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Universe Forex

Forex · Started Jan 2013

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
6.0%
Max Drawdown
9.9%
Trades
790
Win Trades
83.8%
Profit Factor
1.50
Win Months
6.7%

About this strategy

This system goes to get pips every certain time, it dont have variables, and no indicators, only the price and it have stop and target can be variable along the time. The most important: i never open more than one trade at same time, in my system. Many systems open infinite trades in diferent times. I wish you big profits.

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2013-0.41.73.50.41.02.40.40.7-6.70.11.80.75.5
20141.20.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.01.2
20150.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20160.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20170.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20180.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20190.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began1/30/2013
Suggested Minimum Capital$30,000
Age166 months
What it tradesForex
# Trades790
# Profitable662
% Profitable83.8%
Avg trade duration6.1 hours
Max peak-to-valley drawdown9.9%
drawdown periodSept 05, 2013 - Oct 18, 2013
Annual Return (Compounded)6.0%
Avg win$28
Avg loss$101

Ratios

W:L ratio1.46
Sharpe Ratio-0.42
Sortino Ratio-0.53
Calmar Ratio0.63

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.02
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life406.7%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-17.3%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)6.0%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)1.3%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity3.5%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life1.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex1.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss6.7%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated50.2%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)824

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$101
Avg Win$28
# Winners662
Sum Trade PL (losers)$12,872
Sum Trade PL (winners)$18,761
Num Months Winners11
# Losers128
% Winners83.8%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table164

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)363.47
Avg Position Time (hrs)6.06
Avg Trade Length0.30
Last Trade Ago4601

Regression

Alpha0
Beta0
Treynor Index1.25

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades8.08
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.86
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats11.60
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats34
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades1.17
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.00
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.12

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.15
SD0.09
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.65
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.55
df13
t1.78
p0.23
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.30
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.54
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.36
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.46
Sortino ratio2.78
Upside Potential Ratio4.00
Upside part of mean0.22
Downside part of mean-0.07
Upside SD0.08
Downside SD0.05
N nonnegative terms11
N negative terms3
N of observations14
Mean of predictor0.19
Mean of criterion0.15
SD of predictor0.11
SD of criterion0.09
Covariance-0.00
r-0.15
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.12
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.17
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error12
t(b)-0.53
p(b)0.58
t(a)1.78
p(a)0.27
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.63
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.38
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.38
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.21
Jensen alpha (a)0.17
Mean0.14
SD0.09
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.60
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.50
df13
t1.72
p0.23
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.35
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.48
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.40
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.41
Sortino ratio2.62
Upside Potential Ratio3.84
Upside part of mean0.21
Downside part of mean-0.07
Upside SD0.08
Downside SD0.06
N nonnegative terms11
N negative terms3
N of observations14
Mean of predictor0.19
Mean of criterion0.14
SD of predictor0.11
SD of criterion0.09
Covariance-0.00
r-0.16
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.13
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.17
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error12
t(b)-0.55
p(b)0.58
t(a)1.75
p(a)0.27
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.64
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.38
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.38
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.12
Jensen alpha (a)0.17
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
Mean0.14
SD0.09
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.61
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.61
df422
t1.79
p0.04
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.16
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.38
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.16
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.38
Sortino ratio2.11
Upside Potential Ratio4.95
Upside part of mean0.33
Downside part of mean-0.19
Upside SD0.06
Downside SD0.07
N nonnegative terms245
N negative terms178
N of observations423
Mean of predictor0.18
Mean of criterion0.14
SD of predictor0.11
SD of criterion0.09
Covariance-0.00
r-0.07
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.05
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.03
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error421
t(b)-1.34
p(b)0.91
t(a)1.89
p(a)0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.30
Treynor index (mean / b)-2.84
Jensen alpha (a)0.15
Mean0.14
SD0.09
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.55
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.55
df422
t1.72
p0.04
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.22
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.32
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.22
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.32
Sortino ratio2.01
Upside Potential Ratio4.81
Upside part of mean0.33
Downside part of mean-0.19
Upside SD0.06
Downside SD0.07
N nonnegative terms245
N negative terms178
N of observations423
Mean of predictor0.17
Mean of criterion0.14
SD of predictor0.11
SD of criterion0.09
Covariance-0.00
r-0.07
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.05
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.15
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error421
t(b)-1.35
p(b)0.91
t(a)1.83
p(a)0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.30
Treynor index (mean / b)-2.72
Jensen alpha (a)0.15
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
Mean0.13
SD0.07
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.97
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.96
df171
t1.39
p0.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.82
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.74
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.82
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.74
Sortino ratio2.70
Upside Potential Ratio5.73
Upside part of mean0.27
Downside part of mean-0.14
Upside SD0.04
Downside SD0.05
N nonnegative terms77
N negative terms95
N of observations172
Mean of predictor0.19
Mean of criterion0.13
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.07
Covariance-0.00
r-0.04
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.02
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.13
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error170
t(b)-0.51
p(b)0.52
t(a)1.43
p(a)0.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.11
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.06
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.32
Treynor index (mean / b)-5.77
Jensen alpha (a)0.13
Mean0.13
SD0.07
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.93
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.92
df171
t1.36
p0.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.86
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.70
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.86
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.70
Sortino ratio2.62
Upside Potential Ratio5.63
Upside part of mean0.27
Downside part of mean-0.14
Upside SD0.04
Downside SD0.05
N nonnegative terms77
N negative terms95
N of observations172
Mean of predictor0.18
Mean of criterion0.13
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.07
Covariance-0.00
r-0.04
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.02
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.13
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error170
t(b)-0.52
p(b)0.52
t(a)1.40
p(a)0.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.11
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.06
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.31
Treynor index (mean / b)-5.59
Jensen alpha (a)0.13
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations14
Minimum0.95
Quartile 11.01
Median1.02
Quartile 31.03
Maximum1.05
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.01
Mean of quarter 31.02
Mean of quarter 41.04
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low2
Percentage of outliers low0.14
Mean of outliers low0.96
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.45
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.07
Number of observations423
Minimum0.94
Quartile 11
Median1.00
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.05
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low26
Percentage of outliers low0.06
Mean of outliers low0.99
Number of outliers high32
Percentage of outliers high0.08
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.59
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.60
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01
Number of observations172
Minimum0.97
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.02
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low11
Percentage of outliers low0.06
Mean of outliers low0.99
Number of outliers high15
Percentage of outliers high0.09
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.05
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.00
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.22
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.00

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations1
Minimum0.07
Quartile 10.07
Median0.07
Quartile 30.07
Maximum0.07
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations42
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.00
Quartile 30.00
Maximum0.09
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.00
Mean of quarter 40.01
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high7
Percentage of outliers high0.17
Mean of outliers high0.02
Extreme Value Index (moments method)1.12
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.60
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations19
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.00
Quartile 30.00
Maximum0.04
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.00
Mean of quarter 40.01
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.11
Mean of outliers high0.02
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.91
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.14
Extreme Value Index (regression method)2.24
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)43
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.17
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.17
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)2.28
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal4.08
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.16
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.16
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.84
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs11.53
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal16.92
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.14
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.15
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)4.00
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs12.89
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal21.14

Trading record

Placed 117 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
EUR/USD short10Jan 31, 2014Jan 31, 2014$8
EUR/USD short10Jan 31, 2014Jan 31, 2014$9
EUR/USD short10Jan 31, 2014Jan 31, 2014$2
EUR/USD short10Jan 30, 2014Jan 31, 2014$9
EUR/USD short10Jan 30, 2014Jan 30, 2014$8
EUR/USD short10Jan 30, 2014Jan 30, 2014$8
EUR/USD short10Jan 29, 2014Jan 30, 2014$9
EUR/USD short10Jan 29, 2014Jan 29, 2014$9
EUR/USD short10Jan 28, 2014Jan 28, 2014$9
EUR/USD short10Jan 28, 2014Jan 28, 2014$9
EUR/USD short10Jan 28, 2014Jan 28, 2014$10
EUR/USD short10Jan 27, 2014Jan 28, 2014$10
EUR/USD short10Jan 26, 2014Jan 27, 2014$3
EUR/USD short10Jan 24, 2014Jan 24, 2014$10
EUR/USD short70Jan 24, 2014Jan 24, 2014$66
EUR/USD short10Jan 24, 2014Jan 24, 2014($52)
EUR/USD short10Jan 23, 2014Jan 24, 2014$9
EUR/USD short10Jan 23, 2014Jan 23, 2014$10
EUR/USD short70Jan 23, 2014Jan 23, 2014$70
EUR/USD short10Jan 22, 2014Jan 23, 2014($50)
EUR/USD short10Jan 22, 2014Jan 22, 2014$9
EUR/USD short10Jan 22, 2014Jan 22, 2014$9
EUR/USD short10Jan 22, 2014Jan 22, 2014$10
EUR/USD short10Jan 22, 2014Jan 22, 2014$9
EUR/USD short10Jan 21, 2014Jan 22, 2014$9
EUR/USD short10Jan 21, 2014Jan 21, 2014$10
EUR/USD short10Jan 19, 2014Jan 21, 2014$9
EUR/USD short10Jan 19, 2014Jan 19, 2014$8
EUR/USD short10Jan 17, 2014Jan 17, 2014$9
EUR/USD short10Jan 17, 2014Jan 17, 2014$9

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.