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Kingda Forex (20x)

Forex · Started Dec 2010

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
5.5%
Max Drawdown
18.9%
Trades
888
Win Trades
70.9%
Profit Factor
1.20
Win Months
42.3%

About this strategy

Kingda Forex (20x) is simply to show what your equity curve would look like when starting with $40,000 and trading 20-40 lots. In essence you are trading 20x (20 times) our main C2 Model Account called Kingda Forex.

To learn more about Kingda Forex strategy please visit http://kingda.collective2.com.

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DISCLAIMER



Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20107.67.6
20110.68.04.20.9-3.10.70.10.21.30.4-3.5-0.09.8
2012-2.18.84.14.1-6.61.64.3-3.2-5.6-0.34.4-4.04.5
20133.59.2-6.4-3.13.30.62.92.00.20.9-3.50.19.1
20140.3-4.5-0.5-12.6-0.3-4.5-11.2-0.00.20.0-0.00.1-29.3
20150.4-0.10.1-0.20.1-0.80.30.10.2-0.20.00.10.0
20160.10.1-0.30.10.20.1-0.10.00.0-0.0-0.10.10.1
2017-0.20.00.10.1-0.0-0.1-0.30.1-0.00.20.1-0.2-0.4
2018-0.10.20.1-0.00.10.1-0.10.0-0.00.1-0.10.20.6
2019-0.1-0.00.10.00.10.00.2-0.0-0.10.1-0.10.0
20200.10.20.3-0.2-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.20.2-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.3
2021-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.1-0.10.10.20.00.0-0.20.20.0-0.1
20220.1-0.0-0.40.10.1-0.0-0.00.10.3-0.1-0.00.10.0
2023-0.20.10.2-0.10.0-0.20.10.1-0.00.1-0.2-0.1-0.2
20240.1-0.00.0-0.0-0.1-0.00.1-0.0-0.10.10.00.20.3
2025-0.00.00.0-0.0-0.1-0.01.2-1.2-0.00.0-0.0-0.1-0.3
2026-0.2-0.0-0.1-0.00.00.2-0.10.9-0.9-0.3

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began12/3/2010
Suggested Minimum Capital$42,340
Age192 months
What it tradesForex
# Trades888
# Profitable630
% Profitable70.9%
Avg trade duration8.3 hours
Max peak-to-valley drawdown18.9%
drawdown periodJan 28, 2011 - Feb 03, 2011
Annual Return (Compounded)5.5%
Avg win$292
Avg loss$593

Ratios

W:L ratio1.20
Sharpe Ratio-0.15
Sortino Ratio-0.20
Calmar Ratio0.60

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.00
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life516.6%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-40.0%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)5.5%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)3.5%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity50.8%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.8%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex1.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss43.5%
Chance of 20% account loss14.5%
Chance of 30% account loss3.5%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated43.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)731

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$593
Avg Win$292
# Winners630
Sum Trade PL (losers)$153,027
Sum Trade PL (winners)$183,644
Num Months Winners97
# Losers258
% Winners70.9%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table190

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)500.52
Avg Position Time (hrs)8.34
Avg Trade Length0.30
Last Trade Ago4448

Regression

Alpha0
Beta0
Treynor Index1.87

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.01
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.02
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades93.95
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.62
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats62.73
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats54.16
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades1.32
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.56
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.01

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.18
SD0.15
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.18
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.16
df43
t2.27
p0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.23
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.11
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.22
Sortino ratio2.60
Upside Potential Ratio4.05
Upside part of mean0.27
Downside part of mean-0.10
Upside SD0.14
Downside SD0.07
N nonnegative terms30
N negative terms14
N of observations44
Mean of predictor0.13
Mean of criterion0.18
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.15
Covariance0.00
r0.19
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.23
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.15
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error42
t(b)1.26
p(b)0.11
t(a)1.83
p(a)0.04
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.14
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.59
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.31
Treynor index (mean / b)0.77
Jensen alpha (a)0.15
Mean0.16
SD0.14
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.14
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.12
df43
t2.18
p0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.08
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.18
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.07
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.17
Sortino ratio2.35
Upside Potential Ratio3.79
Upside part of mean0.26
Downside part of mean-0.10
Upside SD0.13
Downside SD0.07
N nonnegative terms30
N negative terms14
N of observations44
Mean of predictor0.12
Mean of criterion0.16
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.14
Covariance0.00
r0.19
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.22
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.14
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error42
t(b)1.27
p(b)0.11
t(a)1.77
p(a)0.04
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.13
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.58
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.29
Treynor index (mean / b)0.74
Jensen alpha (a)0.14
VaR(95%)0.05
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.07
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
Mean0.15
SD0.16
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.92
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.92
df1270
t1.78
p0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.95
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.10
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.94
Sortino ratio1.37
Upside Potential Ratio6.71
Upside part of mean0.74
Downside part of mean-0.59
Upside SD0.12
Downside SD0.11
N nonnegative terms489
N negative terms782
N of observations1271
Mean of predictor0.13
Mean of criterion0.15
SD of predictor0.15
SD of criterion0.16
Covariance0.00
r0.03
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.03
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.08
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error1269
t(b)1.10
p(b)0.48
t(a)1.73
p(a)0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.09
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.31
Treynor index (mean / b)4.65
Jensen alpha (a)0.15
Mean0.14
SD0.16
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.85
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.85
df1270
t1.63
p0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.17
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.87
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.17
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.87
Sortino ratio1.23
Upside Potential Ratio6.54
Upside part of mean0.73
Downside part of mean-0.59
Upside SD0.12
Downside SD0.11
N nonnegative terms489
N negative terms782
N of observations1271
Mean of predictor0.12
Mean of criterion0.14
SD of predictor0.16
SD of criterion0.16
Covariance0.00
r0.03
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.03
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.13
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error1269
t(b)1.09
p(b)0.48
t(a)1.58
p(a)0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.09
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.30
Treynor index (mean / b)4.30
Jensen alpha (a)0.13
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean-0.33
SD0.12
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-2.73
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-2.72
df171
t-1.93
p0.59
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-5.52
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.06
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-5.51
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.06
Sortino ratio-2.87
Upside Potential Ratio2.87
Upside part of mean0.33
Downside part of mean-0.66
Upside SD0.04
Downside SD0.11
N nonnegative terms83
N negative terms89
N of observations172
Mean of predictor0.14
Mean of criterion-0.33
SD of predictor0.11
SD of criterion0.12
Covariance0.00
r0.05
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.05
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.34
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error170
t(b)0.59
p(b)0.48
t(a)-1.97
p(a)0.57
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.23
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.67
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.00
Treynor index (mean / b)-6.33
Jensen alpha (a)-0.34
Mean-0.34
SD0.12
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-2.75
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-2.74
df171
t-1.95
p0.59
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-5.54
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.04
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-5.53
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.05
Sortino ratio-2.89
Upside Potential Ratio2.81
Upside part of mean0.33
Downside part of mean-0.66
Upside SD0.04
Downside SD0.12
N nonnegative terms83
N negative terms89
N of observations172
Mean of predictor0.13
Mean of criterion-0.34
SD of predictor0.11
SD of criterion0.12
Covariance0.00
r0.04
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.05
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.34
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error170
t(b)0.58
p(b)0.48
t(a)-1.98
p(a)0.57
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.12
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.23
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.69
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.00
Treynor index (mean / b)-6.58
Jensen alpha (a)-0.34
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations44
Minimum0.93
Quartile 10.99
Median1.01
Quartile 31.03
Maximum1.13
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.02
Mean of quarter 41.07
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low3
Percentage of outliers low0.07
Mean of outliers low0.93
Number of outliers high4
Percentage of outliers high0.09
Mean of outliers high1.11
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.28
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.05
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.32
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.03
Number of observations1271
Minimum0.94
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.09
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low171
Percentage of outliers low0.13
Mean of outliers low0.99
Number of outliers high168
Percentage of outliers high0.13
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.46
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.21
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01
Number of observations172
Minimum0.94
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.01
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low25
Percentage of outliers low0.15
Mean of outliers low0.99
Number of outliers high12
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.36
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.13
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations8
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.02
Median0.03
Quartile 30.07
Maximum0.09
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.02
Mean of quarter 30.05
Mean of quarter 40.08
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations45
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.03
Maximum0.17
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.08
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high5
Percentage of outliers high0.11
Mean of outliers high0.12
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.15
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.08
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.10
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.52
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.06
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.07
Number of observations6
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.00
Quartile 30.00
Maximum0.16
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.00
Mean of quarter 40.08
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.17
Mean of outliers high0.16
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)6
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.5%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.24
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.19
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)2.05
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs2.29
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal2.73
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.20
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.16
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.94
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.96
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal9.08
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.30
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.28
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-1.73
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-3.38
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-19.25

Trading record

Placed 36 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
USD/CAD short400Jul 2, 2014Jul 2, 2014($189)
GBP/JPY short400Jul 2, 2014Jul 2, 2014($4)
USD/CAD long600Jul 1, 2014Jul 2, 2014$360
GBP/USD short1200Jun 30, 2014Jul 1, 2014($6,898)
AUD/JPY short400Jul 1, 2014Jul 1, 2014$3
NZD/USD short200Jul 1, 2014Jul 1, 2014$138
EUR/AUD short200Jun 27, 2014Jun 27, 2014$119
EUR/USD short400Jun 26, 2014Jun 27, 2014($648)
USD/JPY long200Jun 26, 2014Jun 26, 2014$1
EUR/JPY long400Jun 26, 2014Jun 26, 2014($3)
USD/JPY short200Jun 24, 2014Jun 24, 2014$1
EUR/AUD short200Jun 23, 2014Jun 23, 2014$126
GBP/USD short800Jun 12, 2014Jun 17, 2014($632)
USD/CAD short200Jun 16, 2014Jun 16, 2014$96
USD/JPY long600Jun 12, 2014Jun 12, 2014$1
USD/CAD long200Jun 11, 2014Jun 11, 2014$87
CAD/JPY short200Jun 9, 2014Jun 9, 2014$1
EUR/USD long200Jun 9, 2014Jun 9, 2014$134
NZD/USD short600Jun 5, 2014Jun 5, 2014$194
NZD/USD long200Jun 3, 2014Jun 3, 2014($16)
USD/CAD short200Jun 2, 2014Jun 2, 2014$103
EUR/JPY short200May 30, 2014May 30, 2014$1
NZD/USD short800May 28, 2014May 28, 2014$242
AUD/JPY short200May 28, 2014May 28, 2014$1
USD/CAD short200May 28, 2014May 28, 2014$67
AUD/CAD short200May 28, 2014May 28, 2014$69
EUR/USD short200May 27, 2014May 28, 2014$212
AUD/USD short400May 27, 2014May 27, 2014$178
USD/CAD short400May 27, 2014May 27, 2014($37)
CAD/JPY short200May 23, 2014May 23, 2014$0

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.