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CC Managed Futures

Futures · Started Jun 2007

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
4.5%
Max Drawdown
85.1%
Trades
523
Win Trades
50.5%
Profit Factor
1.60
Win Months
0.4%

About this strategy

CC Managed Futures

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2007-40.2292.9-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0134.9
20080.00.00.00.0-0.20.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-0.2
20090.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-0.00.00.0-0.0
20100.00.00.00.00.00.0-0.00.00.00.00.0-0.00.0
20110.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20120.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20130.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20140.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20150.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20160.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20170.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20180.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20190.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began6/6/2007
Suggested Minimum Capital$100,000
Age235 months
What it tradesFutures
# Trades523
# Profitable264
% Profitable50.5%
Avg trade duration1.2 hours
Max peak-to-valley drawdown85.1%
drawdown periodJuly 13, 2007 - July 15, 2007
Annual Return (Compounded)4.5%
Avg win$2,937
Avg loss$1,851

Ratios

W:L ratio1.62
Sharpe Ratio0.18
Sortino Ratio0.34
Calmar Ratio0.31

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.00
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life403.4%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-270.3%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)4.5%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)7.4%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity366.9%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life1.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss100.0%
Chance of 40% account loss100.0%
Chance of 50% account loss100.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$1,851
Avg Win$2,937
# Winners264
Sum Trade PL (losers)$479,351
Sum Trade PL (winners)$775,364
Num Months Winners4
# Losers259
% Winners50.5%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table232

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)74.98
Avg Position Time (hrs)1.25
Avg Trade Length0.10
Last Trade Ago6997

Regression

Alpha0.02
Beta0
Treynor Index-10.15

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.02
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.01
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.03
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades10.18
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.49
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats18.41
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats16.71
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.35
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.14
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.10

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.32
SD0.56
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.57
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.56
df70
t1.39
p0.08
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.24
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.38
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.25
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.38
Sortino ratio574.96
Upside Potential Ratio575.43
Upside part of mean0.32
Downside part of mean-0.00
Upside SD0.56
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms67
N negative terms4
N of observations71
Mean of predictor0.21
Mean of criterion0.32
SD of predictor0.27
SD of criterion0.56
Covariance-0.01
r-0.07
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.13
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.34
Mean Square Error0.31
DF error69
t(b)-0.55
p(b)0.71
t(a)1.47
p(a)0.07
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.62
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.35
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.81
Treynor index (mean / b)-2.36
Jensen alpha (a)0.34
Mean0.22
SD0.38
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.58
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.57
df70
t1.40
p0.08
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.24
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.39
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.24
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.38
Sortino ratio401.49
Upside Potential Ratio401.97
Upside part of mean0.22
Downside part of mean-0.00
Upside SD0.39
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms67
N negative terms4
N of observations71
Mean of predictor0.17
Mean of criterion0.22
SD of predictor0.29
SD of criterion0.38
Covariance-0.01
r-0.05
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.07
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.23
Mean Square Error0.15
DF error69
t(b)-0.45
p(b)0.67
t(a)1.45
p(a)0.08
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.40
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.25
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.55
Treynor index (mean / b)-3.01
Jensen alpha (a)0.23
VaR(95%)0.15
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.19
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
Mean0.60
SD1.18
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.50
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.50
df1566
t1.23
p0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.30
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.30
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.30
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.30
Sortino ratio1.80
Upside Potential Ratio2.46
Upside part of mean0.81
Downside part of mean-0.22
Upside SD1.14
Downside SD0.33
N nonnegative terms1519
N negative terms48
N of observations1567
Mean of predictor0.44
Mean of criterion0.60
SD of predictor0.65
SD of criterion1.18
Covariance0.01
r0.01
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.02
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.58
Mean Square Error1.40
DF error1565
t(b)0.53
p(b)0.49
t(a)1.21
p(a)0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.12
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.37
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.54
Treynor index (mean / b)24.28
Jensen alpha (a)0.58
Mean0.22
SD0.82
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.27
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.27
df1566
t0.65
p0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.54
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.07
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.54
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.07
Sortino ratio0.38
Upside Potential Ratio0.95
Upside part of mean0.55
Downside part of mean-0.33
Upside SD0.58
Downside SD0.58
N nonnegative terms1519
N negative terms48
N of observations1567
Mean of predictor0.23
Mean of criterion0.22
SD of predictor0.65
SD of criterion0.82
Covariance-0.00
r-0.01
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.01
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.22
Mean Square Error0.68
DF error1565
t(b)-0.37
p(b)0.51
t(a)0.66
p(a)0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.05
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.44
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.88
Treynor index (mean / b)-18.64
Jensen alpha (a)0.22
VaR(95%)0.08
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.10
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0
Mean0
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms131
N negative terms0
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.83
Mean of criterion0
SD of predictor0.79
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean0
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms131
N negative terms0
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.50
Mean of criterion0
SD of predictor0.81
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.08
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations71
Minimum1.00
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum2.15
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.10
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low4
Percentage of outliers low0.06
Mean of outliers low1.00
Number of outliers high5
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high1.38
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations1567
Minimum0.25
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum3.71
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low48
Percentage of outliers low0.03
Mean of outliers low0.97
Number of outliers high64
Percentage of outliers high0.04
Mean of outliers high1.08
Extreme Value Index (moments method)2.46
VaR(95%) (moments method)-0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations1
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.00
Quartile 30.00
Maximum0.00
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations2
Minimum0.22
Quartile 10.36
Median0.50
Quartile 30.64
Maximum0.79
Mean of quarter 10.22
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.79
Inter Quartile Range0.28
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-383298848
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)2
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.46
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.25
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)174.86
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal1.31
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.45
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.24
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.31
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.31
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal2.48
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
QM Q7short10Jul 17, 2007Jul 17, 2007($1,205)
JY U7short60Jul 16, 2007Jul 17, 2007$17,645
QM Q7long40Jul 16, 2007Jul 17, 2007$6,055
JY U7short20Jul 16, 2007Jul 16, 2007($2,660)
QM Q7long20Jul 16, 2007Jul 16, 2007($2,160)
QM Q7short15Jul 16, 2007Jul 16, 2007$2,693
QM Q7long10Jul 16, 2007Jul 16, 2007$1,983
JY U7short20Jul 16, 2007Jul 16, 2007$2,340
C Z7long20Jul 16, 2007Jul 16, 2007$11,090
QM Q7short80Jul 13, 2007Jul 16, 2007($2,169)
JY U7short20Jul 16, 2007Jul 16, 2007($910)
JY U7short20Jul 13, 2007Jul 13, 2007($2,410)
S Z7short20Jul 13, 2007Jul 13, 2007($8,348)
QM Q7long20Jul 13, 2007Jul 13, 2007$1,340
QM Q7short20Jul 13, 2007Jul 13, 2007($2,160)
JY U7long20Jul 13, 2007Jul 13, 2007$1,778
QM Q7long20Jul 13, 2007Jul 13, 2007$1,340
JY U7short20Jul 13, 2007Jul 13, 2007($2,660)
JY U7short20Jul 13, 2007Jul 13, 2007$2,528
QM Q7short20Jul 13, 2007Jul 13, 2007$1,090
JY U7short20Jul 13, 2007Jul 13, 2007$2,465
QM Q7short20Jul 13, 2007Jul 13, 2007($2,160)
JY U7long20Jul 13, 2007Jul 13, 2007($910)
QM Q7long40Jul 12, 2007Jul 13, 2007$8,555
JY U7long20Jul 13, 2007Jul 13, 2007($660)
JY U7long20Jul 13, 2007Jul 13, 2007$1,840
JY U7short20Jul 12, 2007Jul 12, 2007($2,410)
JY U7short20Jul 12, 2007Jul 12, 2007($160)
QM Q7short20Jul 12, 2007Jul 12, 2007$1,653
QM Q7long20Jul 12, 2007Jul 12, 2007($2,410)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.