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Zetatech Trading System

Forex · Started Sep 2011

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
0.0%
Max Drawdown
100.0%
Trades
346
Win Trades
78.9%
Profit Factor
0.80
Win Months
3.9%

About this strategy

System is best auto traded. Stop Loss is based on Price Action relative to entry and wave analysis of Indicators based on previous daily range and wave analysis of PA.

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2011-0.159.121.333.1156.8
2012-34.02.1-6.010.3-25.237.319.6-20.5-59.8-30.4-46.2-261.4-116.6
2013-99.7-70.3-179.6-132.9-212.2-248.6-189.6-151.9-30.2-9.30.00.0
20140.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-0.10.00.00.0
20150.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20160.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20170.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20180.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20190.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began9/25/2011
Suggested Minimum Capital$10,000
Age182 months
What it tradesForex
# Trades346
# Profitable273
% Profitable78.9%
Avg trade duration1.4 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown100.0%
drawdown periodJan 09, 2013 - Sept 28, 2014
Annual Return (Compounded)0.0%
Avg win$196
Avg loss$942

Ratios

W:L ratio0.78
Sharpe Ratio-0.79
Sortino Ratio-0.88
Calmar Ratio-0.92

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.05
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life564.5%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-786.7%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)0.0%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)0.0%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life1.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex1.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss100.0%
Chance of 40% account loss100.0%
Chance of 50% account loss100.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.1%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$942
Avg Win$196
# Winners273
Sum Trade PL (losers)$68,778
Sum Trade PL (winners)$53,421
Num Months Winners8
# Losers73
% Winners78.9%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table16

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)2077.30
Avg Position Time (hrs)34.62
Avg Trade Length1.40
Last Trade Ago4722

Regression

Alpha0
Beta0.27
Treynor Index0

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.03
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.05
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.05
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.02
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-10.01
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.13
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats90.41
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats61.54
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades1.62
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.46
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.10

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean-0.31
SD0.85
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.36
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.35
df41
t-0.67
p0.75
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.41
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.70
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.40
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.70
Sortino ratio-0.43
Upside Potential Ratio0.63
Upside part of mean0.45
Downside part of mean-0.75
Upside SD0.47
Downside SD0.71
N nonnegative terms8
N negative terms34
N of observations42
Mean of predictor0.50
Mean of criterion-0.31
SD of predictor0.24
SD of criterion0.85
Covariance-0.04
r-0.19
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.67
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.03
Mean Square Error0.72
DF error40
t(b)-1.24
p(b)0.89
t(a)0.06
p(a)0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.76
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.42
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.10
Treynor index (mean / b)0.45
Jensen alpha (a)0.03
Mean-2.66
SD4.52
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.59
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.58
df41
t-1.10
p0.86
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.64
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.47
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.63
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.48
Sortino ratio-0.59
Upside Potential Ratio0.08
Upside part of mean0.37
Downside part of mean-3.03
Upside SD0.36
Downside SD4.51
N nonnegative terms8
N negative terms34
N of observations42
Mean of predictor0.47
Mean of criterion-2.66
SD of predictor0.23
SD of criterion4.52
Covariance-0.23
r-0.23
b (slope, estimate of beta)-4.47
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.58
Mean Square Error19.83
DF error40
t(b)-1.47
p(b)0.92
t(a)-0.21
p(a)0.58
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-10.62
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.68
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-6.18
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha5.02
Treynor index (mean / b)0.60
Jensen alpha (a)-0.58
VaR(95%)0.91
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.94
VaR(95%)0.19
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.41
Mean1084.35
SD1343.76
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.81
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.81
df934
t1.52
p0.06
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.23
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.84
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.23
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.84
Sortino ratio740.27
Upside Potential Ratio743.07
Upside part of mean1088.45
Downside part of mean-4.09
Upside SD1344.71
Downside SD1.46
N nonnegative terms166
N negative terms769
N of observations935
Mean of predictor0.55
Mean of criterion1084.35
SD of predictor0.30
SD of criterion1343.76
Covariance-0.06
r-0.00
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.68
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)1084.73
Mean Square Error1807619
DF error933
t(b)-0.00
p(b)0.50
t(a)1.51
p(a)0.07
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-283.75
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta282.38
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-320.65
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2490.11
Treynor index (mean / b)-1590.28
Jensen alpha (a)1084.73
Mean-2.61
SD10.20
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.26
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.26
df934
t-0.48
p0.69
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.29
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.78
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.29
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.78
Sortino ratio-0.34
Upside Potential Ratio1.21
Upside part of mean9.39
Downside part of mean-12.00
Upside SD6.60
Downside SD7.77
N nonnegative terms166
N negative terms769
N of observations935
Mean of predictor0.50
Mean of criterion-2.61
SD of predictor0.31
SD of criterion10.20
Covariance-0.12
r-0.04
b (slope, estimate of beta)-1.22
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-1.99
Mean Square Error104.01
DF error933
t(b)-1.13
p(b)0.87
t(a)-0.37
p(a)0.64
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-3.36
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.91
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-12.64
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha8.66
Treynor index (mean / b)2.13
Jensen alpha (a)-1.99
VaR(95%)0.65
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.72
VaR(95%)0.05
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.11
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.10
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.47
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-9.74841826823373e+15
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-9.69206937105203e+15
df130
t-6893172865105920
p1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.08701574255084e+16
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-8513981316595712
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.98
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.48
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0
DF error129
t(b)0
p(b)0.50
t(a)-6811210930454528
p(a)1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.65
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Treynor index (mean / b)-2.40274354819044e+32
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations42
Minimum0.00
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.80
Mean of quarter 10.77
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.14
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low7
Percentage of outliers low0.17
Mean of outliers low0.63
Number of outliers high8
Percentage of outliers high0.19
Mean of outliers high1.20
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.47
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.37
Expected Shortfall (regression method)1.09
Number of observations935
Minimum0.00
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum2152.67
Mean of quarter 10.94
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 417.60
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low121
Percentage of outliers low0.13
Mean of outliers low0.88
Number of outliers high167
Percentage of outliers high0.18
Mean of outliers high24.26
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.19
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.18
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.10
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations1
Minimum1.00
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.00
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations11
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.02
Median0.04
Quartile 30.11
Maximum1.00
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.03
Mean of quarter 30.07
Mean of quarter 40.49
Inter Quartile Range0.09
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.18
Mean of outliers high0.67
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-1.35
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.43
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.46
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.80
VaR(95%) (regression method)1.05
Expected Shortfall (regression method)6.13
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-383506528
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)627
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative1.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.29
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.93
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.93
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-0.99
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.28
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.92
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.92
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-1.88
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-1.28
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 647 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
EUR/USD short360Aug 21, 2012Oct 6, 2013($33,696)
EUR/USD short120Aug 17, 2012Aug 17, 2012$410
EUR/USD short150Aug 17, 2012Aug 17, 2012$264
EUR/USD long120Aug 15, 2012Aug 15, 2012$79
EUR/USD long150Aug 14, 2012Aug 15, 2012$41
EUR/USD short250Aug 3, 2012Aug 8, 2012($305)
EUR/USD short150Aug 3, 2012Aug 3, 2012($30)
EUR/USD short120Aug 2, 2012Aug 2, 2012$42
EUR/USD long120Jul 31, 2012Jul 31, 2012$388
EUR/USD short120Jul 31, 2012Jul 31, 2012($168)
EUR/USD long220Jul 31, 2012Jul 31, 2012$143
EUR/USD short220Jul 30, 2012Jul 31, 2012($832)
EUR/USD short120Jul 25, 2012Jul 26, 2012($539)
EUR/USD long120Jul 25, 2012Jul 25, 2012($228)
EUR/USD short120Jul 25, 2012Jul 25, 2012($143)
EUR/USD short120Jul 23, 2012Jul 23, 2012$161
EUR/USD short120Jul 23, 2012Jul 23, 2012$84
EUR/USD long120Jul 20, 2012Jul 20, 2012($203)
EUR/USD long120Jul 19, 2012Jul 19, 2012$89
EUR/USD long240Jul 19, 2012Jul 19, 2012$398
EUR/USD short180Jul 17, 2012Jul 17, 2012$805
EUR/USD long120Jul 17, 2012Jul 17, 2012($137)
EUR/USD short120Jul 16, 2012Jul 17, 2012$216
EUR/USD short120Jul 16, 2012Jul 16, 2012$24
EUR/USD long120Jul 16, 2012Jul 16, 2012$331
EUR/USD long180Jul 13, 2012Jul 13, 2012$1,062
EUR/USD short240Jul 12, 2012Jul 13, 2012($260)
EUR/USD short120Jul 11, 2012Jul 11, 2012$278
EUR/USD short240Jul 11, 2012Jul 11, 2012$727
EUR/USD short100Jul 11, 2012Jul 11, 2012$208

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.