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2d

Forex · Started Sep 2011

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
7.4%
Max Drawdown
50.5%
Trades
1072
Win Trades
98.7%
Profit Factor
0.20
Win Months
14.9%

About this strategy

Philosophy
Steady win!
Philosophy means vision, objective and goal! Philosophy is not a promise, but it is sure, 2d system will do make an effort to control the risk, any time!

Some Features
Trades per week: 5-20;
Max simultaneously opened positions: 8-10 (more - very rare);
Orders per position: 1 (at market).
Currency pair: EURUSD, GBPUSD.

Advisable Use
Collective2 autotrading.

Remarks
If you will use 2d system in account with leverage 100:1, and to be save, you could use the empirical formula (k/100000)*(Your_Capital_for_2d_System) to calculate your starting lot (Standard Lot Size), where k=0.2. In case of your account is with leverage of 500:1, you could use k=0.4, with the same security.
Example: Let we have an 30K USD account with leverage 100:1. Next we decide to use 15K USD for trading with 2d system and 15K USD for trading with another one (if we want). So, implementing the proposed formula we have (0.2/100000)*15000 = 0.030. That means, our starting lot for 2d system have to be 0.03 Standard Lots (0.3 Mini Lots). The same example with 500:1 account could use 0.06 Standard Lots (0.6 Mini Lots) as starting lot.

Warmest regards,
Trading Dimensions Team.

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20115.14.03.73.417.1
20124.12.02.23.33.60.33.7-2.3-10.9-18.542.0-0.421.2
2013-1.910.64.50.34.00.60.32.12.30.90.22.228.9
2014-0.62.21.5-2.04.2-4.03.2-12.8-58.2-53.4-170.0-245.2-142.8
2015-203.7-13.0-58.2-26.7-4.7-19.5-6.2-3.7-10.9-2.1-34.3-4.9
2016-30.3-6.3-23.5-7.1-3.9-50.6-1.4-3.5-1.8-18.4-10.8-7.4
2017-11.0-8.3-7.2-9.7-8.8-9.6-16.8-0.7-5.6-12.0-14.4-2.6
2018-43.0-11.7-2.8-25.0-50.6-3.2-3.7-0.6-3.8-15.4-3.6-2.4
2019-9.8-1.6-10.6-0.6-0.4-3.6-5.1-15.7-0.3-17.9-5.5-8.6
2020-0.2-9.3-6.0-5.8-2.7-4.3-27.0-0.5-2.0-4.1-12.4-15.7
2021-2.3-9.9-24.9-14.8-22.1-37.2-1.9-8.9-19.8-14.0-30.9-3.1
2022-3.3-1.6-14.1-19.8-2.8-9.2-9.3-11.0-10.9-3.0-16.9-7.5
2023-10.6-15.1-9.7-6.5-9.2-10.8-4.9-8.2-16.0-1.4-16.0-8.0
2024-9.9-1.1-0.8-6.5-9.1-6.0-7.8-10.9-9.8-23.1-12.7-3.8
2025-5.2-6.5-11.9-23.3-1.5-13.2-1.8-4.3-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0
2026-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.00.0-0.2

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began9/7/2011
Suggested Minimum Capital$50,000
Age183 months
What it tradesForex
# Trades1072
# Profitable1058
% Profitable98.7%
Avg trade duration8.4 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown50.5%
drawdown periodJuly 24, 2014 - Sept 09, 2014
Annual Return (Compounded)7.4%
Avg win$52
Avg loss$20,355

Ratios

W:L ratio0.19
Sharpe Ratio0.03
Sortino Ratio0.07
Calmar Ratio-0.88

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.02
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life532.9%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-43.5%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)7.4%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)0.0%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.8%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex1.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss81.0%
Chance of 20% account loss62.5%
Chance of 30% account loss41.0%
Chance of 40% account loss21.5%
Chance of 50% account loss10.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)2.5%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated50.4%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)380
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)776

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$20,355
Avg Win$52
# Winners1058
Sum Trade PL (losers)$284,970
Sum Trade PL (winners)$55,050
Num Months Winners27
# Losers14
% Winners98.7%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table39

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)12136.65
Avg Position Time (hrs)202.28
Avg Trade Length8.40
Last Trade Ago379

Regression

Alpha0
Beta-1.05
Treynor Index0

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat2.61
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.50
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-2.64
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)2.50
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats34.66
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats49.42
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades4.88
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.28
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.38

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.13
SD0.32
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.41
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.40
df36
t0.72
p0.24
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.71
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.53
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.72
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.52
Sortino ratio0.57
Upside Potential Ratio1.61
Upside part of mean0.37
Downside part of mean-0.24
Upside SD0.22
Downside SD0.23
N nonnegative terms26
N negative terms11
N of observations37
Mean of predictor0.16
Mean of criterion0.13
SD of predictor0.08
SD of criterion0.32
Covariance-0.01
r-0.22
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.85
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.27
Mean Square Error0.10
DF error35
t(b)-1.33
p(b)0.90
t(a)1.29
p(a)0.10
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-2.14
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.15
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.68
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.15
Jensen alpha (a)0.27
Mean0.08
SD0.34
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.22
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.22
df36
t0.39
p0.35
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.90
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.34
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.90
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.33
Sortino ratio0.27
Upside Potential Ratio1.25
Upside part of mean0.35
Downside part of mean-0.27
Upside SD0.20
Downside SD0.28
N nonnegative terms26
N negative terms11
N of observations37
Mean of predictor0.16
Mean of criterion0.08
SD of predictor0.08
SD of criterion0.34
Covariance-0.01
r-0.22
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.92
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.22
Mean Square Error0.11
DF error35
t(b)-1.32
p(b)0.90
t(a)0.99
p(a)0.16
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-2.34
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.23
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.67
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.08
Jensen alpha (a)0.22
VaR(95%)0.14
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.18
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.07
Mean0.17
SD0.37
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.46
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.46
df1069
t0.81
p0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.65
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.57
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.65
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.57
Sortino ratio0.65
Upside Potential Ratio5.53
Upside part of mean1.45
Downside part of mean-1.28
Upside SD0.26
Downside SD0.26
N nonnegative terms606
N negative terms464
N of observations1070
Mean of predictor0.17
Mean of criterion0.17
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.37
Covariance-0.01
r-0.10
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.27
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)830.40
Mean Square Error0.14
DF error1068
t(b)-3.30
p(b)0.55
t(a)1.02
p(a)0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.43
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.11
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.20
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.63
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.63
Jensen alpha (a)0.21
Mean0.10
SD0.37
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.27
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.27
df1069
t0.47
p0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.84
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.38
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.84
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.38
Sortino ratio0.36
Upside Potential Ratio5.13
Upside part of mean1.42
Downside part of mean-1.32
Upside SD0.25
Downside SD0.28
N nonnegative terms606
N negative terms464
N of observations1070
Mean of predictor0.16
Mean of criterion0.10
SD of predictor0.14
SD of criterion0.37
Covariance-0.01
r-0.10
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.27
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.14
Mean Square Error0.14
DF error1068
t(b)-3.29
p(b)0.55
t(a)0.67
p(a)0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.43
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.11
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.27
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.56
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.37
Jensen alpha (a)0.14
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
Mean-0.63
SD0.35
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-1.77
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-1.77
df171
t-1.25
p0.56
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-4.55
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.01
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-4.54
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.01
Sortino ratio-2.06
Upside Potential Ratio3.64
Upside part of mean1.11
Downside part of mean-1.73
Upside SD0.18
Downside SD0.30
N nonnegative terms85
N negative terms87
N of observations172
Mean of predictor0.16
Mean of criterion-0.63
SD of predictor0.09
SD of criterion0.35
Covariance0.00
r0.07
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.26
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.67
Mean Square Error0.12
DF error170
t(b)0.85
p(b)0.47
t(a)-1.33
p(a)0.55
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.34
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.86
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.66
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.32
Treynor index (mean / b)-2.42
Jensen alpha (a)-0.67
Mean-0.69
SD0.36
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-1.90
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-1.89
df171
t-1.34
p0.56
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-4.67
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.88
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-4.67
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.89
Sortino ratio-2.16
Upside Potential Ratio3.41
Upside part of mean1.09
Downside part of mean-1.78
Upside SD0.18
Downside SD0.32
N nonnegative terms85
N negative terms87
N of observations172
Mean of predictor0.16
Mean of criterion-0.69
SD of predictor0.09
SD of criterion0.36
Covariance0.00
r0.06
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.26
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.73
Mean Square Error0.13
DF error170
t(b)0.84
p(b)0.47
t(a)-1.41
p(a)0.55
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.35
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.50
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.88
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.75
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.29
Treynor index (mean / b)-2.62
Jensen alpha (a)-0.73
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations37
Minimum0.64
Quartile 11.00
Median1.01
Quartile 31.04
Maximum1.31
Mean of quarter 10.93
Mean of quarter 21.01
Mean of quarter 31.03
Mean of quarter 41.09
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low3
Percentage of outliers low0.08
Mean of outliers low0.81
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.08
Mean of outliers high1.19
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-7.74
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.00
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.01
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.06
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations1070
Minimum0.83
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.18
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low114
Percentage of outliers low0.11
Mean of outliers low0.97
Number of outliers high104
Percentage of outliers high0.10
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)1.09
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.77
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.05
Number of observations172
Minimum0.86
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.08
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low17
Percentage of outliers low0.10
Mean of outliers low0.96
Number of outliers high11
Percentage of outliers high0.06
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.88
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.15
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.83
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.09

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations7
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.02
Median0.04
Quartile 30.13
Maximum0.36
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.03
Mean of quarter 30.04
Mean of quarter 40.29
Inter Quartile Range0.10
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.14
Mean of outliers high0.36
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations134
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.00
Quartile 30.01
Maximum0.48
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.00
Mean of quarter 40.06
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high19
Percentage of outliers high0.14
Mean of outliers high0.10
Extreme Value Index (moments method)1.06
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.96
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (regression method)1.03
Number of observations13
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.00
Quartile 30.00
Maximum0.45
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.00
Mean of quarter 40.18
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.23
Mean of outliers high0.18
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.12
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.03
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.63
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.33
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)47
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative1.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.10
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.09
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.25
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.31
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0.50
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.13
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.12
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.25
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.97
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal2.88
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.58
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.49
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-1.09
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-2.74
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-11.88

Trading record

Placed 1843 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
GBP/USD long560Aug 13, 2014Aug 21, 2025($170,522)
EUR/USD long670Jul 14, 2014Aug 21, 2025($114,058)
GBP/USD long110Aug 5, 2014Aug 13, 2014$82
GBP/USD long110Jul 29, 2014Aug 5, 2014$62
GBP/USD short20Jul 29, 2014Jul 29, 2014$40
GBP/USD short20Jul 24, 2014Jul 29, 2014$38
GBP/USD short460Jun 10, 2014Jul 24, 2014$1,273
EUR/USD long20Jul 10, 2014Jul 14, 2014$42
EUR/USD short40Jul 8, 2014Jul 10, 2014$59
EUR/USD long20Jul 7, 2014Jul 8, 2014$40
EUR/USD short20Jul 3, 2014Jul 6, 2014$43
EUR/USD short20Jul 2, 2014Jul 3, 2014$43
EUR/USD short70Jun 27, 2014Jul 2, 2014$40
EUR/USD long20Jun 26, 2014Jun 27, 2014$44
EUR/USD short40Jun 24, 2014Jun 26, 2014$46
EUR/USD short20Jun 24, 2014Jun 24, 2014$41
EUR/USD long40Jun 19, 2014Jun 24, 2014$56
EUR/USD long20Jun 18, 2014Jun 19, 2014$44
EUR/USD long40Jun 16, 2014Jun 18, 2014$61
EUR/USD long20Jun 13, 2014Jun 16, 2014$40
EUR/USD short20Jun 13, 2014Jun 13, 2014$44
EUR/USD short40Jun 12, 2014Jun 13, 2014$58
EUR/USD long70Jun 9, 2014Jun 12, 2014$71
GBP/USD short20Jun 10, 2014Jun 10, 2014$37
GBP/USD short70Jun 5, 2014Jun 10, 2014$63
EUR/USD short70Jun 5, 2014Jun 9, 2014$58
EUR/USD short20Jun 5, 2014Jun 5, 2014$80
GBP/USD short20Jun 4, 2014Jun 5, 2014$46
EUR/USD short20Jun 5, 2014Jun 5, 2014$42
EUR/USD long20Jun 5, 2014Jun 5, 2014$49

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.