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Quick Profit

Stocks · Started Nov 2008

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
0.0%
Max Drawdown
100.0%
Trades
498
Win Trades
61.2%
Profit Factor
1.30
Win Months
1.4%

About this strategy





















































































Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20081.8-0.21.6
2009-12.2-8.0-16.0-4.12.07.8-8.9-15.10.0-28.4-27.1-31.9-80.3
2010-46.8-87.9-726.7-116.0-54.1-22.0-46.2-7.3-18.2-16.6-13.3-10.4-543.1
2011-21.1-0.1-8.7-8.0-7.4-6.9-12.9-5.80.0-7.5-10.1-4.6
2012-4.40.0-8.4-3.9-3.7-3.6-3.5-3.3-3.2-3.1-3.0-3.0
2013-2.8-2.80.0-2.7-5.3-2.5-2.4-2.4-2.3-2.3-2.2-2.2
2014-2.1-2.1-2.0-2.0-2.0-1.9-1.9-1.8-1.8-1.8-1.8-1.7
2015-1.7-1.7-1.6-1.6-1.6-1.6-1.5-1.6-1.5-1.5-1.5-1.4
2016-1.4-1.4-1.4-1.4-1.3-1.3-1.3-1.3-1.3-1.3-1.2-1.2
2017-1.2-1.2-1.2-2.30.0-1.1-1.1-2.2-1.1-1.1-1.1-1.1
2018-1.0-1.0-1.0-1.0-1.0-1.0-1.0-1.0-1.0-1.0-0.90.0
20190.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began11/12/2008
Suggested Minimum Capital$1,421
Age217 months
What it tradesStocks
# Trades498
# Profitable305
% Profitable61.2%
Avg trade duration2.9 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown100.0%
drawdown periodAug 08, 2009 - Nov 21, 2018
Annual Return (Compounded)0.0%
Avg win$5
Avg loss$6

Ratios

W:L ratio1.30
Sharpe Ratio-0.98
Sortino Ratio-0.98
Calmar Ratio0.27

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.01
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life796.1%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-1121.4%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)0.0%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)1.3%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life1.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss59.0%
Chance of 20% account loss19.0%
Chance of 30% account loss3.5%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)531
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$6
Avg Win$5
# Winners305
Sum Trade PL (losers)$1,207
Sum Trade PL (winners)$1,570
Num Months Winners3
# Losers193
% Winners61.2%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct4

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table17

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)4133.62
Avg Position Time (hrs)68.89
Avg Trade Length2.90
Last Trade Ago6152

Regression

Alpha0
Beta0.04
Treynor Index0

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.02
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.01
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades11.25
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.03
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats18.84
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats10.63
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.46
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.04
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.08

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.05
SD0.09
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.57
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.57
df59
t1.28
p0.10
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.31
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.45
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.32
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.45
Sortino ratio1.14
Upside Potential Ratio2.04
Upside part of mean0.09
Downside part of mean-0.04
Upside SD0.08
Downside SD0.04
N nonnegative terms48
N negative terms12
N of observations60
Mean of predictor0.24
Mean of criterion0.05
SD of predictor0.19
SD of criterion0.09
Covariance-0.00
r-0.29
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.14
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.08
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error58
t(b)-2.32
p(b)0.99
t(a)2.07
p(a)0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.26
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.17
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.37
Jensen alpha (a)0.08
Mean0.05
SD0.09
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.54
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.53
df59
t1.20
p0.12
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.35
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.42
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.35
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.41
Sortino ratio1.02
Upside Potential Ratio1.92
Upside part of mean0.09
Downside part of mean-0.04
Upside SD0.07
Downside SD0.05
N nonnegative terms48
N negative terms12
N of observations60
Mean of predictor0.23
Mean of criterion0.05
SD of predictor0.18
SD of criterion0.09
Covariance-0.00
r-0.29
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.14
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.08
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error58
t(b)-2.32
p(b)0.99
t(a)1.96
p(a)0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.26
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.16
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.34
Jensen alpha (a)0.08
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.05
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean0.07
SD0.20
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.33
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.33
df1311
t0.74
p0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.55
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.21
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.55
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.21
Sortino ratio0.50
Upside Potential Ratio4.13
Upside part of mean0.55
Downside part of mean-0.49
Upside SD0.15
Downside SD0.13
N nonnegative terms1155
N negative terms157
N of observations1312
Mean of predictor0.29
Mean of criterion0.07
SD of predictor0.36
SD of criterion0.20
Covariance-0.01
r-0.09
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.05
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.04
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error1310
t(b)-3.36
p(b)0.55
t(a)0.91
p(a)0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.08
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.26
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.29
Jensen alpha (a)0.08
Mean0.05
SD0.20
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.23
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.23
df1311
t0.51
p0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.65
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.11
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.65
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.11
Sortino ratio0.34
Upside Potential Ratio3.94
Upside part of mean0.54
Downside part of mean-0.50
Upside SD0.15
Downside SD0.14
N nonnegative terms1155
N negative terms157
N of observations1312
Mean of predictor0.23
Mean of criterion0.05
SD of predictor0.36
SD of criterion0.20
Covariance-0.01
r-0.09
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.05
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.06
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error1310
t(b)-3.40
p(b)0.55
t(a)0.65
p(a)0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.08
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.24
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.88
Jensen alpha (a)0.06
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
Mean0
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms131
N negative terms0
N of observations131
Mean of predictor-0.04
Mean of criterion0
SD of predictor0.20
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean0
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms131
N negative terms0
N of observations131
Mean of predictor-0.06
Mean of criterion0
SD of predictor0.20
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations60
Minimum0.92
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.09
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.03
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low12
Percentage of outliers low0.20
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high15
Percentage of outliers high0.25
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)1.16
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.14
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations1312
Minimum0.89
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.12
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low157
Percentage of outliers low0.12
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high153
Percentage of outliers high0.12
Mean of outliers high1.02
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.68
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations2
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.04
Median0.07
Quartile 30.10
Maximum0.13
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.13
Inter Quartile Range0.06
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations15
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.02
Median0.05
Quartile 30.06
Maximum0.15
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.04
Mean of quarter 30.06
Mean of quarter 40.11
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high0.15
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-3.91
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.11
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.11
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.40
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.12
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.14
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-79
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)3392
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative1.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.05
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.05
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.36
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.36
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal1.03
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.05
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.05
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.32
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.45
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal1.89
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 160 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
IRE long1Oct 30, 2009Nov 2, 2009($85)
STEC long8Oct 27, 2009Oct 30, 2009($8)
RDN long66Oct 27, 2009Oct 30, 2009$41
FUQI long8Oct 28, 2009Oct 29, 2009$4
PCS long125Oct 20, 2009Oct 21, 2009($9)
WPTE long108Sep 25, 2009Oct 5, 2009($5)
BLDR long42Sep 25, 2009Oct 5, 2009$15
GRAN long85Sep 25, 2009Oct 5, 2009($15)
OSIR long13Sep 25, 2009Oct 5, 2009($10)
WPTE long107.632003784Sep 8, 2009Sep 25, 2009$1
OSIR long13.213999748Sep 9, 2009Sep 25, 2009($8)
GRAN long84.541999817Sep 9, 2009Sep 25, 2009($11)
BLDR long41.206001282Sep 3, 2009Sep 25, 2009($14)
ACAD long82.553001404Sep 3, 2009Sep 25, 2009($31)
WAVE long19Sep 8, 2009Sep 18, 2009$11
XRM long2.384e-06Sep 8, 2009Sep 17, 2009$0
AEZS long19Sep 8, 2009Sep 14, 2009$23
RIGL long14.635000229Aug 31, 2009Sep 8, 2009($5)
GCI short16.340000153Jul 28, 2009Sep 8, 2009($29)
RDN short13.427000046Aug 18, 2009Sep 2, 2009($5)
LCRD short11.93500042Aug 31, 2009Sep 1, 2009$10
OWW short18.684999466Aug 19, 2009Sep 1, 2009($1)
CBC short19.395000458Aug 17, 2009Aug 28, 2009$6
HGSI short7.31799984Jul 24, 2009Aug 27, 2009($36)
ARM short13.498000145Aug 17, 2009Aug 26, 2009$3
MEG short14.493000031Aug 17, 2009Aug 18, 2009$2
FOE short18.826999664Aug 4, 2009Aug 17, 2009($18)
BEXP short19.537000656Aug 5, 2009Aug 17, 2009($29)
MTG short16.055999756Jul 31, 2009Aug 11, 2009($14)
BCRX short23.302000046Jul 24, 2009Jul 31, 2009($0)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.