Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

TEST SYSTEM Hedge #D

Forex · Started Oct 2013

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
9.7%
Max Drawdown
100.0%
Trades
976
Win Trades
56.7%
Profit Factor
1.10
Win Months
46.5%

About this strategy

Test System Only
Not for Subscription

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
201326.637.213.997.7
20147.53.4-32.4-13.913.7-20.751.4-12.650.93.04.510.338.3
2015-11.361.2-64.7-18.0-1.4-0.1-2.1-0.2-0.60.8-0.8-1.7-61.0
2016-0.91.91.81.7-1.50.1-0.3-0.20.1-1.1-0.1-0.31.0
20171.30.1-0.7-0.90.41.12.1-0.31.1-1.70.40.73.4
20180.8-1.5-0.60.2-0.1-1.51.00.10.2-0.5-0.4-0.8-3.2
20191.1-0.1-0.6-0.1-0.10.0-0.70.10.7-0.80.71.3
2020-0.4-0.7-2.50.31.00.31.01.0-1.00.60.70.91.2
2021-0.30.60.60.31.4-1.0-0.5-0.6-0.31.3-1.5-0.1-0.2
20220.4-0.10.9-1.1-0.2-0.30.1-0.5-2.2-0.00.9-0.3-2.5
20230.5-0.4-0.70.6-0.21.5-0.3-1.10.3-1.00.61.41.2
2024-0.7-0.4-0.1-0.40.1-0.2-0.30.70.6-1.4-0.3-1.2-3.6
2025-0.10.6-0.41.5-0.00.40.1-0.1-0.1-0.7-0.10.61.6
20260.40.1-0.70.8-0.3-1.30.31.0-0.10.2

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began10/20/2013
Suggested Minimum Capital$5,000
Age157 months
What it tradesForex
# Trades976
# Profitable553
% Profitable56.7%
Avg trade duration14.7 hours
Max peak-to-valley drawdown100.0%
drawdown periodOct 22, 2013 - April 01, 2015
Annual Return (Compounded)9.7%
Avg win$197
Avg loss$235

Ratios

W:L ratio1.09
Sharpe Ratio-0.22
Sortino Ratio-0.22
Calmar Ratio0.33

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.05
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life334.8%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)0.2%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)9.7%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)8.4%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity297.9%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.9%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex1.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss100.0%
Chance of 40% account loss100.0%
Chance of 50% account loss100.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)409
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$235
Avg Win$197
# Winners553
Sum Trade PL (losers)$99,589
Sum Trade PL (winners)$108,722
Num Months Winners72
# Losers423
% Winners56.7%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table156

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)880.63
Avg Position Time (hrs)14.68
Avg Trade Length0.60
Last Trade Ago4174

Regression

Alpha0
Beta0.34
Treynor Index0

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.02
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.02
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.02
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades21.50
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)1.32
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats51.28
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats78.96
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.65
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.10
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.05

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean6940.85
SD10017.50
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.69
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.67
df24
t1.00
p0.16
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.69
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.06
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.70
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.04
Sortino ratio9573.92
Upside Potential Ratio9574.98
Upside part of mean6941.62
Downside part of mean-0.77
Upside SD10017.50
Downside SD0.72
N nonnegative terms16
N negative terms9
N of observations25
Mean of predictor0.07
Mean of criterion6940.85
SD of predictor0.08
SD of criterion10017.50
Covariance97.32
r0.12
b (slope, estimate of beta)14675.70
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)5963.80
Mean Square Error103222000
DF error23
t(b)0.58
p(b)0.29
t(a)0.82
p(a)0.21
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-38007.40
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta67358.80
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-9013.83
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha20941.40
Treynor index (mean / b)0.47
Jensen alpha (a)5963.80
Mean0.49
SD9.89
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.05
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.05
df24
t0.07
p0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.31
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.41
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.31
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.41
Sortino ratio0.07
Upside Potential Ratio0.81
Upside part of mean5.68
Downside part of mean-5.19
Upside SD6.66
Downside SD7.04
N nonnegative terms16
N negative terms9
N of observations25
Mean of predictor0.06
Mean of criterion0.49
SD of predictor0.08
SD of criterion9.89
Covariance0.22
r0.28
b (slope, estimate of beta)33.75
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-1.64
Mean Square Error94.23
DF error23
t(b)1.38
p(b)0.09
t(a)-0.24
p(a)0.59
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-16.69
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta84.18
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-15.91
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha12.63
Treynor index (mean / b)0.01
Jensen alpha (a)-1.64
VaR(95%)0.99
Expected Shortfall on VaR1.00
VaR(95%)0.11
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.27
Mean6790.86
SD9905.84
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.69
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.68
df731
t1.00
p0.16
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.66
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.03
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.66
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.03
Sortino ratio9113.74
Upside Potential Ratio9117.10
Upside part of mean6793.36
Downside part of mean-2.51
Upside SD9905.84
Downside SD0.75
N nonnegative terms337
N negative terms395
N of observations732
Mean of predictor0.09
Mean of criterion6790.86
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion9905.84
Covariance-1.90
r-0.00
b (slope, estimate of beta)-117.16
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)4098.74
Mean Square Error98260000
DF error730
t(b)-0.04
p(b)0.52
t(a)1.00
p(a)0.16
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-5762.08
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta5527.76
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-6548.71
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha20150.70
Treynor index (mean / b)-57.96
Jensen alpha (a)6801.01
Mean0.48
SD9.33
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.05
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.05
df731
t0.08
p0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.29
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.40
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.29
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.40
Sortino ratio0.07
Upside Potential Ratio1.07
Upside part of mean7.09
Downside part of mean-6.60
Upside SD6.58
Downside SD6.61
N nonnegative terms337
N negative terms395
N of observations732
Mean of predictor0.08
Mean of criterion0.48
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion9.33
Covariance0.02
r0.02
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.19
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.39
Mean Square Error87.12
DF error730
t(b)0.44
p(b)0.33
t(a)0.06
p(a)0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-4.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta6.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-12.18
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha12.96
Treynor index (mean / b)0.41
Jensen alpha (a)0.39
VaR(95%)0.56
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.64
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
Mean-0.04
SD0.01
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-4.05
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-4.03
df171
t-2.86
p0.64
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-6.84
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.24
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-6.83
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.22
Sortino ratio-4.90
Upside Potential Ratio6.25
Upside part of mean0.05
Downside part of mean-0.09
Upside SD0.01
Downside SD0.01
N nonnegative terms64
N negative terms108
N of observations172
Mean of predictor-0.01
Mean of criterion-0.04
SD of predictor0.17
SD of criterion0.01
Covariance0.00
r0.20
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.01
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.04
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error170
t(b)2.68
p(b)0.40
t(a)-2.90
p(a)0.61
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.01
Treynor index (mean / b)-3.38
Jensen alpha (a)-0.04
Mean-0.04
SD0.01
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-4.05
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-4.03
df171
t-2.86
p0.64
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-6.85
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.24
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-6.84
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.23
Sortino ratio-4.90
Upside Potential Ratio6.24
Upside part of mean0.05
Downside part of mean-0.09
Upside SD0.01
Downside SD0.01
N nonnegative terms64
N negative terms108
N of observations172
Mean of predictor-0.03
Mean of criterion-0.04
SD of predictor0.17
SD of criterion0.01
Covariance0.00
r0.20
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.01
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.04
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error170
t(b)2.68
p(b)0.40
t(a)-2.89
p(a)0.61
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.00
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.52
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.01
Treynor index (mean / b)-3.39
Jensen alpha (a)-0.04
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations25
Minimum0.00
Quartile 11.00
Median1.02
Quartile 31.19
Maximum14460
Mean of quarter 10.77
Mean of quarter 21.01
Mean of quarter 31.08
Mean of quarter 42411.20
Inter Quartile Range0.20
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.04
Mean of outliers low0.00
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.12
Mean of outliers high4821.08
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.88
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.06
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.55
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.24
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.15
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.30
Number of observations732
Minimum0.00
Quartile 11.00
Median1
Quartile 31.01
Maximum14451
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 479.99
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low90
Percentage of outliers low0.12
Mean of outliers low0.95
Number of outliers high111
Percentage of outliers high0.15
Mean of outliers high131.22
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.67
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.06
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.22
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.04
Number of observations172
Minimum1.00
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.00
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low3
Percentage of outliers low0.02
Mean of outliers low1.00
Number of outliers high4
Percentage of outliers high0.02
Mean of outliers high1.00
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-1.13
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.00
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.72
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.00

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations3
Minimum0.14
Quartile 10.22
Median0.31
Quartile 30.65
Maximum1.00
Mean of quarter 10.14
Mean of quarter 20.31
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0.43
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations35
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.03
Quartile 30.06
Maximum1.00
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.02
Mean of quarter 30.04
Mean of quarter 40.24
Inter Quartile Range0.06
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high4
Percentage of outliers high0.11
Mean of outliers high0.43
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.75
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.26
Expected Shortfall (moments method)1.08
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.37
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.24
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations1
Minimum0.02
Quartile 10.02
Median0.02
Quartile 30.02
Maximum0.02
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)526
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.5%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.89
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.66
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.66
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.66
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0.66
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.87
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.64
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.64
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs2.60
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal1.00
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.03
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.03
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-1.56
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-24.52

Trading record

Placed 705 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
USD/JPY short200Mar 31, 2015Apr 1, 2015($4)
AUD/USD long200Mar 31, 2015Apr 1, 2015($646)
NZD/USD long100Apr 1, 2015Apr 1, 2015($409)
NZD/USD long100Mar 31, 2015Mar 31, 2015($375)
USD/JPY short200Mar 31, 2015Mar 31, 2015$1
NZD/USD long100Mar 31, 2015Mar 31, 2015$100
AUD/USD long100Mar 31, 2015Mar 31, 2015$283
USD/CAD short200Mar 31, 2015Mar 31, 2015$802
GBP/USD long50Mar 31, 2015Mar 31, 2015($11)
USD/JPY short100Mar 30, 2015Mar 31, 2015$1
USD/CAD short100Mar 31, 2015Mar 31, 2015$245
NZD/USD long200Mar 31, 2015Mar 31, 2015($7)
AUD/USD long100Mar 31, 2015Mar 31, 2015($360)
USD/CAD short100Mar 31, 2015Mar 31, 2015($232)
EUR/USD long100Mar 30, 2015Mar 31, 2015($329)
AUD/USD long100Mar 30, 2015Mar 31, 2015($289)
GBP/USD long100Mar 30, 2015Mar 30, 2015($285)
GBP/USD long100Mar 30, 2015Mar 30, 2015$217
USD/JPY short100Mar 20, 2015Mar 20, 2015$2
AUD/USD long100Mar 19, 2015Mar 20, 2015$212
GBP/USD long100Mar 19, 2015Mar 19, 2015($409)
EUR/USD long100Mar 19, 2015Mar 19, 2015($270)
USD/CAD short100Mar 19, 2015Mar 19, 2015($184)
GBP/USD long100Mar 19, 2015Mar 19, 2015($353)
USD/JPY short100Mar 19, 2015Mar 19, 2015($2)
AUD/USD long200Mar 19, 2015Mar 19, 2015($734)
EUR/USD long200Mar 19, 2015Mar 19, 2015($895)
USD/JPY short100Mar 18, 2015Mar 18, 2015$1
EUR/USD long100Mar 18, 2015Mar 18, 2015($447)
GBP/USD long100Mar 18, 2015Mar 18, 2015$110

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.