Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

MK BC V2.0 Futures II

Futures · Started Dec 2006

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
3.3%
Max Drawdown
21.7%
Trades
147
Win Trades
31.3%
Profit Factor
1.70
Win Months
4.6%

About this strategy



!!! SYSTEM IS NOT SUPPORTED ON C2 SINCE 07/01/2007 --- every position open after this date was left un-closed since I did not pay the listing fee for an additional six months. All subscribers had been informed in advance !!!


RISK DISCLOSURE: THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING COMMODITIES CAN BE SUBSTANTIAL. YOU SHOULD THEREFORE CAREFULLY CONSIDER WHETHER SUCH TRADING IS SUITABLE FOR YOU IN LIGHT OF YOUR FINANCIAL CONDITION.

THE HIGH DEGREE OF LEVERAGE THAT IS OFTEN OBTAINABLE IN COMMODITY TRADING CAN WORK AGAINST YOU AS WELL AS FOR YOU. THE USE OF LEVERAGE CAN LEAD TO LARGE LOSSES AS WELL AS GAINS.

THIS IS NO TRADING ADVISE. ALSO THERE IS NO GUARANTEE OF PROFITS. DO NOT TRADE WITH FUNDS THAT YOU CAN NOT AFFORD TO LOSE. TRADE WITH RISK CAPITAL ONLY. ALSO ALWAYS EXERCISE DUE DILLIGENCE WHEN TRADING IN ANY MARKETS. BY SUBSCRIBING TO THE SERVICE YOU ACKNOWLEDGE YOUR UNDERSTANDING OF THE ABOVE STATEMENT. YOU ALSO ACKNOWLEDGE THAT THE PROVIDER OF THIS SERVICE, C2 OR ANY ASSOCIATED PERSONS WITH THESE ENTITIES ARE NOT RESPONSIBLE FOR ANY FINANCIAL LOSSES THAT YOU MAY INCUR BY TRADING.

###########################################################################################
########################################## General ###########################################
###########################################################################################

The logic behind MK BC is a proprietary fractal based approach combined with a strict risk-control --- there will never be any trade without an initial stop loss relatively tight in comparison to the target zones. The size of a position is variable and adjusted to the initial risk and the success probability of the trade.

Different financial-, equity-, commodity- (hard and soft) and currency-contracts will be traded. In backtesting (from 1980:1 until 2005:12) the Profit Factor for the backtesting results was 2.71 and a k-ratio of 9.5, what indicates a smooth and stable equity curve.

V2.0 means that the money management and position sizing algorithm has been improved noticeable in comparison to Version 1, which was used for in-house testing only. The result of this change is a stable trading system which is now used in real trading and which will (hopefully) generate a smooth equity curve.

In backtesting the maximum draw down was 25 percent on a trade-close-to-trade-close-basis. As you can see there is a draw down of approximately 15 percent from January 24th to of 29th of January 2007. But please be aware that C2 calculates draw downs on a daily basis, which discriminates swing trading systems as MK BC V2.0 Futures II in comparison to day trading systems.

For day trading systems the daily calculated draw down IS on a trade-close-to-trade-close-basis, but for swing trading system it is not. To clarify this imagine the following situation: A swing trading system enters a trade in a stock at $100. Used account size is also $100, so we buy one share. As the system uses no stop loss the capital risk is exactly $100. Over the next days the stock price goes up to $500, also does the equity curve. But thereafter the stock plunged rapidly back to $100, where the system sells at break even. The equity curve and C2 now state a draw down of $400. What might be an important information to intended subscribers, because they need to know how much money they have to assign to the system to withstand draw down phases. And it seems that you will need $400 in minimum, as the system has a historical draw down of $400. But this is obviously wrong, because you can trade the system with just $100 and achieve exactly the same results as the system vendor. Why does this methodology discriminates swing trading systems in comparison to day trading systems? Because it shows losses of book gains in swing trading systems, but does not in day trading systems. In the latter ones you will see an equity curve of $100 at the day before the trade and you will also see a curve, which shows $100 the day after the trade is closed. But you will not see a

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2006-0.3-0.3
200746.432.4-10.3-9.716.41.3-2.91.01.21.91.90.291.0
20080.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20090.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20100.00.00.00.00.0-0.00.0-0.00.00.00.0-0.0-0.0
20110.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20120.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20130.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20140.00.10.0-0.00.0-0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.2
20150.0-0.00.0-0.00.0-0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.1
20160.00.0-0.0-0.00.00.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.1
20170.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20180.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20190.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began12/27/2006
Suggested Minimum Capital$100,000
Age240 months
What it tradesFutures
# Trades147
# Profitable46
% Profitable31.3%
Avg trade duration6.2 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown21.7%
drawdown periodFeb 23, 2007 - May 02, 2007
Annual Return (Compounded)3.3%
Avg win$5,186
Avg loss$1,360

Ratios

W:L ratio1.74
Sharpe Ratio0.18
Sortino Ratio0.33
Calmar Ratio0.06

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.01
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life435.3%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-345.4%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)3.3%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)3.6%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity4.3%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life1.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$1,360
Avg Win$5,186
# Winners46
Sum Trade PL (losers)$137,406
Sum Trade PL (winners)$238,555
Num Months Winners37
# Losers101
% Winners31.3%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table238

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)8959.38
Avg Position Time (hrs)149.32
Avg Trade Length6.20
Last Trade Ago6847

Regression

Alpha0
Beta0
Treynor Index1.48

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.01
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.01
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades1.47
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.25
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats13.92
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats54.41
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.11
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.07
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.67

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.05
SD0.20
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.24
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.24
df75
t0.61
p0.27
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.54
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.02
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.54
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.02
Sortino ratio0.59
Upside Potential Ratio1.21
Upside part of mean0.10
Downside part of mean-0.05
Upside SD0.18
Downside SD0.08
N nonnegative terms63
N negative terms13
N of observations76
Mean of predictor0.19
Mean of criterion0.05
SD of predictor0.27
SD of criterion0.20
Covariance0.00
r0.04
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.03
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.04
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error74
t(b)0.35
p(b)0.37
t(a)0.52
p(a)0.30
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.14
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.20
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.20
Treynor index (mean / b)1.62
Jensen alpha (a)0.04
Mean0.03
SD0.18
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.18
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.18
df75
t0.45
p0.33
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.60
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.96
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.60
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.96
Sortino ratio0.36
Upside Potential Ratio0.98
Upside part of mean0.09
Downside part of mean-0.06
Upside SD0.15
Downside SD0.09
N nonnegative terms63
N negative terms13
N of observations76
Mean of predictor0.15
Mean of criterion0.03
SD of predictor0.27
SD of criterion0.18
Covariance0.00
r0.05
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.03
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.03
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error74
t(b)0.44
p(b)0.33
t(a)0.37
p(a)0.36
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.18
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.17
Treynor index (mean / b)0.95
Jensen alpha (a)0.03
VaR(95%)0.08
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.10
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean0.05
SD0.21
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.26
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.26
df1674
t0.66
p0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.51
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.04
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.51
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.04
Sortino ratio0.34
Upside Potential Ratio1.77
Upside part of mean0.28
Downside part of mean-0.23
Upside SD0.13
Downside SD0.16
N nonnegative terms1452
N negative terms223
N of observations1675
Mean of predictor0.31
Mean of criterion0.05
SD of predictor0.57
SD of criterion0.21
Covariance-0.00
r-0.01
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.00
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.06
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error1673
t(b)-0.31
p(b)0.50
t(a)0.67
p(a)0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.11
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.22
Treynor index (mean / b)-19.34
Jensen alpha (a)0.06
Mean0.03
SD0.22
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.14
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.14
df1674
t0.36
p0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.63
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.92
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.63
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.92
Sortino ratio0.17
Upside Potential Ratio1.53
Upside part of mean0.28
Downside part of mean-0.25
Upside SD0.13
Downside SD0.18
N nonnegative terms1452
N negative terms223
N of observations1675
Mean of predictor0.15
Mean of criterion0.03
SD of predictor0.57
SD of criterion0.22
Covariance-0.00
r-0.01
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.00
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.03
Mean Square Error0.05
DF error1673
t(b)-0.22
p(b)0.50
t(a)0.36
p(a)0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.14
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.20
Treynor index (mean / b)-14.97
Jensen alpha (a)0.03
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
Mean0
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms131
N negative terms0
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.02
Mean of criterion0
SD of predictor0.66
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean0
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms131
N negative terms0
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.78
Mean of criterion0
SD of predictor0.71
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations76
Minimum0.84
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.44
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.03
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low13
Percentage of outliers low0.17
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high18
Percentage of outliers high0.24
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)2.33
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.70
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations1675
Minimum0.73
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.20
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low223
Percentage of outliers low0.13
Mean of outliers low0.99
Number of outliers high306
Percentage of outliers high0.18
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)1.07
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.96
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.06
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations7
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.00
Quartile 30.06
Maximum0.16
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.00
Mean of quarter 40.14
Inter Quartile Range0.06
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.14
Mean of outliers high0.16
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations8
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.04
Quartile 30.09
Maximum0.49
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.02
Mean of quarter 30.06
Mean of quarter 40.33
Inter Quartile Range0.08
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.12
Mean of outliers high0.49
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-381112608
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)68
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.03
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.03
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.20
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.22
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0.33
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.03
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.03
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.06
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.09
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal1.15
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 8 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
BO Z7long3Jun 25, 2007Dec 14, 2007$11,664
PA U7short4Jun 25, 2007Sep 26, 2007$4,836
KC U7long3Jul 11, 2007Jul 12, 2007($1,824)
US U7short5Jul 3, 2007Jul 11, 2007($2,229)
EMD U7long2Jun 27, 2007Jul 10, 2007$484
ES U7long1Jun 27, 2007Jul 10, 2007$542
QRB Q7short1Jul 5, 2007Jul 5, 2007($1,604)
O N7short2Jun 12, 2007Jul 2, 2007$2,559
KC U7long2Jun 28, 2007Jul 2, 2007($1,816)
QRB Q7short1Jun 26, 2007Jul 2, 2007($1,310)
EZ U7short10Jun 28, 2007Jul 2, 2007($734)
QHG Q7short1Jun 19, 2007Jun 28, 2007($833)
QHG U7short1Jun 25, 2007Jun 28, 2007($908)
DX U7long2Jun 12, 2007Jun 26, 2007$924
QCL Q7short1Jun 20, 2007Jun 20, 2007($1,098)
BP U7short2Jun 17, 2007Jun 20, 2007($1,566)
YM U7short3Jun 19, 2007Jun 19, 2007($969)
BP M7short3Jun 6, 2007Jun 17, 2007$3,014
QCL N7short1Jun 8, 2007Jun 14, 2007($458)
C N7short2Jun 12, 2007Jun 13, 2007($1,016)
LH N7short4Jun 6, 2007Jun 12, 2007$228
O N7short4Jun 6, 2007Jun 11, 2007($732)
W N7long3May 23, 2007Jun 11, 2007$6,576
S N7short4Jun 8, 2007Jun 10, 2007($1,632)
EU M7long2Jun 4, 2007Jun 8, 2007($3)
KW N7long2May 24, 2007Jun 5, 2007$2,322
PB N7short3May 14, 2007May 29, 2007$1,636
QGC M7long1May 20, 2007May 22, 2007($368)
DX M7short3May 14, 2007May 17, 2007($1,254)
BP M7long3May 15, 2007May 16, 2007($1,637)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.