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Stocks Hunter

Stocks · Started Dec 2010

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
-47.8%
Max Drawdown
Trades
329
Win Trades
49.5%
Profit Factor
1.40
Win Months
55.3%

About this strategy

You can find more information and past results in the following url:

http://www.stockshunter.com

"Hunting the right stocks at the right time"

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
201021.121.1
2011-12.51.2-6.33.1-11.01.5-18.5-2.2-13.139.7-0.2-2.3-27.1
201221.014.02.7-5.08.648.4-4.519.1-2.4-9.6-9.79.1114.3
201319.028.6-1.8-5.63.4-6.526.49.923.9-1.61.8-11.9108.6
201420.06.1-21.3-9.8-0.47.318.74.0-3.914.25.1-4.431.5
201524.020.715.87.33.5-70.4-4.4-9.7-19.477.3-1.98.6-25.1
20162.9-77.6-1.5-25.9-14.35.110.13.7-0.6-5.813.22.8-81.1
2017-1.11.60.21.018.91.33.3-6.93.20.8-4.4-0.416.6
20189.90.0-2.4-0.61.07.0-3.9-4.4-2.513.7-10.5-28.9-25.2
201915.138.70.13.1-0.2-2.76.6-15.4-2.92.29.40.357.5
2020-0.311.0-14.24.116.610.311.1-3.7-2.8-4.59.320.065.7
20211.84.3-1.9-7.7-6.91.5-3.313.6-4.93.1-11.53.3-10.6
2022-19.35.69.6-9.0-7.3-10.33.47.3-6.41.71.92.3-22.2
20234.29.5-2.94.2-11.28.11.50.0-4.22.212.2-2.520.4
20248.6-10.63.2-0.08.42.44.81.22.0-0.51.5-1.719.5
20251.1-8.3-3.33.212.5-1.4-4.29.8-2.3-2.47.67.719.2
20261.714.24.60.0-10.42.70.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began12/9/2010
Suggested Minimum Capital$100,000
Age192 months
What it tradesStocks
# Trades329
# Profitable163
% Profitable49.5%
Avg trade duration151.1 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown
drawdown period
Annual return (compounded)5.7%
Avg win$2,645
Avg loss$1,893

Ratios

W:L ratio1.41
Sharpe Ratio0.33
Sortino Ratio0.63
Calmar Ratio0.30

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.19
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life512.5%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)282.0%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)-47.8%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)5.7%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity382.0%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.7%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss36.6%
Chance of 20% account loss14.3%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$1,893
Avg Win$2,645
# Winners163
Sum Trade PL (losers)$314,259
Sum Trade PL (winners)$431,095
Num Months Winners105
# Losers166
% Winners49.5%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct10678

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table189

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)325647.69
Avg Position Time (hrs)5427.46
Avg Trade Length226.10
Last Trade Ago5521

Regression

Alpha0.06
Beta0.91
Treynor Index0.10

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.02
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.02
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.02
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades0.47
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.05
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats36.91
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats50.07
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.11
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.45
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.19

RATIO STATISTICS

a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.48
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.11

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Max Equity Drawdown (num days)9
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.2%

Trading record

Placed 33 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
ZIOP long2808Jun 1, 2011Aug 3, 2011($5,705)
OCN long1586Jun 3, 2011Aug 3, 2011$154
XTXI long1851May 26, 2011Jun 2, 2011$532
EGHT long5730May 26, 2011Jun 2, 2011($693)
ZIXI long5494May 26, 2011Jun 2, 2011$50
RXII long1924May 26, 2011Jun 2, 2011$5,767
DUSA long3149May 25, 2011May 31, 2011$247
LEI long10May 25, 2011May 31, 2011($1,063)
CPWR short2032May 25, 2011May 31, 2011($554)
BRCD long3021May 20, 2011May 27, 2011($156)
SUPG long6896May 20, 2011May 27, 2011$1,719
GLCH long481May 20, 2011May 27, 2011($106)
PSTI long6600May 18, 2011May 26, 2011($2,117)
ELOS long1494May 19, 2011May 26, 2011($707)
LCC long1957May 19, 2011May 26, 2011($1,649)
CHS short1415May 18, 2011May 26, 2011($90)
EK long5970May 18, 2011May 26, 2011$1,547
CDR short3921May 17, 2011May 26, 2011($789)
JADE long4807May 16, 2011May 23, 2011($2,745)
CYTK long2110May 16, 2011May 23, 2011($2,790)
SCLN long3669May 13, 2011May 23, 2011$1,132
QTWW long1333May 11, 2011May 19, 2011$1,061
DSCO long608May 12, 2011May 19, 2011$1,357
LVLT long702May 11, 2011May 19, 2011($110)
STEC short1340May 12, 2011May 19, 2011($353)
EGHT long6099May 10, 2011May 17, 2011($2,201)
RNN long15268May 10, 2011May 17, 2011($921)
ES long3424May 10, 2011May 17, 2011($1,922)
CLNE short1359May 10, 2011May 17, 2011$1,735
BAA long5094May 10, 2011May 17, 2011($3,876)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.