Zero
- hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
- 3.9%
- Max Drawdown
- 29.0%
- Trades
- 4250
- Win Trades
- 54.5%
- Profit Factor
- 1.30
- Win Months
- 14.0%
About this strategy
Requirements to trade ZERO:
-IB or equal commission structure brokerage account
-TWS build 906.2 or higher with CSV input capability
-15K minimum trading capital (30K+ preferred to mitigate friction costs)
-5 minutes per day of personal account oversight between 9:25-9:30AM EST
The C2 equity curve reflects a 'Flat Rate' IB commissions rate which is
not
recommended in order to realize the full extent of profits trading this system. Additionally, the percentage of C2 capital allocated to each position takes into account the deduction of commissions from the Vendor's real-life portfolio based on a �Cost Plus� Interactive Brokers commission structure. Real trading results based on a �Cost Plus� commission structure at IB fall in between the upper and lower C2 hypothetical Zero equity curve results.
The approximate monthly cost associated with trading ZERO based on current C2 capital will be ~200.00 USD:
C2 Subscription Fee: 88.00 USD (pay per profitable month, ~75% profitable months per year)
Monthly Commissions: 125.00 USD (based on ~5.4 trades per day assuming a 'Cost Plus' commission structure at IB).
General Description:
ZERO is a proprietary Excel-based EOD (End-of-Day) mechanical trading system that relies on principles of regression analysis to identify potential price aberrations in Naz-100 equities which historically precede short-term price increases with ~55% probability. The system incorporates a probabilistic algorithm which generates a daily basket of limit entry orders outside of market hours at ~8:30AM EST.
System Concept:
ZERO stands for the '0' filter, randomized nature of the algorithm that drives this trading system. Most systems rely on static conditionals that filter historical data for TA patterns which
have
preceded profitable price movements. The more specific and numerous that these filters are, the more likely that they will not correlate with future price movements due to their inflexibility to changing trends in the ever-evolving financial marketplace. ZERO does not rely on filters nor models to choose trades. It relies on basic supply/demand mechanisms that are inherent to the markets and assumes that all equities in its trading basket have an equal likelihood of profitability. Positions are chosen by future, not historical market data.
Money Management:
The system allocates no more than 9% of trading capital per position and assumes a theoretical maximum of 10 positions. Account size is recommended to be 2x total C2 equity in order to absorb 'simultaneous fills' which in extremely volatile market conditions can increase the total number of trades to as many as 2x the intended maximum. This can be avoided with the selection of 'overfill protection' in IB TWS settings. IRA accounts will automatically limit position count to 1x margin requirements. Typical capital exposure ranges between 35-55%. All positions are held for 24hrs or less. There are no intraday trades. Stoplosses are not employed given that hold-time is so short.
Trading/Maintaining ZERO:
Trading and maintenance instructions will be provided upon subscription. It is important to understand that due to the 'randomized' logic nature of ZERO, there will occasionally be days when positions in a real account will differ from those in C2.
C2 Results:
C2 results mirror a live account with ~95% accuracy due to limitations in fill simulation with respect to position management methodology. Erroneous fills are generally corrected within 24hrs. Long term performance of a live account with equivalent position sizing to C2 should have an equal probability of performing slightly better or worse.
General Notes:
*C2 tracking began 10/31/08
*APD ratio--the 'dip-buy' nature of ZERO will always render a low APD even when 'hold and hope' is relatively low given its fixed position hold-time of 24hrs max. Average profit vs. loss is a more a telling metric from a bottomline perspective. In the interest of analyzing this further, please review individual trades, whose 'Drawdown and Risk' are almost exclusively classified as 'Low'.
Disclaimer:
Past results are not indicative of future results and neither Vendor nor C2 is responsible for unfavorable performance deviations. Do not subscribe to this system if you do not intend to dedicate the specified time for manual account maintenance. It is recommended for a serious subscriber to papertrade ZERO for at least two weeks in a virtual IB account to become familiar with its idiosyncrasies before trading real money. It should be known that all fills in a virtual account will be similar but not the same as fills in a real account. Vendor does not recommend autotrading of ZERO and is not responsible for syncing problems related to Tradebullet nor Trader68.
This system is only available to individuals through C2.
Please feel free to private message me with inquiries.
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | -0.4 | -10.7 | 16.6 | 3.6 | |||||||||
| 2009 | -1.3 | 1.8 | 13.9 | 13.9 | 4.5 | 9.4 | 9.4 | 1.1 | 1.7 | -4.8 | 5.0 | 2.8 | 72.4 |
| 2010 | -2.3 | 2.2 | -0.2 | -2.4 | 3.1 | -3.2 | 6.5 | -3.9 | 2.6 | 6.7 | 1.1 | 2.5 | 12.6 |
| 2011 | 1.2 | -1.3 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.3 | -1.2 | -0.7 | -5.1 | -8.2 | 7.2 | 1.2 | 4.1 | -0.6 |
| 2012 | 6.1 | 2.9 | -3.0 | -5.9 | -3.2 | -2.9 | -0.2 | 3.3 | -1.4 | -1.9 | -0.4 | -0.3 | -7.4 |
| 2013 | 9.4 | -0.7 | 0.7 | -0.4 | -0.5 | -0.4 | -0.4 | -0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.8 |
| 2014 | 0.0 | -0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.0 | -0.0 |
| 2015 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2016 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.0 |
| 2017 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2018 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2019 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||
| 2020 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2021 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2022 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2023 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2024 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2025 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2026 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Statistics
Overview
| Strategy began | 10/23/2008 |
|---|---|
| Suggested Minimum Capital | $15,000 |
| Age | 218 months |
| What it trades | Stocks |
| # Trades | 4250 |
| # Profitable | 2316 |
| % Profitable | 54.5% |
| Avg trade duration | 1.4 days |
| Max peak-to-valley drawdown | 29.0% |
| drawdown period | Oct 23, 2008 - Nov 21, 2008 |
| Annual Return (Compounded) | 3.9% |
| Avg win | $65 |
| Avg loss | $59 |
Ratios
| W:L ratio | 1.32 |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.21 |
| Sortino Ratio | 0.30 |
| Calmar Ratio | 0.08 |
CORRELATION STATISTICS
| Correlation to SP500 | 0.27 |
|---|---|
| Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life | 740.7% |
| Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu) | -645.4% |
Return Statistics
| Ann Return (w trading costs) | 3.9% |
|---|---|
| Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant) | 0.0% |
| Return Pcnt Since TOS Status | 0.0% |
| Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees) | 7.1% |
Slump
| Current Slump as Pcnt Equity | 14.1% |
|---|---|
| Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life | 0.8% |
Instruments
| Percent Trades Forex | 0.0% |
|---|---|
| Percent Trades Futures | 0.0% |
| Percent Trades Options | 0.0% |
| Percent Trades Stocks | 1.0% |
Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
| Chance of 10% account loss | 100.0% |
|---|---|
| Chance of 20% account loss | 100.0% |
| Chance of 30% account loss | 0.0% |
| Chance of 40% account loss | 0.0% |
| Chance of 50% account loss | 0.0% |
| Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 0.0% |
| Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 0.0% |
| Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 0.0% |
| Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 0.0% |
| Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 0.0% |
Automation
| Percentage Signals Automated | 0.0% |
|---|
Popularity
| Popularity (Today) | 0 |
|---|---|
| Popularity (Last 6 weeks) | 0 |
| Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale) | 0 |
Trading Style
| Any stock shorts? 0/1 | 0 |
|---|
Trades-Own-System Certification
| Trades Own System? | 0 |
|---|---|
| TOS percent | 0.0% |
Win / Loss
| Avg Loss | $59 |
|---|---|
| Avg Win | $65 |
| # Winners | 2316 |
| Sum Trade PL (losers) | $114,984 |
| Sum Trade PL (winners) | $151,143 |
| Num Months Winners | 33 |
| # Losers | 1934 |
| % Winners | 54.5% |
Dividends
| Dividends Received in Model Acct | 292 |
|---|
Age
| Num Months filled monthly returns table | 216 |
|---|
Frequency
| Avg Position Time (mins) | 1954.25 |
|---|---|
| Avg Position Time (hrs) | 32.57 |
| Avg Trade Length | 1.40 |
| Last Trade Ago | 4945 |
Regression
| Alpha | 0 |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.14 |
| Treynor Index | 0.04 |
Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)
| MAE:Equity, average, all trades | 0 |
|---|---|
| MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat | 0 |
| MAE:Equity, average, losing trades | 0 |
| MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat | — |
| MAE:Equity, average, winning trades | 0 |
| MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat | — |
| Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades | 44.56 |
| MAE:PL (avg, all trades) | -0.57 |
| MAE:PL (avg, losing trades) | — |
| MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats | 60.54 |
| MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats | 46.49 |
| MAE:PL (avg, winning trades) | — |
| MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy | — |
| Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades | 0.53 |
| Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades | -1.52 |
| Hold-and-Hope Ratio | 0.02 |
RATIO STATISTICS
| Mean | 0.11 |
|---|---|
| SD | 0.28 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 0.40 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 0.39 |
| df | 90 |
| t | 1.09 |
| p | 0.14 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -0.32 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 1.11 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -0.32 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 1.11 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.47 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 0.96 |
| Upside part of mean | 0.22 |
| Downside part of mean | -0.11 |
| Upside SD | 0.15 |
| Downside SD | 0.23 |
| N nonnegative terms | 73 |
| N negative terms | 18 |
| N of observations | 91 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.28 |
| Mean of criterion | 0.11 |
| SD of predictor | 0.25 |
| SD of criterion | 0.28 |
| Covariance | 0.03 |
| r | 0.50 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0.56 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.05 |
| Mean Square Error | 0.06 |
| DF error | 89 |
| t(b) | 5.39 |
| p(b) | 0 |
| t(a) | -0.51 |
| p(a) | 0.70 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.35 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.77 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.23 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.14 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | 0.20 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | -0.05 |
| Mean | 0.05 |
| SD | 0.39 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 0.13 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 0.12 |
| df | 90 |
| t | 0.35 |
| p | 0.36 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -0.59 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0.84 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -0.59 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 0.84 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.14 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 0.58 |
| Upside part of mean | 0.21 |
| Downside part of mean | -0.16 |
| Upside SD | 0.14 |
| Downside SD | 0.37 |
| N nonnegative terms | 73 |
| N negative terms | 18 |
| N of observations | 91 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.25 |
| Mean of criterion | 0.05 |
| SD of predictor | 0.24 |
| SD of criterion | 0.39 |
| Covariance | 0.06 |
| r | 0.58 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0.94 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.18 |
| Mean Square Error | 0.10 |
| DF error | 89 |
| t(b) | 6.77 |
| p(b) | 0 |
| t(a) | -1.52 |
| p(a) | 0.93 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.67 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 1.22 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.43 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.06 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | 0.05 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | -0.18 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.17 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.21 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.01 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.03 |
| Mean | 0.14 |
| SD | 0.38 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 0.37 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 0.37 |
| df | 1990 |
| t | 1.01 |
| p | 0.49 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -0.35 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 1.08 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -0.35 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 1.08 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.47 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 2.87 |
| Upside part of mean | 0.84 |
| Downside part of mean | -0.70 |
| Upside SD | 0.24 |
| Downside SD | 0.29 |
| N nonnegative terms | 1516 |
| N negative terms | 475 |
| N of observations | 1991 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.33 |
| Mean of criterion | 0.14 |
| SD of predictor | 0.38 |
| SD of criterion | 0.38 |
| Covariance | 0.06 |
| r | 0.44 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0.44 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.01 |
| Mean Square Error | 0.12 |
| DF error | 1989 |
| t(b) | 22.13 |
| p(b) | 0.23 |
| t(a) | -0.04 |
| p(a) | 0.50 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.41 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.48 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.25 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.24 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | 0.31 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | -0.01 |
| Mean | 0.05 |
| SD | 0.45 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 0.11 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 0.11 |
| df | 1990 |
| t | 0.30 |
| p | 0.50 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -0.60 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0.82 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -0.60 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 0.82 |
| Sortino ratio | 0.13 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 2.07 |
| Upside part of mean | 0.82 |
| Downside part of mean | -0.77 |
| Upside SD | 0.23 |
| Downside SD | 0.39 |
| N nonnegative terms | 1516 |
| N negative terms | 475 |
| N of observations | 1991 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.25 |
| Mean of criterion | 0.05 |
| SD of predictor | 0.38 |
| SD of criterion | 0.45 |
| Covariance | 0.07 |
| r | 0.43 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0.51 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.08 |
| Mean Square Error | 0.17 |
| DF error | 1989 |
| t(b) | 21.20 |
| p(b) | 0.24 |
| t(a) | -0.53 |
| p(a) | 0.51 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.46 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.56 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.37 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.21 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | 0.10 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | -0.08 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.04 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.06 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.00 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.01 |
| Mean | 0 |
| SD | 0 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 0 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 0 |
| df | 0 |
| t | 0 |
| p | 0 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 0 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 0 |
| Sortino ratio | 0 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 0 |
| Upside part of mean | 0 |
| Downside part of mean | 0 |
| Upside SD | 0 |
| Downside SD | 0 |
| N nonnegative terms | 131 |
| N negative terms | 0 |
| N of observations | 131 |
| Mean of predictor | 1.36 |
| Mean of criterion | 0 |
| SD of predictor | 0.52 |
| SD of criterion | 0 |
| Covariance | 0 |
| r | 0 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 0 |
| Mean Square Error | 0 |
| DF error | 0 |
| t(b) | 0 |
| p(b) | 0 |
| t(a) | 0 |
| p(a) | 0 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | 0 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | 0 |
| Mean | 0 |
| SD | 0 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 0 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 0 |
| df | 0 |
| t | 0 |
| p | 0 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 0 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 0 |
| Sortino ratio | 0 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 0 |
| Upside part of mean | 0 |
| Downside part of mean | 0 |
| Upside SD | 0 |
| Downside SD | 0 |
| N nonnegative terms | 131 |
| N negative terms | 0 |
| N of observations | 131 |
| Mean of predictor | 1.23 |
| Mean of criterion | 0 |
| SD of predictor | 0.52 |
| SD of criterion | 0 |
| Covariance | 0 |
| r | 0 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 0 |
| Mean Square Error | 0 |
| DF error | 0 |
| t(b) | 0 |
| p(b) | 0 |
| t(a) | 0 |
| p(a) | 0 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0 |
| VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl) | 0.04 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | 0 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0 |
| VaR(95%) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0 |
ORDER STATISTICS
| Number of observations | 91 |
|---|---|
| Minimum | 0.37 |
| Quartile 1 | 1 |
| Median | 1 |
| Quartile 3 | 1.02 |
| Maximum | 1.26 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.96 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1.01 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1.07 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.02 |
| Number outliers low | 2 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.02 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0.66 |
| Number of outliers high | 8 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.09 |
| Mean of outliers high | 1.12 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | -1.15 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0.00 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0.00 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 1.24 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.01 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0 |
| Number of observations | 1991 |
| Minimum | 0.40 |
| Quartile 1 | 1 |
| Median | 1 |
| Quartile 3 | 1.00 |
| Maximum | 1.27 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.99 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1.00 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1.01 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.00 |
| Number outliers low | 325 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.16 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0.98 |
| Number of outliers high | 356 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.18 |
| Mean of outliers high | 1.02 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 1.19 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0.01 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0.85 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.01 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0.04 |
| Number of observations | 131 |
| Minimum | 1 |
| Quartile 1 | 1 |
| Median | 1 |
| Quartile 3 | 1 |
| Maximum | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0 |
| Number outliers low | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0 |
| Number of outliers high | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0 |
| Mean of outliers high | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0 |
DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
| Number of observations | 6 |
|---|---|
| Minimum | 0.00 |
| Quartile 1 | 0.01 |
| Median | 0.05 |
| Quartile 3 | 0.07 |
| Maximum | 0.63 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.00 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0.02 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 0.07 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 0.35 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.07 |
| Number outliers low | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0 |
| Number of outliers high | 1 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.17 |
| Mean of outliers high | 0.63 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0 |
| Number of observations | 54 |
| Minimum | 0.00 |
| Quartile 1 | 0.00 |
| Median | 0.01 |
| Quartile 3 | 0.02 |
| Maximum | 0.66 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.00 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0.00 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 0.01 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 0.09 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.01 |
| Number outliers low | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0 |
| Number of outliers high | 6 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.11 |
| Mean of outliers high | 0.17 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0.87 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0.07 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0.59 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 1.11 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.07 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0 |
| Number of observations | 0 |
| Minimum | 0 |
| Quartile 1 | 0 |
| Median | 0 |
| Quartile 3 | 0 |
| Maximum | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 0 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0 |
| Number outliers low | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0 |
| Number of outliers high | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0 |
| Mean of outliers high | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0 |
| Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life? | -385928320 |
| Max Equity Drawdown (num days) | 29 |
| Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative | 0.0% |
COMBINED STATISTICS
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | 0.06 |
|---|---|
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | 0.05 |
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | 0.08 |
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | 0.14 |
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | 0.25 |
| j156mfCOMBRisPar | 0 |
| j157mfCOMBRisPar | 0 |
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | 0.06 |
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | 0.05 |
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | 0.08 |
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | 0.58 |
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | 0.91 |
| j313dfCOMBRisPar | 0 |
| j314dfCOMBRisPar | 0 |
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | 0 |
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | 0 |
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | 0 |
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | 0 |
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | 0 |
Trading record
Placed 1837 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.
| Symbol | Side | Qty | Opened | Closed | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ISRG | long | 9 | Feb 28, 2013 | Mar 1, 2013 | $33 |
| SHLD | long | 104 | Feb 28, 2013 | Mar 1, 2013 | ($79) |
| EXPD | long | 123 | Feb 26, 2013 | Feb 27, 2013 | ($151) |
| APOL | long | 276 | Feb 26, 2013 | Feb 27, 2013 | $30 |
| FFIV | long | 49 | Feb 25, 2013 | Feb 26, 2013 | ($143) |
| APOL | long | 265 | Feb 25, 2013 | Feb 26, 2013 | ($85) |
| NTAP | long | 138 | Feb 21, 2013 | Feb 22, 2013 | $78 |
| WCRX | long | 344 | Feb 21, 2013 | Feb 22, 2013 | $96 |
| AVGO | long | 142 | Feb 21, 2013 | Feb 22, 2013 | $92 |
| SPLS | long | 337 | Feb 20, 2013 | Feb 21, 2013 | ($172) |
| GRMN | long | 126 | Feb 20, 2013 | Feb 21, 2013 | ($33) |
| LIFE | long | 78 | Feb 20, 2013 | Feb 21, 2013 | ($81) |
| ISRG | long | 8 | Feb 20, 2013 | Feb 21, 2013 | ($61) |
| GOLD | long | 58 | Feb 20, 2013 | Feb 21, 2013 | ($53) |
| WYNN | long | 40 | Feb 19, 2013 | Feb 20, 2013 | $83 |
| MNST | long | 96 | Feb 19, 2013 | Feb 20, 2013 | $56 |
| ALXN | long | 57 | Feb 19, 2013 | Feb 20, 2013 | $120 |
| GOLD | long | 55 | Feb 15, 2013 | Feb 19, 2013 | ($4) |
| NTAP | long | 137 | Feb 14, 2013 | Feb 15, 2013 | $212 |
| WFM | long | 102 | Feb 14, 2013 | Feb 15, 2013 | ($80) |
| DTV | long | 95 | Feb 14, 2013 | Feb 15, 2013 | ($14) |
| ALXN | long | 53 | Feb 14, 2013 | Feb 15, 2013 | ($10) |
| FOSL | long | 44 | Feb 13, 2013 | Feb 14, 2013 | ($77) |
| GMCR | long | 108 | Feb 11, 2013 | Feb 12, 2013 | ($17) |
| MU | long | 606 | Feb 7, 2013 | Feb 8, 2013 | $86 |
| GMCR | long | 99 | Feb 7, 2013 | Feb 8, 2013 | $193 |
| CTRP | long | 222 | Feb 7, 2013 | Feb 8, 2013 | $123 |
| VMED | long | 105 | Feb 6, 2013 | Feb 7, 2013 | $103 |
| BIDU | long | 45 | Feb 5, 2013 | Feb 6, 2013 | ($98) |
| DELL | long | 351 | Feb 4, 2013 | Feb 5, 2013 | $88 |
Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.
These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.