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Gulf Stream 10 SE

Stocks · Started Nov 2008

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
2.6%
Max Drawdown
52.2%
Trades
7200
Win Trades
38.3%
Profit Factor
1.10
Win Months
13.5%

About this strategy

Relationship: Gulf Stream 10 SE is the same system as Gulf Stream 10 (www.collective2.com/go/gulfstream10), same historical performance, but another stocks and time of entry/exit.

Brief description: Gulf Stream 10 SE is a long-short trading system which trades 10 different stocks. Good for 50K-150K accounts.

Max allowed subscribers for the system is 10. Subscription is available right now.

Historical performance: Gulf Stream 10 SE is trend-following system, so its performance depends on market, in 2000-2007 it gave from +30% to 150% ann. return (worst year was 2007). Max Drawdown was from 7% to 20%.

MM: We dont increase position size as the account increases, but we vary position size every week. We can use leverage (1:2 max), so position could be from $0 up to $200 000, but usually about $100 000.

Orders: All orders are "market orders", so the best way to trade our system is autotrading.

You can also subscribe to Gulf Stream Hedge Fund:

www.collective2.com/go/gulfstreamfund (20-50 stocks, good for 100K-500K accounts), subscription is available!

www.collective2.com/go/gulfstream10 (also 10 stocks, good for 50K-150K accounts), subscription is available!

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
200828.62.131.2
20099.0-2.18.24.57.4-4.7-1.1-7.67.20.2-4.24.721.4
2010-0.1-1.4-1.2-2.9-1.02.80.6-3.8-7.00.5-0.11.5-11.7
2011-3.66.0-9.91.6-0.31.81.611.49.56.5-7.4-9.45.2
20123.3-7.8-3.1-11.0-18.113.93.8-3.4-1.7-0.25.011.7-11.6
201316.2-4.10.2-0.50.00.0-0.00.00.00.00.00.011.1
2014-0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-0.0
20150.00.0-0.00.0-0.00.0-0.00.0-0.0-0.20.00.0-0.2
20160.00.0-0.0-0.00.00.03.56.20.00.00.00.09.9
20170.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20180.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20190.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began11/16/2008
Suggested Minimum Capital$100,000
Age217 months
What it tradesStocks
# Trades7200
# Profitable2761
% Profitable38.3%
Avg trade duration2.1 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown52.2%
drawdown periodMay 14, 2009 - April 21, 2012
Annual Return (Compounded)2.6%
Avg win$630
Avg loss$342

Ratios

W:L ratio1.15
Sharpe Ratio0.10
Sortino Ratio0.15
Calmar Ratio0.31

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.02
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life774.6%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-713.3%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)2.6%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)6.7%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity17.2%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life1.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss100.0%
Chance of 40% account loss100.0%
Chance of 50% account loss100.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$342
Avg Win$630
# Winners2761
Sum Trade PL (losers)$1,519,757
Sum Trade PL (winners)$1,740,133
Num Months Winners33
# Losers4439
% Winners38.3%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct-3

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table215

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)3001.32
Avg Position Time (hrs)50.02
Avg Trade Length2.10
Last Trade Ago4914

Regression

Alpha0
Beta-0.02
Treynor Index-0.26

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades13.27
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.59
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats22.76
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats29.50
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.28
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.20
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.07

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.13
SD0.13
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.00
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.99
df81
t2.60
p0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.23
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.76
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.22
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.75
Sortino ratio2.14
Upside Potential Ratio3.48
Upside part of mean0.22
Downside part of mean-0.08
Upside SD0.12
Downside SD0.06
N nonnegative terms57
N negative terms25
N of observations82
Mean of predictor0.35
Mean of criterion0.13
SD of predictor0.22
SD of criterion0.13
Covariance-0.00
r-0.06
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.03
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.15
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error80
t(b)-0.50
p(b)0.69
t(a)2.57
p(a)0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.17
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.10
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.26
Treynor index (mean / b)-3.99
Jensen alpha (a)0.15
Mean0.12
SD0.13
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.95
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.94
df81
t2.49
p0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.18
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.71
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.18
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.71
Sortino ratio1.93
Upside Potential Ratio3.27
Upside part of mean0.21
Downside part of mean-0.09
Upside SD0.12
Downside SD0.06
N nonnegative terms57
N negative terms25
N of observations82
Mean of predictor0.32
Mean of criterion0.12
SD of predictor0.22
SD of criterion0.13
Covariance-0.00
r-0.05
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.03
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.13
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error80
t(b)-0.48
p(b)0.68
t(a)2.47
p(a)0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.17
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.10
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.24
Treynor index (mean / b)-3.87
Jensen alpha (a)0.13
VaR(95%)0.05
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.07
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
Mean0.18
SD0.34
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.53
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.53
df1790
t1.39
p0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.22
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.28
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.22
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.28
Sortino ratio0.84
Upside Potential Ratio4.40
Upside part of mean0.96
Downside part of mean-0.77
Upside SD0.26
Downside SD0.22
N nonnegative terms1222
N negative terms569
N of observations1791
Mean of predictor0.38
Mean of criterion0.18
SD of predictor0.37
SD of criterion0.34
Covariance0.04
r0.34
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.31
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.06
Mean Square Error0.10
DF error1789
t(b)15.19
p(b)0.29
t(a)0.50
p(a)0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.27
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.35
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.18
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.30
Treynor index (mean / b)0.58
Jensen alpha (a)0.06
Mean0.12
SD0.34
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.37
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.37
df1790
t0.96
p0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.38
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.12
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.38
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.12
Sortino ratio0.50
Upside Potential Ratio3.74
Upside part of mean0.93
Downside part of mean-0.80
Upside SD0.23
Downside SD0.25
N nonnegative terms1222
N negative terms569
N of observations1791
Mean of predictor0.32
Mean of criterion0.12
SD of predictor0.37
SD of criterion0.34
Covariance0.04
r0.32
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.30
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.03
Mean Square Error0.10
DF error1789
t(b)14.48
p(b)0.30
t(a)0.24
p(a)0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.26
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.34
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.21
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.27
Treynor index (mean / b)0.42
Jensen alpha (a)0.03
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean0
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms131
N negative terms0
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.19
Mean of criterion0
SD of predictor0.44
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean0
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms131
N negative terms0
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.09
Mean of criterion0
SD of predictor0.44
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations82
Minimum0.93
Quartile 11.00
Median1
Quartile 31.03
Maximum1.15
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.06
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low4
Percentage of outliers low0.05
Mean of outliers low0.94
Number of outliers high4
Percentage of outliers high0.05
Mean of outliers high1.12
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.13
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.51
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.04
Number of observations1791
Minimum0.66
Quartile 11.00
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.50
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low204
Percentage of outliers low0.11
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high235
Percentage of outliers high0.13
Mean of outliers high1.02
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.64
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.03
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.48
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations7
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.03
Median0.06
Quartile 30.07
Maximum0.14
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.05
Mean of quarter 30.07
Mean of quarter 40.11
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.14
Mean of outliers high0.14
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations26
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.03
Quartile 30.06
Maximum0.42
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.04
Mean of quarter 40.17
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.12
Mean of outliers high0.30
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.66
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.20
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.63
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.58
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.20
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-393867168
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)1073
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.20
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.13
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.94
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.24
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal2.03
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.20
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.13
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.31
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.78
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal3.17
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 5107 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
MCP short3300Mar 28, 2013Apr 1, 2013$424
FSLR short800Mar 28, 2013Apr 1, 2013($221)
NUS short500Mar 28, 2013Apr 1, 2013($195)
TEX long600Mar 27, 2013Apr 1, 2013($491)
NFLX short1429Mar 27, 2013Apr 1, 2013$275
PAY long1000Mar 27, 2013Apr 1, 2013$135
SSYS long300Mar 27, 2013Apr 1, 2013$489
XIV long1000Mar 22, 2013Apr 1, 2013$665
MCP long3300Mar 27, 2013Mar 28, 2013($434)
FSLR long800Mar 27, 2013Mar 28, 2013($205)
NUS long500Mar 26, 2013Mar 28, 2013$510
TEX short600Mar 27, 2013Mar 27, 2013($515)
FSLR short800Mar 25, 2013Mar 27, 2013$843
NFLX long1429Mar 26, 2013Mar 27, 2013$531
PAY short1000Mar 25, 2013Mar 27, 2013$245
SSYS short300Mar 25, 2013Mar 27, 2013$141
TEX long600Mar 26, 2013Mar 27, 2013($563)
NUS short500Mar 25, 2013Mar 26, 2013($180)
NFLX short1429Mar 25, 2013Mar 26, 2013($1,294)
TEX short600Mar 21, 2013Mar 26, 2013$499
NFLX long1429Mar 25, 2013Mar 25, 2013($860)
FSLR long800Mar 22, 2013Mar 25, 2013($413)
PAY long1000Mar 22, 2013Mar 25, 2013($465)
NFLX short1429Mar 22, 2013Mar 25, 2013($308)
PAY short1000Mar 21, 2013Mar 22, 2013$285
FSLR short800Mar 22, 2013Mar 22, 2013($213)
FSLR long800Mar 22, 2013Mar 22, 2013($85)
FSLR short800Mar 21, 2013Mar 22, 2013$163
XIV short1000Mar 21, 2013Mar 22, 2013($405)
NFLX long1429Mar 21, 2013Mar 22, 2013($732)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.