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EuroPips

Forex · Started Sep 2007

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
0.4%
Max Drawdown
46.5%
Trades
100
Win Trades
49.0%
Profit Factor
1.10
Win Months
1.8%

About this strategy

Using support and resistance levels to determine entry and exit points of the EURUSD.

We make one trade per day and signals are issued at the beginning of the European session each day ( 6 to 8 GMT). The signals will include an entry limit, stop loss (mostly 30 pips) and TP (mostly 50 pips) for the trade. Most of the time we will let the market play out itself and let the trade hit the targets. Occasionally we do take profit early if we see the market losses momentum.

This system can be traded manually or with C2 auto trade. We did get very good feed back from people who are using C2 BulldogFx auto trading.


NOTE: we suggest that you set your risk per trade to 3% to 4% of your total capital. Remember proper money management is key to a successful and profitable trading system.

You can trade this system with any size account - whether its $1000, $10,000 or $100,000. As long as you set the risk per trade to 3% or 4% of your total capital, you will get same return percentage as the results display in C2. Keep in mind that most of trades are set to a 30 pips stop-loss so please calculate your risk accordingly base on this stop loss.

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20079.228.6-3.44.141.2
2008-11.4-12.0-0.40.00.00.00.70.0-1.80.00.00.0-23.3
20090.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-0.00.00.0-0.0
20100.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20110.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20120.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20130.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20140.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20150.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20160.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20170.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20180.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20190.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began9/18/2007
Suggested Minimum Capital$100,000
Age231 months
What it tradesForex
# Trades100
# Profitable49
% Profitable49.0%
Avg trade duration5.6 hours
Max peak-to-valley drawdown46.5%
drawdown periodNov 14, 2007 - Feb 27, 2008
Annual Return (Compounded)0.4%
Avg win$6,405
Avg loss$5,575

Ratios

W:L ratio1.10
Sharpe Ratio-0.09
Sortino Ratio-0.15
Calmar Ratio0

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.01
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life402.6%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-395.5%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)0.4%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)1.4%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity57.8%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life1.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex1.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss100.0%
Chance of 40% account loss100.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$5,575
Avg Win$6,405
# Winners49
Sum Trade PL (losers)$284,300
Sum Trade PL (winners)$313,840
Num Months Winners5
# Losers51
% Winners49.0%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table229

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)336.58
Avg Position Time (hrs)5.61
Avg Trade Length0.20
Last Trade Ago6751

Regression

Alpha0
Beta-0.01
Treynor Index0.53

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.04
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.02
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.05
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.02
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-167.97
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)1.14
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats8.20
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats67.85
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.41
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.11
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.01

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.03
SD0.24
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.11
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.11
df66
t0.25
p0.40
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.72
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.94
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.72
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.94
Sortino ratio0.22
Upside Potential Ratio1.07
Upside part of mean0.13
Downside part of mean-0.10
Upside SD0.21
Downside SD0.12
N nonnegative terms58
N negative terms9
N of observations67
Mean of predictor0.27
Mean of criterion0.03
SD of predictor0.29
SD of criterion0.24
Covariance-0.01
r-0.10
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.08
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.05
Mean Square Error0.06
DF error65
t(b)-0.82
p(b)0.79
t(a)0.46
p(a)0.33
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.29
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.12
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.17
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.26
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.31
Jensen alpha (a)0.05
Mean0.00
SD0.23
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.00
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.00
df66
t0.00
p0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.83
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.83
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.83
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.83
Sortino ratio0.00
Upside Potential Ratio0.84
Upside part of mean0.11
Downside part of mean-0.11
Upside SD0.18
Downside SD0.13
N nonnegative terms58
N negative terms9
N of observations67
Mean of predictor0.22
Mean of criterion0.00
SD of predictor0.29
SD of criterion0.23
Covariance-0.01
r-0.09
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.07
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.02
Mean Square Error0.05
DF error65
t(b)-0.74
p(b)0.77
t(a)0.17
p(a)0.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.27
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.12
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.18
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.21
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.00
Jensen alpha (a)0.02
VaR(95%)0.10
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.13
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
Mean0.16
SD0.57
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.28
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.28
df1478
t0.65
p0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.55
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.10
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.55
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.10
Sortino ratio0.44
Upside Potential Ratio2.98
Upside part of mean1.07
Downside part of mean-0.91
Upside SD0.44
Downside SD0.36
N nonnegative terms1392
N negative terms87
N of observations1479
Mean of predictor0.54
Mean of criterion0.16
SD of predictor0.73
SD of criterion0.57
Covariance0.05
r0.13
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.10
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.10
Mean Square Error0.32
DF error1477
t(b)5.00
p(b)0.42
t(a)0.43
p(a)0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.14
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.36
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.57
Treynor index (mean / b)1.55
Jensen alpha (a)0.10
Mean0.00
SD0.56
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.00
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.00
df1478
t0.00
p0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.82
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.82
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.82
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.82
Sortino ratio0.00
Upside Potential Ratio2.48
Upside part of mean0.98
Downside part of mean-0.98
Upside SD0.39
Downside SD0.40
N nonnegative terms1392
N negative terms87
N of observations1479
Mean of predictor0.29
Mean of criterion0.00
SD of predictor0.69
SD of criterion0.56
Covariance0.05
r0.14
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.11
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0.31
DF error1477
t(b)5.32
p(b)0.41
t(a)-0.14
p(a)0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.15
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.49
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.42
Treynor index (mean / b)0.00
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.06
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.07
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
Mean0
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms131
N negative terms0
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.70
Mean of criterion0
SD of predictor0.67
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean0
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms131
N negative terms0
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.49
Mean of criterion0
SD of predictor0.64
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations67
Minimum0.78
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.38
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.04
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low9
Percentage of outliers low0.13
Mean of outliers low0.94
Number of outliers high5
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high1.14
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-12.40
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.00
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.01
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.06
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.12
Number of observations1479
Minimum0.72
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.42
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low87
Percentage of outliers low0.06
Mean of outliers low0.94
Number of outliers high84
Percentage of outliers high0.06
Mean of outliers high1.07
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-6.28
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.00
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations2
Minimum0.03
Quartile 10.09
Median0.15
Quartile 30.21
Maximum0.27
Mean of quarter 10.03
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.27
Inter Quartile Range0.12
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations3
Minimum0.23
Quartile 10.29
Median0.34
Quartile 30.36
Maximum0.39
Mean of quarter 10.23
Mean of quarter 20.34
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.39
Inter Quartile Range0.08
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-377203840
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)105
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.00
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.00
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.00
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.00
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0.00
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.00
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.00
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.00
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.00
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0.00
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 189 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
EUR/USD long2000Mar 19, 2008Mar 19, 2008$10,000
EUR/USD short2000Mar 14, 2008Mar 17, 2008($16,220)
EUR/USD long2000Mar 14, 2008Mar 14, 2008($6,180)
EUR/USD long2000Mar 13, 2008Mar 13, 2008$3,400
EUR/USD long2000Mar 13, 2008Mar 13, 2008($2,380)
EUR/USD short2000Mar 12, 2008Mar 12, 2008$2,300
EUR/USD short2000Mar 11, 2008Mar 11, 2008($2,340)
EUR/USD short2000Mar 11, 2008Mar 11, 2008($2,400)
EUR/USD short2000Mar 10, 2008Mar 11, 2008$1,700
EUR/USD long2000Mar 10, 2008Mar 10, 2008$2,060
EUR/USD short2000Mar 10, 2008Mar 10, 2008($2,400)
EUR/USD short2000Mar 9, 2008Mar 9, 2008($5,340)
EUR/USD long2000Mar 7, 2008Mar 7, 2008$2,320
EUR/USD long2000Mar 7, 2008Mar 7, 2008($7,000)
EUR/USD long2000Mar 6, 2008Mar 6, 2008$2,400
EUR/USD short2000Mar 6, 2008Mar 6, 2008$2,300
EUR/USD short2000Mar 6, 2008Mar 6, 2008$2,280
EUR/USD short2000Mar 6, 2008Mar 6, 2008($2,400)
EUR/USD short2000Mar 5, 2008Mar 5, 2008($300)
EUR/USD short2000Mar 5, 2008Mar 5, 2008$60
EUR/USD long2000Mar 4, 2008Mar 5, 2008$1,200
EUR/USD long2000Mar 4, 2008Mar 4, 2008($2,500)
EUR/USD short2000Mar 4, 2008Mar 4, 2008$4,480
EUR/USD short2000Mar 3, 2008Mar 3, 2008$2,440
EUR/USD long2000Mar 3, 2008Mar 3, 2008$1,620
EUR/USD long2000Mar 3, 2008Mar 3, 2008$10,720
EUR/USD short2000Mar 2, 2008Mar 2, 2008$3,320
EUR/USD long2000Feb 29, 2008Feb 29, 2008$8,260
EUR/USD long2000Feb 28, 2008Feb 28, 2008$2,060

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.