Collective2 Collective2
Featured Strategy Iberia Capital Strategy +15.0% Cumul. Return since Apr 15, 2026 Hypothetical

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Forex Swing 2012

By RedKachinaTrading

Forex · Started Jul 2012

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
-122.1%
Max Drawdown
63.0%
Trades
100
Win Trades
66.0%
Profit Factor
0.70
Win Months
1.2%

About this strategy

Forex Swing 2012 uses Elliot Wave, Fibonacci and Ichimoku Kinko Hyo trading strategies to locate short to intermediate term trends. I will attempt to keep max draw down to a minimum to ensure low risk trades. My goal is to provide consistency to subscribers while achieving solid monthly returns. Trades could last a day or up to a few months time. You can trade a small account or a large account with my system. Just adjust the size of each trade. My system is primarily designed for "AutoTrading," as I trade 24 hrs a day, 5 days a week. C2 customer support can help you set up the "AutoTrade" feature. Thanks for your interest in my fund.

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
201236.6-4.5-58.34.1-13.00.0-50.7
20130.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20140.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-0.00.00.00.0-0.0
20150.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20160.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20170.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20180.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20190.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began7/5/2012
Suggested Minimum Capital$5,000
Age173 months
What it tradesForex
# Trades100
# Profitable66
% Profitable66.0%
Avg trade duration3.7 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown63.0%
drawdown periodAug 03, 2012 - Oct 09, 2012
Annual return (compounded)-3.6%
Avg win$81
Avg loss$217

Ratios

W:L ratio0.73
Sharpe Ratio-0.46
Sortino Ratio-0.54
Calmar Ratio-0.27

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.00
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life456.4%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-65.2%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)-122.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)-3.6%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity214.1%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life1.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex1.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss0.0%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$217
Avg Win$81
# Winners66
Sum Trade PL (losers)$7,363
Sum Trade PL (winners)$5,355
Num Months Winners2
# Losers34
% Winners66.0%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table170

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)5310.60
Avg Position Time (hrs)88.51
Avg Trade Length3.70
Last Trade Ago5051

Regression

Alpha-0.02
Beta0
Treynor Index-5.60

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.03
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.06
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-6.27
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)1.79
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats22.39
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats82.59
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.92
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.05
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.16

RATIO STATISTICS

a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.18
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.03

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Max Equity Drawdown (num days)67
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

Trading record

Placed 136 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
AUD/JPY short10Nov 5, 2012Nov 7, 2012($0)
EUR/USD long30Oct 4, 2012Nov 7, 2012($357)
AUD/USD long10Oct 26, 2012Nov 5, 2012$3
NZD/USD long10Oct 26, 2012Nov 2, 2012$22
NZD/USD short10Oct 25, 2012Oct 26, 2012($15)
AUD/USD short10Oct 25, 2012Oct 26, 2012($2)
AUD/USD long20Sep 18, 2012Oct 25, 2012$32
USD/JPY long10Sep 21, 2012Oct 4, 2012$0
AUD/USD short10Sep 13, 2012Sep 18, 2012$79
EUR/USD short20Sep 6, 2012Sep 13, 2012($823)
AUD/JPY short20Sep 5, 2012Sep 13, 2012($2)
NZD/USD short40Sep 5, 2012Sep 13, 2012($1,518)
AUD/USD short20Sep 5, 2012Sep 13, 2012($708)
EUR/AUD short20Sep 6, 2012Sep 6, 2012$28
CAD/JPY long20Sep 3, 2012Sep 6, 2012$0
AUD/JPY long20Sep 5, 2012Sep 5, 2012($0)
EUR/USD long20Sep 2, 2012Sep 5, 2012$7
EUR/JPY long20Sep 2, 2012Sep 5, 2012$0
NZD/USD long20Sep 4, 2012Sep 5, 2012($43)
AUD/USD long20Sep 4, 2012Sep 5, 2012($33)
AUD/USD short20Sep 4, 2012Sep 4, 2012$1
AUD/USD long20Sep 4, 2012Sep 4, 2012($30)
AUD/USD long20Sep 2, 2012Sep 3, 2012($121)
NZD/USD long20Sep 2, 2012Sep 3, 2012($15)
EUR/USD short20Aug 31, 2012Aug 31, 2012$60
AUD/CAD short20Aug 30, 2012Aug 31, 2012$68
EUR/CAD short20Aug 30, 2012Aug 31, 2012$5
CAD/JPY long20Aug 24, 2012Aug 31, 2012$0
EUR/AUD long20Aug 29, 2012Aug 31, 2012$102
EUR/AUD short20Aug 29, 2012Aug 29, 2012($32)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.