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Sliema Trading

Stocks · Started Feb 2012

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
4.0%
Max Drawdown
26.9%
Trades
1475
Win Trades
46.8%
Profit Factor
1.20
Win Months
9.1%

About this strategy

Daytrading system, no overnight positions. I always use stops, minimal drawdowns is my primary goal.

2:1 margin leverage available at C2 is used. Usually 4:1 margin leverage is available for intraday trading (but not at C2). Statistically 4:1 leverage is much better, so I would recommend to use 4:1 leverage if possible.

Starting on August 2013, it uses an improved algorithm. Now it is a long only system; the problem with the slippage is now fixed.

The system is semi-automatic; I choose suitable stocks manually on discretionary basis; further trading is fully automated now.

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20121.919.0-0.79.34.20.417.6-4.54.31.010.579.9
20135.3-6.1-5.10.615.3-6.3-8.17.01.7-3.3-2.9-8.7-12.5
2014-4.917.70.00.00.00.00.0-0.00.00.00.00.011.9
20150.00.00.0-0.00.00.00.00.00.00.30.00.00.3
20160.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20170.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20180.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20190.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began2/15/2012
Suggested Minimum Capital$20,000
Age177 months
What it tradesStocks
# Trades1475
# Profitable691
% Profitable46.8%
Avg trade duration3.1 hours
Max peak-to-valley drawdown26.9%
drawdown periodFeb 07, 2013 - Feb 04, 2014
Annual Return (Compounded)4.0%
Avg win$294
Avg loss$213

Ratios

W:L ratio1.22
Sharpe Ratio0.22
Sortino Ratio0.36
Calmar Ratio2.13

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.02
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life466.5%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-400.1%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)4.0%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)7.3%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity13.7%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.9%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$213
Avg Win$294
# Winners691
Sum Trade PL (losers)$167,055
Sum Trade PL (winners)$203,195
Num Months Winners18
# Losers784
% Winners46.8%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table176

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)183.90
Avg Position Time (hrs)3.07
Avg Trade Length0.10
Last Trade Ago4586

Regression

Alpha0.01
Beta0.01
Treynor Index0.45

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.01
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-7.70
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.63
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats65.55
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats71.38
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.40
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.16
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.13

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.23
SD0.22
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.06
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.04
df52
t2.22
p0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.01
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.09
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.00
Sortino ratio3.28
Upside Potential Ratio4.64
Upside part of mean0.32
Downside part of mean-0.09
Upside SD0.21
Downside SD0.07
N nonnegative terms17
N negative terms36
N of observations53
Mean of predictor0.37
Mean of criterion0.23
SD of predictor0.24
SD of criterion0.22
Covariance-0.00
r-0.06
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.06
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.25
Mean Square Error0.05
DF error51
t(b)-0.45
p(b)0.67
t(a)2.19
p(a)0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.32
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.20
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.48
Treynor index (mean / b)-3.94
Jensen alpha (a)0.25
Mean0.21
SD0.20
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.02
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.01
df52
t2.15
p0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.97
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.06
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.96
Sortino ratio2.85
Upside Potential Ratio4.20
Upside part of mean0.30
Downside part of mean-0.10
Upside SD0.20
Downside SD0.07
N nonnegative terms17
N negative terms36
N of observations53
Mean of predictor0.34
Mean of criterion0.21
SD of predictor0.23
SD of criterion0.20
Covariance-0.00
r-0.06
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.05
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.22
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error51
t(b)-0.43
p(b)0.67
t(a)2.13
p(a)0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.30
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.20
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.44
Treynor index (mean / b)-3.83
Jensen alpha (a)0.22
VaR(95%)0.08
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.10
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
Mean0.21
SD0.13
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.65
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.65
df1173
t3.50
p0.44
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.73
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.58
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.73
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.58
Sortino ratio3.14
Upside Potential Ratio7.94
Upside part of mean0.53
Downside part of mean-0.32
Upside SD0.11
Downside SD0.07
N nonnegative terms211
N negative terms963
N of observations1174
Mean of predictor0.40
Mean of criterion0.21
SD of predictor0.27
SD of criterion0.13
Covariance0.00
r0.01
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.01
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.21
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error1172
t(b)0.38
p(b)0.49
t(a)3.45
p(a)0.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.33
Treynor index (mean / b)40.21
Jensen alpha (a)0.21
Mean0.20
SD0.13
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.60
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.60
df1173
t3.40
p0.44
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.68
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.53
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.68
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.53
Sortino ratio2.99
Upside Potential Ratio7.77
Upside part of mean0.53
Downside part of mean-0.32
Upside SD0.11
Downside SD0.07
N nonnegative terms211
N negative terms963
N of observations1174
Mean of predictor0.36
Mean of criterion0.20
SD of predictor0.27
SD of criterion0.13
Covariance0.00
r0.01
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.01
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.20
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error1172
t(b)0.41
p(b)0.49
t(a)3.35
p(a)0.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.08
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.32
Treynor index (mean / b)36.67
Jensen alpha (a)0.20
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.18
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.48
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-9.74841826823373e+15
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-9.69206937105203e+15
df130
t-6893172865105920
p1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.08701574255084e+16
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-8513981316595712
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.07
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.48
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0
DF error129
t(b)0
p(b)0.50
t(a)-6801519873622016
p(a)1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Treynor index (mean / b)7.82484925513781e+31
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations53
Minimum0.92
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31.04
Maximum1.24
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.10
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low2
Percentage of outliers low0.04
Mean of outliers low0.92
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.06
Mean of outliers high1.23
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-64.04
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-1.69
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.06
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.07
Number of observations1174
Minimum0.96
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.07
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low169
Percentage of outliers low0.14
Mean of outliers low0.99
Number of outliers high215
Percentage of outliers high0.18
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.64
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.00
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.27
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations4
Minimum0.04
Quartile 10.07
Median0.08
Quartile 30.09
Maximum0.09
Mean of quarter 10.04
Mean of quarter 20.08
Mean of quarter 30.09
Mean of quarter 40.09
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.25
Mean of outliers low0.04
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations26
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.02
Quartile 30.05
Maximum0.12
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.03
Mean of quarter 40.09
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.04
Mean of outliers high0.12
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-1.65
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.09
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.09
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-1.21
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.11
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.12
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-405915808
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)362
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.41
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.26
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)2.98
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs2.98
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal2.70
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.40
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.26
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)2.13
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs3.00
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal17.06
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 963 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
TRMB long379Feb 12, 2014Feb 12, 2014$451
TRIP long147Feb 12, 2014Feb 12, 2014$457
TMHC long581Feb 12, 2014Feb 12, 2014$123
SGEN long271Feb 12, 2014Feb 12, 2014$263
ING long888Feb 12, 2014Feb 12, 2014$31
AB long552Feb 12, 2014Feb 12, 2014$210
CTRL long614Feb 12, 2014Feb 12, 2014$836
ANR long2354Feb 12, 2014Feb 12, 2014($240)
DWRE long175Feb 11, 2014Feb 11, 2014$452
MOS long234Feb 11, 2014Feb 11, 2014$72
PRI long266Feb 11, 2014Feb 11, 2014$330
HUN long501Feb 11, 2014Feb 11, 2014($210)
OMC long149Feb 11, 2014Feb 11, 2014($210)
CVS long165Feb 11, 2014Feb 11, 2014($211)
REGN long36Feb 11, 2014Feb 11, 2014($207)
ALLT long678Feb 11, 2014Feb 11, 2014($208)
HNT long338Feb 11, 2014Feb 11, 2014($338)
HAS long240Feb 10, 2014Feb 10, 2014$381
SFUN long765Feb 10, 2014Feb 10, 2014($231)
CNA long304Feb 10, 2014Feb 10, 2014($234)
GOGO long579Feb 10, 2014Feb 10, 2014($231)
ADEP long818Feb 7, 2014Feb 7, 2014$1,197
ATVI long720Feb 7, 2014Feb 7, 2014$348
MSG long211Feb 7, 2014Feb 7, 2014($232)
LGF long390Feb 7, 2014Feb 7, 2014($238)
MT long725Feb 7, 2014Feb 7, 2014($230)
MITK long2155Feb 7, 2014Feb 7, 2014$254
MCO long161Feb 7, 2014Feb 7, 2014($249)
UBNT long302Feb 7, 2014Feb 7, 2014($314)
DNKN long251Feb 6, 2014Feb 6, 2014$259

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.