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Kingda Forex (3x)

Forex · Started Dec 2010

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
4.9%
Max Drawdown
23.5%
Trades
881
Win Trades
70.9%
Profit Factor
1.20
Win Months
42.9%

About this strategy

Kingda Forex (3x) is simply to show you what your equity curve can look like when starting with $6,000 and trading 3-6 lots per trade. In essence you are trading 3x (3 times) our main C2 Model Account called Kingda Forex (System 55489441).

Please visit http://www.kingda.collective2.com for a detailed description.

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DISCLAIMER:

Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts.

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20107.67.6
20110.68.04.20.9-3.10.70.10.21.30.4-3.5-0.09.9
2012-2.17.72.13.3-7.29.45.1-3.3-6.0-1.03.8-4.26.2
20132.88.9-6.5-3.62.7-0.62.60.9-0.00.6-3.8-0.32.9
2014-0.0-5.20.3-14.36.8-20.2-16.8-0.10.30.0-0.00.2-42.0
20150.6-0.10.1-0.30.1-0.80.30.20.2-0.2-0.00.20.2
20160.10.1-0.50.20.30.1-0.10.00.0-0.1-0.20.00.1
2017-0.2-0.00.10.2-0.0-0.2-0.40.1-0.10.20.1-0.3-0.5
2018-0.10.30.2-0.00.10.1-0.10.0-0.00.2-0.10.30.8
2019-0.1-0.00.10.10.10.00.3-0.1-0.10.1-0.2-0.0
20200.20.20.4-0.2-0.2-0.1-0.2-0.20.3-0.1-0.1-0.2-0.3
2021-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.10.20.20.10.0-0.40.30.0-0.1
20220.1-0.0-0.50.10.1-0.0-0.00.00.10.1-0.00.10.0
2023-0.30.10.2-0.1-0.0-0.30.10.10.00.1-0.2-0.1-0.4
20240.1-0.0-0.00.0-0.1-0.00.2-0.0-0.10.10.10.20.3
20250.00.00.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.10.0-0.00.0-0.1-0.1-0.4
2026-0.2-0.10.1-0.20.00.2-0.1-0.80.8-0.3

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began12/3/2010
Suggested Minimum Capital$6,351
Age192 months
What it tradesForex
# Trades881
# Profitable625
% Profitable70.9%
Avg trade duration9.1 hours
Max peak-to-valley drawdown23.5%
drawdown periodNov 20, 2013 - July 01, 2014
Annual Return (Compounded)4.9%
Avg win$44
Avg loss$91

Ratios

W:L ratio1.19
Sharpe Ratio-0.24
Sortino Ratio-0.31
Calmar Ratio0.46

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.01
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life521.4%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-42.2%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)4.9%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)3.4%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity93.1%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.9%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex1.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss49.0%
Chance of 20% account loss15.0%
Chance of 30% account loss3.5%
Chance of 40% account loss0.5%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated38.4%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)842

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$91
Avg Win$44
# Winners625
Sum Trade PL (losers)$23,281
Sum Trade PL (winners)$27,710
Num Months Winners95
# Losers256
% Winners70.9%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table190

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)546
Avg Position Time (hrs)9.10
Avg Trade Length0.40
Last Trade Ago4448

Regression

Alpha-0.01
Beta-0.01
Treynor Index1.08

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.02
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.01
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.02
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades41.58
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)1.70
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats55.52
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats70.17
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades1.94
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.85
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.02

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.19
SD0.14
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.36
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.33
df43
t2.60
p0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.29
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.41
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.27
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.39
Sortino ratio3.03
Upside Potential Ratio4.39
Upside part of mean0.28
Downside part of mean-0.09
Upside SD0.14
Downside SD0.06
N nonnegative terms31
N negative terms13
N of observations44
Mean of predictor0.12
Mean of criterion0.19
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.14
Covariance0.00
r0.20
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.24
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.16
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error42
t(b)1.36
p(b)0.09
t(a)2.13
p(a)0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.60
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.32
Treynor index (mean / b)0.81
Jensen alpha (a)0.16
Mean0.18
SD0.14
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.31
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.29
df43
t2.51
p0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.24
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.36
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.23
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.35
Sortino ratio2.76
Upside Potential Ratio4.11
Upside part of mean0.27
Downside part of mean-0.09
Upside SD0.13
Downside SD0.07
N nonnegative terms31
N negative terms13
N of observations44
Mean of predictor0.12
Mean of criterion0.18
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.14
Covariance0.00
r0.21
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.23
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.16
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error42
t(b)1.36
p(b)0.09
t(a)2.08
p(a)0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.11
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.58
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.31
Treynor index (mean / b)0.78
Jensen alpha (a)0.16
VaR(95%)0.05
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.07
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
Mean0.15
SD0.16
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.91
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.91
df1275
t1.76
p0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.11
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.93
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.11
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.93
Sortino ratio1.31
Upside Potential Ratio6.53
Upside part of mean0.73
Downside part of mean-0.58
Upside SD0.12
Downside SD0.11
N nonnegative terms494
N negative terms782
N of observations1276
Mean of predictor0.13
Mean of criterion0.15
SD of predictor0.15
SD of criterion0.16
Covariance0.00
r0.02
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.02
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.08
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error1274
t(b)0.83
p(b)0.49
t(a)1.72
p(a)0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.08
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.31
Treynor index (mean / b)6.11
Jensen alpha (a)0.14
Mean0.13
SD0.16
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.83
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.83
df1275
t1.60
p0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.19
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.85
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.19
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.85
Sortino ratio1.18
Upside Potential Ratio6.35
Upside part of mean0.72
Downside part of mean-0.59
Upside SD0.11
Downside SD0.11
N nonnegative terms494
N negative terms782
N of observations1276
Mean of predictor0.12
Mean of criterion0.13
SD of predictor0.15
SD of criterion0.16
Covariance0.00
r0.02
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.02
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.13
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error1274
t(b)0.81
p(b)0.49
t(a)1.57
p(a)0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.08
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.29
Treynor index (mean / b)5.70
Jensen alpha (a)0.13
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean-0.44
SD0.17
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-2.52
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-2.51
df171
t-1.78
p0.59
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-5.30
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.27
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-5.29
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.28
Sortino ratio-2.69
Upside Potential Ratio2.97
Upside part of mean0.48
Downside part of mean-0.92
Upside SD0.06
Downside SD0.16
N nonnegative terms83
N negative terms89
N of observations172
Mean of predictor0.13
Mean of criterion-0.44
SD of predictor0.11
SD of criterion0.17
Covariance-0.00
r-0.00
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.01
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.43
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error170
t(b)-0.05
p(b)0.50
t(a)-1.77
p(a)0.57
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.25
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.24
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.92
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.05
Treynor index (mean / b)69.78
Jensen alpha (a)-0.43
Mean-0.45
SD0.18
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-2.55
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-2.54
df171
t-1.80
p0.59
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-5.33
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.24
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-5.32
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.25
Sortino ratio-2.71
Upside Potential Ratio2.88
Upside part of mean0.48
Downside part of mean-0.93
Upside SD0.06
Downside SD0.17
N nonnegative terms83
N negative terms89
N of observations172
Mean of predictor0.13
Mean of criterion-0.45
SD of predictor0.11
SD of criterion0.18
Covariance-0.00
r-0.01
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.01
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.45
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error170
t(b)-0.07
p(b)0.50
t(a)-1.79
p(a)0.57
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.26
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.25
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.95
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.05
Treynor index (mean / b)52.17
Jensen alpha (a)-0.45
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations44
Minimum0.91
Quartile 10.99
Median1.01
Quartile 31.03
Maximum1.13
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 21.01
Mean of quarter 31.02
Mean of quarter 41.07
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.02
Mean of outliers low0.91
Number of outliers high5
Percentage of outliers high0.11
Mean of outliers high1.10
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.41
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.03
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.05
Number of observations1276
Minimum0.92
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.07
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low174
Percentage of outliers low0.14
Mean of outliers low0.99
Number of outliers high161
Percentage of outliers high0.13
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.47
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.29
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01
Number of observations172
Minimum0.92
Quartile 11.00
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.02
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low25
Percentage of outliers low0.15
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high14
Percentage of outliers high0.08
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.91
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.09
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.33
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations9
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.01
Median0.02
Quartile 30.06
Maximum0.09
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.02
Mean of quarter 30.04
Mean of quarter 40.08
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-1.21
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.08
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.09
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.33
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.10
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.14
Number of observations48
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.03
Maximum0.21
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.08
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high4
Percentage of outliers high0.08
Mean of outliers high0.13
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.18
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.08
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.12
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.38
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.07
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.12
Number of observations7
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.00
Quartile 30.00
Maximum0.21
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.00
Mean of quarter 40.11
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.14
Mean of outliers high0.21
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)223
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.5%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.28
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.21
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)2.35
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs2.72
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal3.25
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.19
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.15
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.72
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs2.04
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal8.92
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.40
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.36
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-1.72
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-3.39
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-17.18

Trading record

Placed 19 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
GBP/USD short270Jun 12, 2014Jul 2, 2014($2,432)
USD/CAD short60Jul 2, 2014Jul 2, 2014($32)
GBP/JPY short60Jul 2, 2014Jul 2, 2014($1)
USD/CAD long90Jul 1, 2014Jul 2, 2014$56
AUD/JPY short60Jul 1, 2014Jul 1, 2014$1
NZD/USD short30Jul 1, 2014Jul 1, 2014$22
EUR/AUD short30Jun 27, 2014Jun 27, 2014$21
EUR/USD short60Jun 26, 2014Jun 27, 2014($100)
USD/JPY long30Jun 26, 2014Jun 26, 2014$0
EUR/JPY long60Jun 26, 2014Jun 26, 2014($0)
USD/JPY short30Jun 24, 2014Jun 24, 2014$0
EUR/AUD short30Jun 23, 2014Jun 23, 2014$20
USD/CAD short30Jun 16, 2014Jun 16, 2014$24
USD/JPY long90Jun 12, 2014Jun 12, 2014$0
USD/CAD long30Jun 11, 2014Jun 11, 2014$10
CAD/JPY short30Jun 9, 2014Jun 9, 2014$0
EUR/USD long30Jun 9, 2014Jun 9, 2014$20
NZD/USD short90Jun 5, 2014Jun 5, 2014$16
NZD/USD long30Jun 3, 2014Jun 3, 2014($1)
USD/CAD short30Jun 2, 2014Jun 2, 2014$15
EUR/JPY short30May 30, 2014May 30, 2014$0
NZD/USD short120May 28, 2014May 28, 2014$33
AUD/JPY short30May 28, 2014May 28, 2014$0
USD/CAD short30May 28, 2014May 28, 2014$9
AUD/CAD short30May 28, 2014May 28, 2014$9
EUR/USD short30May 27, 2014May 28, 2014$33
AUD/USD short60May 27, 2014May 28, 2014$74
USD/CAD short60May 27, 2014May 27, 2014($8)
CAD/JPY short30May 23, 2014May 23, 2014$0
USD/CAD long30May 23, 2014May 23, 2014$5

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.