Shorting Options
- hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
- 0.0%
- Max Drawdown
- 100.0%
- Trades
- 95
- Win Trades
- 95.8%
- Profit Factor
- 0.20
- Win Months
- 28.4%
About this strategy
DUE TO LIMITED SPACE, A MORE DETAILED DESCRIPTION CAN BE FOUND HERE (which includes Frequently Asked Questions): http://tinyurl.com/lm7zgv PLEASE READ IT BEFORE MAKING A DECISION ON MY STRATEGY. THANK YOU VERY MUCH
Have an IRA, 401(K) or other account that you don't want to withdraw from? Then this strategy is perfect for you. All you need is to be approved to sell options in your account, and you can use this strategy to beat the S&P year after year. How successful is this way of investing? Check out all of the trades we've closed out on and compare how many are profitable to how many have lost money. We might not double your money overnight, but you'll never go broke when you make continuous profits.
FYI: I use SPY as my covered position so I'm not counting it as a loss if it is ever in-the-red. It's one of the safest and liquid ETF's out there and in this strategy I don't plan on selling any shares if I don't really have to. Please factor this in when evaluating my strategy.
-----------------------------------------------
Please be kind and visit my other websites below, thank you:
Save up to 35% on all of your online purchases from sites like eBay, Walmart, Target, Best Buy, Overstock, etc. = http://www.mrrebates.com/?refid=304848 (copy and paste the full link)
Sovereign Citizens = http://www.zazzle.com/sovereigns*
All rights reserved without: prejudice, recourse or notice. (UCC 1-308)
Have an IRA, 401(K) or other account that you don't want to withdraw from? Then this strategy is perfect for you. All you need is to be approved to sell options in your account, and you can use this strategy to beat the S&P year after year. How successful is this way of investing? Check out all of the trades we've closed out on and compare how many are profitable to how many have lost money. We might not double your money overnight, but you'll never go broke when you make continuous profits.
FYI: I use SPY as my covered position so I'm not counting it as a loss if it is ever in-the-red. It's one of the safest and liquid ETF's out there and in this strategy I don't plan on selling any shares if I don't really have to. Please factor this in when evaluating my strategy.
-----------------------------------------------
Please be kind and visit my other websites below, thank you:
Save up to 35% on all of your online purchases from sites like eBay, Walmart, Target, Best Buy, Overstock, etc. = http://www.mrrebates.com/?refid=304848 (copy and paste the full link)
Sovereign Citizens = http://www.zazzle.com/sovereigns*
All rights reserved without: prejudice, recourse or notice. (UCC 1-308)
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 7.8 | 8.8 | 17.3 | ||||||||||
| 2009 | -2.9 | -5.4 | 10.0 | 10.3 | 5.9 | 0.9 | 5.3 | 5.7 | 2.9 | -2.7 | 6.1 | 1.8 | 43.2 |
| 2010 | -4.1 | 5.9 | 3.2 | 1.6 | -5.2 | -11.0 | 16.3 | 0.0 | 10.8 | 5.1 | -0.4 | 10.9 | 34.6 |
| 2011 | 2.6 | 4.2 | -0.4 | 2.5 | 0.5 | -2.7 | -1.1 | -7.3 | -8.3 | 20.9 | -8.9 | 7.4 | 6.2 |
| 2012 | 8.6 | 2.2 | 2.3 | -0.3 | -3.1 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1.7 | -1.0 | 1.0 | -0.6 | -0.1 | 14.5 |
| 2013 | -3.1 | -0.7 | -1.7 | -1.1 | -2.0 | 2.1 | -5.2 | 2.9 | -2.1 | -3.2 | -2.1 | -0.8 | -16.0 |
| 2014 | 1.6 | -3.2 | 0.1 | -0.6 | -2.9 | -2.4 | 0.0 | -1.8 | 1.4 | -2.2 | -2.7 | -0.2 | -12.3 |
| 2015 | 3.5 | -6.0 | 2.4 | -2.1 | -0.3 | 2.0 | -2.0 | 6.1 | 3.3 | -8.1 | -0.7 | 1.9 | -1.1 |
| 2016 | 5.4 | -0.7 | -5.6 | -1.1 | 0.1 | 4.2 | -8.4 | -0.9 | 0.5 | 2.3 | -4.5 | -3.7 | -12.5 |
| 2017 | -1.5 | -5.1 | 0.4 | -2.1 | -2.1 | -0.6 | -2.8 | 1.4 | -4.3 | -4.8 | -4.1 | -3.3 | -25.5 |
| 2018 | -13.3 | 12.6 | 4.7 | -2.2 | -6.6 | 1.9 | -10.0 | -6.7 | -0.8 | 18.2 | -2.7 | 22.1 | 11.2 |
| 2019 | -10.6 | -14.3 | -0.6 | -13.0 | 1.2 | -0.8 | -2.9 | 2.6 | -4.4 | -8.6 | -9.1 | -15.6 | -55.6 |
| 2020 | -0.7 | 16.0 | 15.2 | 17.0 | -20.0 | 0.3 | -24.8 | -42.6 | 32.6 | -22.3 | -26.3 | -52.0 | -80.4 |
| 2021 | -21.0 | -103.2 | -4873.6 | -130.2 | -12.5 | -15.9 | -27.7 | -19.2 | -8.7 | -25.2 | -0.3 | -14.0 | -850.0 |
| 2022 | -30.3 | -3.9 | -37.5 | -41.8 | -16.7 | -59.5 | -4.7 | -49.6 | -129.8 | -320.5 | -48.1 | -49.8 | |
| 2023 | -173.4 | -20.9 | -45.8 | -19.4 | -8.3 | -43.5 | -17.8 | -14.8 | -18.7 | -13.7 | -70.2 | -19.9 | |
| 2024 | -13.1 | -16.0 | -11.7 | -8.0 | -14.1 | -9.4 | -0.5 | -11.4 | -2.2 | -6.0 | -10.5 | -6.8 | |
| 2025 | -7.8 | -3.1 | -12.4 | -4.9 | -13.2 | -15.8 | -8.5 | -3.4 | -8.0 | -4.9 | -0.4 | -2.1 | |
| 2026 | -0.3 | -0.6 | -16.8 | -29.2 | -11.7 | -2.4 | -2.0 | -8.2 | -2.0 | -22.3 |
Statistics
Overview
| Strategy began | 11/20/2008 |
|---|---|
| Suggested Minimum Capital | $10,000 |
| Age | 217 months |
| What it trades | Options |
| # Trades | 95 |
| # Profitable | 91 |
| % Profitable | 95.8% |
| Avg trade duration | 83.7 days |
| Max peak-to-valley drawdown | 100.0% |
| drawdown period | June 17, 2022 - Aug 17, 2026 |
| Annual Return (Compounded) | 0.0% |
| Avg win | $199 |
| Avg loss | $15,551 |
Ratios
| W:L ratio | 0.20 |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.53 |
| Sortino Ratio | -0.55 |
| Calmar Ratio | -0.77 |
CORRELATION STATISTICS
| Correlation to SP500 | -0.04 |
|---|---|
| Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life | 903.6% |
| Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu) | -1430.5% |
Return Statistics
| Ann Return (w trading costs) | 0.0% |
|---|---|
| Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant) | 0.0% |
| Return Pcnt Since TOS Status | 0.0% |
| Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees) | 0.0% |
Slump
| Current Slump as Pcnt Equity | — |
|---|---|
| Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life | 0.8% |
Instruments
| Percent Trades Forex | 0.0% |
|---|---|
| Percent Trades Futures | 0.0% |
| Percent Trades Options | 1.0% |
| Percent Trades Stocks | 0.0% |
Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
| Chance of 10% account loss | 100.0% |
|---|---|
| Chance of 20% account loss | 100.0% |
| Chance of 30% account loss | 100.0% |
| Chance of 40% account loss | 100.0% |
| Chance of 50% account loss | 100.0% |
| Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 0.0% |
| Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 0.0% |
| Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 0.0% |
| Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 0.0% |
| Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 0.0% |
Automation
| Percentage Signals Automated | 0.0% |
|---|
Popularity
| Popularity (Today) | 0 |
|---|---|
| Popularity (Last 6 weeks) | 0 |
| Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale) | 0 |
Trading Style
| Any stock shorts? 0/1 | 1 |
|---|
Trades-Own-System Certification
| Trades Own System? | 0 |
|---|---|
| TOS percent | 0.0% |
Win / Loss
| Avg Loss | $15,551 |
|---|---|
| Avg Win | $199 |
| # Winners | 91 |
| Sum Trade PL (losers) | $62,204 |
| Sum Trade PL (winners) | $18,091 |
| Num Months Winners | 63 |
| # Losers | 4 |
| % Winners | 95.8% |
Dividends
| Dividends Received in Model Acct | -5422 |
|---|
Age
| Num Months filled monthly returns table | 148 |
|---|
Frequency
| Avg Position Time (mins) | 120574.37 |
|---|---|
| Avg Position Time (hrs) | 2009.57 |
| Avg Trade Length | 83.70 |
| Last Trade Ago | 5139 |
Regression
| Alpha | 0 |
|---|---|
| Beta | -5365.95 |
| Treynor Index | 0 |
Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)
| MAE:Equity, average, all trades | 0.01 |
|---|---|
| MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat | 0 |
| MAE:Equity, average, losing trades | 0.01 |
| MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat | — |
| MAE:Equity, average, winning trades | 0.01 |
| MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat | — |
| Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades | -1.74 |
| MAE:PL (avg, all trades) | 1.66 |
| MAE:PL (avg, losing trades) | — |
| MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats | 19.99 |
| MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats | 32.47 |
| MAE:PL (avg, winning trades) | — |
| MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy | — |
| Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades | 0.73 |
| Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades | -1.04 |
| Hold-and-Hope Ratio | -1.51 |
RATIO STATISTICS
| Mean | 67.89 |
|---|---|
| SD | 170.82 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 0.40 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 0.39 |
| df | 74 |
| t | 0.99 |
| p | 0.16 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -0.39 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 1.18 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -0.39 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 1.18 |
| Sortino ratio | 104.00 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 105.06 |
| Upside part of mean | 68.58 |
| Downside part of mean | -0.69 |
| Upside SD | 170.80 |
| Downside SD | 0.65 |
| N nonnegative terms | 40 |
| N negative terms | 35 |
| N of observations | 75 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.37 |
| Mean of criterion | 67.89 |
| SD of predictor | 0.24 |
| SD of criterion | 170.82 |
| Covariance | -9.15 |
| r | -0.22 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | -159.97 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 127.26 |
| Mean Square Error | 28093.60 |
| DF error | 73 |
| t(b) | -1.96 |
| p(b) | 0.97 |
| t(a) | 1.73 |
| p(a) | 0.04 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -322.32 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 2.38 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -19.32 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 273.83 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -0.42 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | 127.26 |
| Mean | -1.49 |
| SD | 4.71 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | -0.32 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | -0.31 |
| df | 74 |
| t | -0.79 |
| p | 0.78 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -1.10 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0.47 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -1.10 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 0.47 |
| Sortino ratio | -0.37 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 0.30 |
| Upside part of mean | 1.22 |
| Downside part of mean | -2.71 |
| Upside SD | 2.43 |
| Downside SD | 4.03 |
| N nonnegative terms | 40 |
| N negative terms | 35 |
| N of observations | 75 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.34 |
| Mean of criterion | -1.49 |
| SD of predictor | 0.23 |
| SD of criterion | 4.71 |
| Covariance | -0.53 |
| r | -0.50 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | -10.41 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 2.05 |
| Mean Square Error | 16.97 |
| DF error | 73 |
| t(b) | -4.89 |
| p(b) | 1 |
| t(a) | 1.14 |
| p(a) | 0.13 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -14.64 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -6.17 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -1.54 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 5.63 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | 0.14 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | 2.05 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.91 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.94 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.12 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.28 |
| Mean | 482.61 |
| SD | 877.33 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 0.55 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 0.55 |
| df | 1646 |
| t | 1.38 |
| p | 0.48 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -0.23 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 1.33 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -0.23 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 1.33 |
| Sortino ratio | 427.75 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 430.72 |
| Upside part of mean | 485.96 |
| Downside part of mean | -3.35 |
| Upside SD | 877.56 |
| Downside SD | 1.13 |
| N nonnegative terms | 939 |
| N negative terms | 708 |
| N of observations | 1647 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.40 |
| Mean of criterion | 482.61 |
| SD of predictor | 0.35 |
| SD of criterion | 877.33 |
| Covariance | -22.79 |
| r | -0.07 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | -187.09 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 558.27 |
| Mean Square Error | 765901.38 |
| DF error | 1645 |
| t(b) | -3.03 |
| p(b) | 0.55 |
| t(a) | 1.60 |
| p(a) | 0.47 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -308.32 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -65.86 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -128.12 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 1244.66 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -2.58 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | 558.27 |
| Mean | -1.48 |
| SD | 7.00 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | -0.21 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | -0.21 |
| df | 1646 |
| t | -0.53 |
| p | 0.51 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -0.99 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0.57 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -0.99 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 0.57 |
| Sortino ratio | -0.29 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 1.11 |
| Upside part of mean | 5.72 |
| Downside part of mean | -7.21 |
| Upside SD | 4.72 |
| Downside SD | 5.17 |
| N nonnegative terms | 939 |
| N negative terms | 708 |
| N of observations | 1647 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.34 |
| Mean of criterion | -1.48 |
| SD of predictor | 0.35 |
| SD of criterion | 7.00 |
| Covariance | -0.28 |
| r | -0.12 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | -2.31 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.69 |
| Mean Square Error | 48.36 |
| DF error | 1645 |
| t(b) | -4.70 |
| p(b) | 0.57 |
| t(a) | -0.25 |
| p(a) | 0.50 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -3.28 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -1.35 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -6.14 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 4.76 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | 0.64 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | -0.69 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.51 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.59 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.02 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.06 |
| Mean | 6070.05 |
| SD | 3100.82 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 1.96 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 1.95 |
| df | 130 |
| t | 1.38 |
| p | 0.44 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -0.83 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 4.74 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -0.84 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 4.73 |
| Sortino ratio | 1813.86 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 1818.22 |
| Upside part of mean | 6084.66 |
| Downside part of mean | -14.61 |
| Upside SD | 3111.65 |
| Downside SD | 3.35 |
| N nonnegative terms | 118 |
| N negative terms | 13 |
| N of observations | 131 |
| Mean of predictor | 1.18 |
| Mean of criterion | 6070.05 |
| SD of predictor | 0.42 |
| SD of criterion | 3100.82 |
| Covariance | -306.79 |
| r | -0.24 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | -1746.68 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 8134.58 |
| Mean Square Error | 9149630 |
| DF error | 129 |
| t(b) | -2.76 |
| p(b) | 0.65 |
| t(a) | 1.87 |
| p(a) | 0.40 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -2999.12 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -494.24 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -457.57 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 16726.73 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -3.48 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | 8134.58 |
| Mean | 0 |
| SD | 22.59 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 0 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 0 |
| df | 130 |
| t | 0 |
| p | 0.50 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -2.77 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 2.77 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -2.77 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 2.77 |
| Sortino ratio | 0 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 3.24 |
| Upside part of mean | 49.04 |
| Downside part of mean | -49.04 |
| Upside SD | 16.63 |
| Downside SD | 15.16 |
| N nonnegative terms | 118 |
| N negative terms | 13 |
| N of observations | 131 |
| Mean of predictor | 1.09 |
| Mean of criterion | 0 |
| SD of predictor | 0.42 |
| SD of criterion | 22.59 |
| Covariance | -3.39 |
| r | -0.36 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | -19.49 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 21.30 |
| Mean Square Error | 447.65 |
| DF error | 129 |
| t(b) | -4.38 |
| p(b) | 0.72 |
| t(a) | 0.70 |
| p(a) | 0.46 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -28.29 |
| VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl) | 0.51 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -10.68 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -38.68 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 81.28 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | 0 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | 21.30 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.90 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.94 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.02 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.10 |
ORDER STATISTICS
| Number of observations | 75 |
|---|---|
| Minimum | 0.00 |
| Quartile 1 | 0.96 |
| Median | 1 |
| Quartile 3 | 1.03 |
| Maximum | 428 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.79 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0.98 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1.02 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 23.54 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.08 |
| Number outliers low | 3 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.04 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0.09 |
| Number of outliers high | 2 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.03 |
| Mean of outliers high | 214.61 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 1.00 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0.20 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 50.21 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0.60 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.10 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0.24 |
| Number of observations | 1647 |
| Minimum | 0.00 |
| Quartile 1 | 0.99 |
| Median | 1 |
| Quartile 3 | 1.01 |
| Maximum | 2017 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.95 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 1.00 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1.00 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 8.41 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.01 |
| Number outliers low | 155 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.09 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0.89 |
| Number of outliers high | 136 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.08 |
| Mean of outliers high | 23.43 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 1.00 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0.04 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0.66 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.03 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0.09 |
| Number of observations | 131 |
| Minimum | 0.00 |
| Quartile 1 | 1 |
| Median | 1 |
| Quartile 3 | 1 |
| Maximum | 2017 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.78 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 93.19 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0 |
| Number outliers low | 13 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.10 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0.44 |
| Number of outliers high | 9 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.07 |
| Mean of outliers high | 339.04 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | -1.84 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.43 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0.52 |
DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
| Number of observations | 8 |
|---|---|
| Minimum | 0.01 |
| Quartile 1 | 0.03 |
| Median | 0.04 |
| Quartile 3 | 0.10 |
| Maximum | 1.00 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.01 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0.04 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 0.05 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 0.61 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.07 |
| Number outliers low | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0 |
| Number of outliers high | 2 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.25 |
| Mean of outliers high | 0.61 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0 |
| Number of observations | 82 |
| Minimum | 0.00 |
| Quartile 1 | 0.00 |
| Median | 0.02 |
| Quartile 3 | 0.04 |
| Maximum | 1.00 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.00 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0.01 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 0.03 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 0.13 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.04 |
| Number outliers low | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0 |
| Number of outliers high | 6 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.07 |
| Mean of outliers high | 0.30 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0.67 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0.14 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0.43 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 1.16 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.09 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0 |
| Number of observations | 2 |
| Minimum | 1.00 |
| Quartile 1 | 1.00 |
| Median | 1.00 |
| Quartile 3 | 1.00 |
| Maximum | 1.00 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 1.00 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1.00 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.00 |
| Number outliers low | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0 |
| Number of outliers high | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0 |
| Mean of outliers high | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0 |
| Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life? | -415749184 |
| Max Equity Drawdown (num days) | 1522 |
| Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative | 1.0% |
COMBINED STATISTICS
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | -0.16 |
|---|---|
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | -0.78 |
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | -0.78 |
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | -1.26 |
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | -0.82 |
| j156mfCOMBRisPar | 0 |
| j157mfCOMBRisPar | 0 |
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | -0.16 |
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | -0.77 |
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | -0.77 |
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | -5.78 |
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | -1.32 |
| j313dfCOMBRisPar | 0 |
| j314dfCOMBRisPar | 0 |
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | 0 |
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | 0 |
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | 0 |
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | 0 |
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | 0 |
Trading record
Placed 20 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.
| Symbol | Side | Qty | Opened | Closed | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY1218H141 | short | 2 | Jul 10, 2012 | Aug 19, 2012 | $103 |
| SPY1218T123 | short | 1 | Jul 10, 2012 | Aug 19, 2012 | $44 |
| SPY1229F140 | short | 2 | May 17, 2012 | Jun 30, 2012 | $109 |
| SPY1229R118 | short | 1 | May 17, 2012 | Jun 30, 2012 | $80 |
| SPY1230O119 | short | 1 | Feb 22, 2012 | Mar 31, 2012 | $27 |
| SPY1230C145 | short | 2 | Feb 22, 2012 | Mar 31, 2012 | $15 |
| SPY1218N119 | short | 1 | Jan 25, 2012 | Feb 19, 2012 | $18 |
| SPY1218B138 | short | 2 | Jan 25, 2012 | Feb 19, 2012 | $25 |
| SPY1221A131 | short | 2 | Dec 21, 2011 | Jan 22, 2012 | $59 |
| SPY1221M111 | short | 1 | Dec 21, 2011 | Jan 22, 2012 | $42 |
| SPY1117X106 | short | 1 | Nov 22, 2011 | Dec 18, 2011 | $78 |
| SPY1117L129 | short | 2 | Nov 22, 2011 | Dec 18, 2011 | $69 |
| SPY1119W118 | short | 1 | Oct 28, 2011 | Nov 20, 2011 | $59 |
| SPY1119K136 | short | 2 | Oct 28, 2011 | Nov 20, 2011 | $39 |
| SPY1122J128 | short | 2 | Sep 28, 2011 | Oct 23, 2011 | $69 |
| SPY1122V105 | short | 1 | Sep 28, 2011 | Oct 23, 2011 | $106 |
| SPY1117I124 | short | 2 | Aug 22, 2011 | Sep 18, 2011 | $83 |
| SPY1117U93 | short | 1 | Aug 22, 2011 | Sep 18, 2011 | $70 |
| SPY1120T124 | short | 1 | Jul 25, 2011 | Aug 21, 2011 | $40 |
| SPY1120H140 | short | 2 | Jul 25, 2011 | Aug 21, 2011 | $63 |
| SPY1116S120 | short | 1 | Jun 23, 2011 | Jul 17, 2011 | $60 |
| SPY1122G133 | short | 2 | Jun 23, 2011 | Jul 17, 2011 | $41 |
| SPY1130F138 | short | 1 | May 23, 2011 | Jun 19, 2011 | $14 |
| SPY1124R122 | short | 2 | May 23, 2011 | Jun 19, 2011 | $89 |
| SPY1121Q120 | short | 1 | Apr 18, 2011 | May 22, 2011 | $48 |
| SPY1127E136 | short | 2 | Apr 18, 2011 | May 22, 2011 | $39 |
| SPY1116P119 | short | 1 | Mar 21, 2011 | Apr 17, 2011 | $45 |
| SPY1121D136 | short | 2 | Mar 21, 2011 | Apr 17, 2011 | $29 |
| SPY1125C138 | short | 1 | Feb 23, 2011 | Mar 20, 2011 | $16 |
| SPY1125O122 | short | 2 | Feb 23, 2011 | Mar 20, 2011 | $109 |
Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.
These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.