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FXprofisniper

Forex · Started Jan 2011

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
28.7%
Max Drawdown
73.2%
Trades
172
Win Trades
90.1%
Profit Factor
1.80
Win Months
5.3%

About this strategy

System is mostly autotradeable, trade Eur/Usd, Gbp/Usd and very rarely the Usd/Jpy and Usd/Chf.

Our strategy: we watch the price action, R/S levels, Fibonacci extensions, candlestick reversal formations.

Our goal: make realistic monthly profit with reasonable risk.

We use fix SL and recommend each subscriber risk 3-5% max per trade.

If you have any questions, dont hesitate and contact us to email:

fxprofisniper@gmail.com

FXprofisniper team

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2011-0.41.42.07.73.3-0.24.19.50.8-3.41.77.638.9
2012-16.8-21.1-12.8-60.1341.30.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.8
20130.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20140.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20150.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20160.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20170.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20180.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20190.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began1/16/2011
Suggested Minimum Capital$10,000
Age190 months
What it tradesForex
# Trades172
# Profitable155
% Profitable90.1%
Avg trade duration2.1 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown73.2%
drawdown periodDec 10, 2011 - April 30, 2012
Annual return (compounded)3.2%
Avg win$93
Avg loss$468

Ratios

W:L ratio1.82
Sharpe Ratio0.13
Sortino Ratio0.20
Calmar Ratio0.20

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.01
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life483.9%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)33.3%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)28.7%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)3.2%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity9.7%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.9%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex1.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss100.0%
Chance of 40% account loss100.0%
Chance of 50% account loss100.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$468
Avg Win$93
# Winners155
Sum Trade PL (losers)$7,950
Sum Trade PL (winners)$14,465
Num Months Winners10
# Losers17
% Winners90.1%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table189

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)3023.70
Avg Position Time (hrs)50.40
Avg Trade Length2.10
Last Trade Ago5245

Regression

Alpha0.01
Beta-0.02
Treynor Index-0.59

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.07
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.11
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.37
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.02
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades22.24
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)3.38
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats92.11
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats83.48
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades2.06
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-4.64
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.04

RATIO STATISTICS

a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.24
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.05

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Max Equity Drawdown (num days)142
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

Trading record

Placed 500 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
GBP/USD short200Jan 18, 2012May 31, 2012($4,129)
EUR/USD long100Jan 13, 2012Jan 17, 2012$117
EUR/USD long120Jan 5, 2012Jan 13, 2012$56
GBP/USD short160Jan 3, 2012Jan 4, 2012$101
GBP/USD long240Dec 28, 2011Jan 3, 2012($36)
GBP/USD long20Dec 28, 2011Dec 28, 2011($5)
GBP/USD short240Dec 20, 2011Dec 23, 2011$275
EUR/USD long40Dec 13, 2011Dec 20, 2011$11
GBP/USD short180Dec 15, 2011Dec 18, 2011$22
GBP/USD long20Dec 15, 2011Dec 15, 2011$51
GBP/USD short80Dec 14, 2011Dec 14, 2011$57
EUR/USD short20Dec 13, 2011Dec 13, 2011$43
EUR/USD short20Dec 13, 2011Dec 13, 2011$23
GBP/USD short100Dec 9, 2011Dec 9, 2011$646
EUR/USD short160Dec 6, 2011Dec 9, 2011$608
GBP/USD short20Dec 7, 2011Dec 8, 2011$38
GBP/USD short60Dec 6, 2011Dec 6, 2011$55
EUR/USD short300Dec 4, 2011Dec 5, 2011$1,352
EUR/USD short60Dec 2, 2011Dec 2, 2011$156
EUR/USD short60Dec 1, 2011Dec 1, 2011$124
EUR/USD short150Dec 1, 2011Dec 1, 2011$296
EUR/USD short150Nov 30, 2011Nov 30, 2011$271
EUR/USD short300Nov 29, 2011Nov 30, 2011$594
GBP/USD short20Nov 30, 2011Nov 30, 2011$42
GBP/USD short40Nov 29, 2011Nov 29, 2011$49
EUR/USD short100Nov 29, 2011Nov 29, 2011$314
EUR/USD short20Nov 29, 2011Nov 29, 2011$16
EUR/USD short120Nov 28, 2011Nov 29, 2011$202
GBP/USD short20Nov 29, 2011Nov 29, 2011$47
EUR/USD short20Nov 28, 2011Nov 28, 2011$89

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.