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GA

Futures · Started Dec 2005

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
1.2%
Max Drawdown
11.2%
Trades
155
Win Trades
58.1%
Profit Factor
2.10
Win Months
1.2%

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2005-0.0-0.0
2006-4.0-0.41.99.0-6.229.00.00.00.00.00.00.028.3
20070.00.00.00.0-0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-0.0
20080.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20090.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-0.00.00.0-0.0
20100.00.00.00.00.00.0-0.00.00.00.00.0-0.00.0
20110.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20120.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20130.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20140.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20150.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20160.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20170.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20180.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20190.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began12/29/2005
Suggested Minimum Capital$100,000
Age252 months
What it tradesFutures
# Trades155
# Profitable90
% Profitable58.1%
Avg trade duration5.9 hours
Max peak-to-valley drawdown11.2%
drawdown periodMay 22, 2006 - May 24, 2006
Annual Return (Compounded)1.2%
Avg win$979
Avg loss$652

Ratios

W:L ratio2.08
Sharpe Ratio-0.15
Sortino Ratio-0.22
Calmar Ratio0

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.00
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life507.7%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-482.1%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)1.2%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)1.8%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity0.0%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.8%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$652
Avg Win$979
# Winners90
Sum Trade PL (losers)$42,389
Sum Trade PL (winners)$88,107
Num Months Winners7
# Losers65
% Winners58.1%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table250

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)353.77
Avg Position Time (hrs)5.90
Avg Trade Length0.20
Last Trade Ago7380

Regression

Alpha0
Beta0
Treynor Index5.74

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.01
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.01
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades2.36
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.52
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats49.08
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats18.95
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.36
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.85
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.41

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.01
SD0.15
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.09
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.09
df86
t0.24
p0.41
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.64
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.82
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.64
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.82
Sortino ratio0.10
Upside Potential Ratio0.48
Upside part of mean0.06
Downside part of mean-0.05
Upside SD0.08
Downside SD0.13
N nonnegative terms80
N negative terms7
N of observations87
Mean of predictor0.19
Mean of criterion0.01
SD of predictor0.25
SD of criterion0.15
Covariance0.00
r0.11
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.06
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.00
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error85
t(b)1.00
p(b)0.16
t(a)0.01
p(a)0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.19
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.11
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.11
Treynor index (mean / b)0.20
Jensen alpha (a)0.00
Mean0.00
SD0.17
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.00
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.00
df86
t0.00
p0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.73
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.73
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.73
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.73
Sortino ratio0.00
Upside Potential Ratio0.37
Upside part of mean0.06
Downside part of mean-0.06
Upside SD0.07
Downside SD0.15
N nonnegative terms80
N negative terms7
N of observations87
Mean of predictor0.16
Mean of criterion0.00
SD of predictor0.24
SD of criterion0.17
Covariance0.01
r0.14
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.10
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.02
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error85
t(b)1.26
p(b)0.11
t(a)-0.24
p(a)0.59
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.25
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.14
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.11
Treynor index (mean / b)0.00
Jensen alpha (a)-0.02
VaR(95%)0.08
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.10
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean0.03
SD0.26
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.13
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.13
df1902
t0.35
p0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.60
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.86
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.60
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.86
Sortino ratio0.19
Upside Potential Ratio0.95
Upside part of mean0.17
Downside part of mean-0.13
Upside SD0.19
Downside SD0.17
N nonnegative terms1836
N negative terms67
N of observations1903
Mean of predictor0.31
Mean of criterion0.03
SD of predictor0.60
SD of criterion0.26
Covariance0.02
r0.10
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.04
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.02
Mean Square Error0.07
DF error1901
t(b)4.32
p(b)0.44
t(a)0.21
p(a)0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.06
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.17
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.21
Treynor index (mean / b)0.79
Jensen alpha (a)0.02
Mean0.00
SD0.26
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.00
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.00
df1902
t0.00
p0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.73
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.73
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.73
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.73
Sortino ratio0.00
Upside Potential Ratio0.72
Upside part of mean0.15
Downside part of mean-0.15
Upside SD0.16
Downside SD0.21
N nonnegative terms1836
N negative terms67
N of observations1903
Mean of predictor0.14
Mean of criterion0.00
SD of predictor0.59
SD of criterion0.26
Covariance0.02
r0.10
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.05
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.01
Mean Square Error0.07
DF error1901
t(b)4.51
p(b)0.43
t(a)-0.06
p(a)0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.07
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.20
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.18
Treynor index (mean / b)0.00
Jensen alpha (a)-0.01
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0
Mean0
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms131
N negative terms0
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.86
Mean of criterion0
SD of predictor0.52
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean0
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms131
N negative terms0
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.72
Mean of criterion0
SD of predictor0.54
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations87
Minimum0.66
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.14
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low7
Percentage of outliers low0.08
Mean of outliers low0.95
Number of outliers high11
Percentage of outliers high0.13
Mean of outliers high1.04
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations1903
Minimum0.67
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.50
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low67
Percentage of outliers low0.04
Mean of outliers low0.99
Number of outliers high87
Percentage of outliers high0.05
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)1.14
VaR(95%) (moments method)-0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.32
VaR(95%) (regression method)-0.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations6
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.00
Quartile 30.00
Maximum0.34
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.00
Mean of quarter 40.17
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.17
Mean of outliers high0.34
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations32
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.00
Quartile 30.00
Maximum0.35
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.00
Mean of quarter 40.09
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.06
Mean of outliers high0.34
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-58265.44
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-5.51
VaR(95%) (regression method)1.09
Expected Shortfall (regression method)1.12
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-384783264
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)2
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.00
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.00
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.00
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.00
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0.00
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.00
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.00
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.00
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.00
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0.00
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
ES U6long10Jun 29, 2006Jun 29, 2006$8,920
ES U6short10Jun 29, 2006Jun 29, 2006($455)
ES U6long10Jun 29, 2006Jun 29, 2006($705)
ES U6long10Jun 28, 2006Jun 28, 2006$45
ES U6long10Jun 27, 2006Jun 27, 2006$170
ES U6short10Jun 27, 2006Jun 27, 2006$3,920
ES U6long10Jun 27, 2006Jun 27, 2006$170
ES U6short10Jun 21, 2006Jun 21, 2006($705)
ES U6long10Jun 20, 2006Jun 20, 2006($580)
ES U6short10Jun 20, 2006Jun 20, 2006$670
ES U6long10Jun 20, 2006Jun 20, 2006$170
ES U6short10Jun 20, 2006Jun 20, 2006($955)
ES U6long10Jun 20, 2006Jun 20, 2006($1,455)
ES U6short10Jun 20, 2006Jun 20, 2006($1,705)
ES U6long10Jun 20, 2006Jun 20, 2006$295
ES U6short10Jun 19, 2006Jun 19, 2006$795
ES U6long10Jun 19, 2006Jun 19, 2006$45
ES U6short10Jun 19, 2006Jun 19, 2006$3,795
ES U6long10Jun 19, 2006Jun 19, 2006$545
ES U6short10Jun 19, 2006Jun 19, 2006$45
ES U6long10Jun 19, 2006Jun 19, 2006($80)
ES U6short10Jun 19, 2006Jun 19, 2006($80)
ES U6long20Jun 15, 2006Jun 15, 2006$1,090
ES M6short10Jun 8, 2006Jun 15, 2006$11,045
ES U6long10Jun 13, 2006Jun 13, 2006($580)
ES U6short10Jun 13, 2006Jun 13, 2006($705)
ES M6long10Jun 6, 2006Jun 6, 2006($330)
ES M6short10Jun 5, 2006Jun 5, 2006$1,420
ES M6long10Jun 5, 2006Jun 5, 2006$295
ES M6short10Jun 2, 2006Jun 2, 2006$2,795

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.