
| Upside SD | 0 |
| Downside SD | 0 |
| N nonnegative terms | 131 |
| N negative terms | 0 |
| N of observations | 131 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.57 |
| Mean of criterion | 0 |
| SD of predictor | 0.72 |
| SD of criterion | 0 |
| Covariance | 0 |
| r | 0 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 0 |
| Mean Square Error | 0 |
| DF error | 0 |
| t(b) | 0 |
| p(b) | 0 |
| t(a) | 0 |
| p(a) | 0 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0 |
| VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl) | 0.08 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | 0 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0 |
| VaR(95%) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0 |
ORDER STATISTICS
| Number of observations | 89 |
|---|---|
| Minimum | 0.59 |
| Quartile 1 | 1 |
| Median | 1 |
| Quartile 3 | 1 |
| Maximum | 1.71 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.95 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1.08 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0 |
| Number outliers low | 6 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.07 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0.79 |
| Number of outliers high | 8 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.09 |
| Mean of outliers high | 1.22 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | -0.29 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.08 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0.21 |
| Number of observations | 1955 |
| Minimum | 0.48 |
| Quartile 1 | 1 |
| Median | 1 |
| Quartile 3 | 1 |
| Maximum | 2.06 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.98 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1.02 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0 |
| Number outliers low | 122 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.06 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0.93 |
| Number of outliers high | 138 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.07 |
| Mean of outliers high | 1.08 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0.28 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0.00 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0.01 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0.34 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.01 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0.05 |
| Number of observations | 131 |
| Minimum | 1 |
| Quartile 1 | 1 |
| Median | 1 |
| Quartile 3 | 1 |
| Maximum | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0 |
| Number outliers low | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0 |
| Number of outliers high | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0 |
| Mean of outliers high | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0 |
DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
| Number of observations | 2 |
|---|---|
| Minimum | 0.08 |
| Quartile 1 | 0.22 |
| Median | 0.37 |
| Quartile 3 | 0.52 |
| Maximum | 0.67 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.08 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 0.67 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.30 |
| Number outliers low | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0 |
| Number of outliers high | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0 |
| Mean of outliers high | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0 |
| Number of observations | 10 |
| Minimum | 0.00 |
| Quartile 1 | 0.04 |
| Median | 0.05 |
| Quartile 3 | 0.15 |
| Maximum | 0.87 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.02 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0.05 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 0.06 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 0.52 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.11 |
| Number outliers low | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0 |
| Number of outliers high | 2 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.20 |
| Mean of outliers high | 0.69 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | -11.45 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0.43 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0.43 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | -0.96 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 1.02 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 1.12 |
| Number of observations | 0 |
| Minimum | 0 |
| Quartile 1 | 0 |
| Median | 0 |
| Quartile 3 | 0 |
| Maximum | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 0 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0 |
| Number outliers low | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0 |
| Number of outliers high | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0 |
| Mean of outliers high | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0 |
| Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life? | -382552128 |
| Max Equity Drawdown (num days) | 81 |
| Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative | 0.8% |
COMBINED STATISTICS
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | 0 |
|---|---|
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | 0 |
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | 0 |
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | 0 |
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | 0.00 |
| j156mfCOMBRisPar | 0 |
| j157mfCOMBRisPar | 0 |
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | 0 |
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | 0 |
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | 0 |
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | 0 |
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | 0.00 |
| j313dfCOMBRisPar | 0 |
| j314dfCOMBRisPar | 0 |
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | 0 |
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | 0 |
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | 0 |
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | 0 |
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | 0 |
Trading record
Placed 60 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.
| Symbol | Side | Qty | Opened | Closed | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YM Z6 | long | 30 | Nov 8, 2006 | Nov 9, 2006 | ($12,540) |
| ES Z6 | long | 30 | Nov 8, 2006 | Nov 8, 2006 | $2,010 |
| ES Z6 | short | 30 | Nov 8, 2006 | Nov 8, 2006 | ($990) |
| ES Z6 | long | 30 | Nov 8, 2006 | Nov 8, 2006 | $8,010 |
| ER2 Z6 | long | 20 | Nov 8, 2006 | Nov 8, 2006 | $7,840 |
| ER2 Z6 | long | 20 | Nov 7, 2006 | Nov 8, 2006 | ($3,160) |
| ES Z6 | long | 30 | Nov 7, 2006 | Nov 7, 2006 | ($1,740) |
| ES Z6 | short | 30 | Nov 7, 2006 | Nov 7, 2006 | $2,385 |
| ER2 Z6 | short | 30 | Nov 7, 2006 | Nov 7, 2006 | $1,860 |
| ES Z6 | long | 30 | Nov 7, 2006 | Nov 7, 2006 | ($990) |
| ES Z6 | short | 30 | Nov 7, 2006 | Nov 7, 2006 | ($1,365) |
| ES Z6 | short | 30 | Nov 7, 2006 | Nov 7, 2006 | ($615) |
| YM Z6 | long | 30 | Nov 7, 2006 | Nov 7, 2006 | ($1,890) |
| ES Z6 | long | 30 | Nov 7, 2006 | Nov 7, 2006 | ($3,240) |
| ES Z6 | short | 30 | Nov 7, 2006 | Nov 7, 2006 | ($615) |
| ES Z6 | long | 30 | Nov 7, 2006 | Nov 7, 2006 | ($1,740) |
| ER2 Z6 | long | 20 | Nov 7, 2006 | Nov 7, 2006 | ($3,160) |
| YM Z6 | long | 30 | Nov 7, 2006 | Nov 7, 2006 | $1,410 |
| ES Z6 | long | 30 | Nov 7, 2006 | Nov 7, 2006 | $1,635 |
| ES Z6 | short | 30 | Nov 7, 2006 | Nov 7, 2006 | ($2,490) |
| ES Z6 | long | 30 | Nov 7, 2006 | Nov 7, 2006 | ($2,490) |
| ER2 Z6 | long | 20 | Nov 7, 2006 | Nov 7, 2006 | ($2,560) |
| YM Z6 | long | 30 | Nov 7, 2006 | Nov 7, 2006 | $60 |
| ES Z6 | long | 30 | Nov 7, 2006 | Nov 7, 2006 | ($1,365) |
| ES Z6 | long | 30 | Nov 7, 2006 | Nov 7, 2006 | $885 |
| ER2 Z6 | long | 30 | Nov 7, 2006 | Nov 7, 2006 | $3,960 |
| ES Z6 | long | 30 | Nov 7, 2006 | Nov 7, 2006 | $885 |
| ER2 Z6 | long | 30 | Nov 7, 2006 | Nov 7, 2006 | $5,160 |
| ER2 Z6 | long | 20 | Nov 6, 2006 | Nov 7, 2006 | $3,840 |
| ES Z6 | long | 30 | Nov 6, 2006 | Nov 6, 2006 | ($2,115) |
Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.
These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.