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Forexcash

Forex · Started May 2010

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
0.0%
Max Drawdown
100.0%
Trades
154
Win Trades
72.7%
Profit Factor
0.70
Win Months
1.5%

About this strategy

This system is NOT designed to hold onto Floating Losses (Open Positions) hoping they will return to positive, it will NOT open a lot of trades at anyone combine signal time. It WAS DESIGNED to make REAL MONEY every month and protect your trading capital. We looking for low dd as much as we can and also we are a very short time traders we get in and out fast so the risk will be less

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
201018.3-0.1-72.786.0-33.0-147.6-266.4-128.5-109.1
2011-341.2-64.0320.8-99.0-27.5-6375.8-312.70.00.00.00.00.0
20120.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20130.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20140.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20150.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-0.00.00.0
20160.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20170.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20180.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20190.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began5/14/2010
Suggested Minimum Capital$20,000
Age199 months
What it tradesForex
# Trades154
# Profitable112
% Profitable72.7%
Avg trade duration2.3 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown100.0%
drawdown periodJune 01, 2011 - July 25, 2011
Annual Return (Compounded)0.0%
Avg win$438
Avg loss$1,791

Ratios

W:L ratio0.65
Sharpe Ratio-0.95
Sortino Ratio-0.97
Calmar Ratio-0.91

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.01
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life572.0%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-733.7%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)0.0%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)0.0%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life1.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex1.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss100.0%
Chance of 40% account loss100.0%
Chance of 50% account loss100.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$1,791
Avg Win$438
# Winners112
Sum Trade PL (losers)$75,205
Sum Trade PL (winners)$49,013
Num Months Winners2
# Losers42
% Winners72.7%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table6

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)3328.75
Avg Position Time (hrs)55.48
Avg Trade Length2.30
Last Trade Ago5526

Regression

Alpha0
Beta-0.20
Treynor Index0

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.11
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat4.22
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.20
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.07
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-5.50
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)2.04
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats71.04
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats73.85
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades1.52
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.29
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.18

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean-0.01
SD1.26
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.01
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.01
df48
t-0.02
p0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.98
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.96
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.98
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.96
Sortino ratio-0.02
Upside Potential Ratio1.00
Upside part of mean0.72
Downside part of mean-0.73
Upside SD1.03
Downside SD0.71
N nonnegative terms43
N negative terms6
N of observations49
Mean of predictor0.50
Mean of criterion-0.01
SD of predictor0.23
SD of criterion1.26
Covariance-0.01
r-0.03
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.15
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.06
Mean Square Error1.63
DF error47
t(b)-0.19
p(b)0.57
t(a)0.08
p(a)0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.78
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.44
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.57
Treynor index (mean / b)0.09
Jensen alpha (a)0.06
Mean-2.43
SD4.47
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.54
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.54
df48
t-1.10
p0.86
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.52
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.43
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.51
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.44
Sortino ratio-0.55
Upside Potential Ratio0.10
Upside part of mean0.46
Downside part of mean-2.90
Upside SD0.59
Downside SD4.44
N nonnegative terms43
N negative terms6
N of observations49
Mean of predictor0.46
Mean of criterion-2.43
SD of predictor0.22
SD of criterion4.47
Covariance0.10
r0.10
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.96
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-3.34
Mean Square Error20.19
DF error47
t(b)0.68
p(b)0.25
t(a)-1.29
p(a)0.90
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-3.84
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta7.77
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-8.56
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.88
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.24
Jensen alpha (a)-3.34
VaR(95%)0.90
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.94
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.13
Mean5.40
SD5.91
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.91
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.91
df1076
t1.85
p0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.88
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.05
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.88
Sortino ratio3.75
Upside Potential Ratio7.21
Upside part of mean10.38
Downside part of mean-4.98
Upside SD5.74
Downside SD1.44
N nonnegative terms974
N negative terms103
N of observations1077
Mean of predictor0.52
Mean of criterion5.40
SD of predictor0.35
SD of criterion5.91
Covariance-0.11
r-0.05
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.91
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)5.88
Mean Square Error34.86
DF error1075
t(b)-1.77
p(b)0.53
t(a)2.01
p(a)0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.93
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.10
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.14
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha11.62
Treynor index (mean / b)-5.91
Jensen alpha (a)5.88
Mean-2.42
SD4.98
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.49
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.49
df1076
t-0.98
p0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.45
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.48
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.45
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.48
Sortino ratio-0.54
Upside Potential Ratio1.34
Upside part of mean5.98
Downside part of mean-8.39
Upside SD2.24
Downside SD4.45
N nonnegative terms974
N negative terms103
N of observations1077
Mean of predictor0.46
Mean of criterion-2.42
SD of predictor0.34
SD of criterion4.98
Covariance-0.04
r-0.02
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.30
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-2.28
Mean Square Error24.79
DF error1075
t(b)-0.69
p(b)0.51
t(a)-0.92
p(a)0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.17
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.57
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-7.11
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.56
Treynor index (mean / b)7.95
Jensen alpha (a)-2.28
VaR(95%)0.40
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.47
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
Mean0
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms131
N negative terms0
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.15
Mean of criterion0
SD of predictor0.35
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean0
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms131
N negative terms0
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.09
Mean of criterion0
SD of predictor0.35
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.40
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations49
Minimum0.00
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum3.00
Mean of quarter 10.77
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.24
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low6
Percentage of outliers low0.12
Mean of outliers low0.50
Number of outliers high4
Percentage of outliers high0.08
Mean of outliers high1.73
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.16
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.38
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.68
Number of observations1077
Minimum0.00
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum9.37
Mean of quarter 10.92
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.16
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low103
Percentage of outliers low0.10
Mean of outliers low0.80
Number of outliers high101
Percentage of outliers high0.09
Mean of outliers high1.42
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-3.69
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.02
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.08
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.21
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations1
Minimum1.00
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.00
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations4
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.45
Quartile 30.91
Maximum1.00
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.02
Mean of quarter 30.88
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0.90
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-371684480
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)54
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.8%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.24
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.91
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.91
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-0.97
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.24
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.91
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.91
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.91
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-1.93
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 180 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
USD/JPY long500Sep 28, 2010Jul 25, 2011($119)
GBP/JPY long320Sep 1, 2010Sep 15, 2010$13
USD/CHF long250Aug 24, 2010Sep 1, 2010($5,544)
GBP/USD short650Jul 23, 2010Sep 1, 2010($15,810)
AUD/USD short200Aug 11, 2010Aug 24, 2010$2,073
EUR/JPY long380Jul 22, 2010Jul 22, 2010$7
EUR/USD long500Jul 21, 2010Jul 22, 2010$12
GBP/USD long300Jul 21, 2010Jul 22, 2010$1,500
GBP/USD long400Jul 21, 2010Jul 21, 2010$277
EUR/USD long390Jul 21, 2010Jul 21, 2010($9)
EUR/USD long100Jul 21, 2010Jul 21, 2010$46
GBP/USD short600Jul 21, 2010Jul 21, 2010$1,308
EUR/USD long600Jul 21, 2010Jul 21, 2010($666)
GBP/USD short600Jul 21, 2010Jul 21, 2010$702
EUR/USD long500Jul 21, 2010Jul 21, 2010($940)
GBP/USD short600Jul 21, 2010Jul 21, 2010$996
GBP/USD long500Jul 19, 2010Jul 21, 2010$710
EUR/USD long600Jul 19, 2010Jul 19, 2010$300
GBP/USD long500Jul 19, 2010Jul 19, 2010$710
EUR/USD short480Jul 16, 2010Jul 19, 2010($921)
GBP/USD short600Jul 16, 2010Jul 16, 2010$2,820
GBP/USD long600Jul 16, 2010Jul 16, 2010($4,122)
EUR/USD short900Jul 16, 2010Jul 16, 2010($3,432)
EUR/USD short500Jul 16, 2010Jul 16, 2010$642
GBP/USD short500Jul 15, 2010Jul 15, 2010$385
GBP/USD short510Jul 15, 2010Jul 15, 2010$480
GBP/USD short400Jul 15, 2010Jul 15, 2010($124)
EUR/USD short500Jul 15, 2010Jul 15, 2010$262
EUR/USD short500Jul 15, 2010Jul 15, 2010$480
EUR/USD short500Jul 15, 2010Jul 15, 2010$343

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.