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Code North

Forex · Started Nov 2013

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
0.0%
Max Drawdown
100.0%
Trades
95
Win Trades
43.2%
Profit Factor
0.20
Win Months
33.5%

About this strategy

Code North is a technical analysis based system.

Trading pairs include aud/usd, eur/usd, gbp/usd, usd/cad, usd/chf, usd/jpy, aud/jpy, cad/jpy, eur/jpy, gbp/jpy, aud/cad, eur/aud, eur/cad, gbp/aud, gbp/cad, eur/gbp.

Risk management rules
-max 3 open trades simultaneously;
-max DD 2.5% per trade;
-max DD 3.5% for all open trades;

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
201316.114.933.4
20142.6-42.561.8-5.330.07.69.69.1-26.13.8-65.88.8-56.8
2015214.8-2.917.6-21.8-12.6-1.9-22.1-50.2-7.390.064.00.4170.8
2016-8.025.814.71.5-18.469.46.4-1.112.3-0.5-12.9-19.952.8
201710.923.0-1.1-15.4-25.2-4.0-6.7-7.4-16.55.0-26.76.2-51.8
20188.22.4-14.2-16.797.3-30.7-2.1-30.5-20.561.717.4-10.1-0.0
201915.6-3.810.2-4.44.3-14.44.118.9-8.4-3.7-3.51.712.1
2020-20.9-12.5-66.3403.8-18.119.9-22.0-7.529.3-26.333.8-6.6-0.8
20219.92.4-11.4-17.4-26.110.5-15.76.0-3.725.83.27.7-18.9
2022-28.465.18.1-40.2-11.6-62.5167.454.4-48.9-117.5-235.1-9.3-88.5
2023312.0-52.4-224.1-187.9-7.7-47.4-14.1-44.5-16.7-8.2-0.2-31.0-838.2
2024-49.4-6.1-5.8-2.7-0.6-4.8-2.9-25.4-21.0-43.3-25.7-58.7
2025-10.3-26.7-66.4-31.9-1.2-21.5-2.7-2.5-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.2
2026-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.1-0.0-0.3-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.2

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began11/21/2013
Suggested Minimum Capital$8,000
Age156 months
What it tradesForex
# Trades95
# Profitable41
% Profitable43.2%
Avg trade duration134.1 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown100.0%
drawdown periodMarch 16, 2023 - Nov 23, 2025
Annual Return (Compounded)0.0%
Avg win$179
Avg loss$640

Ratios

W:L ratio0.21
Sharpe Ratio0.45
Sortino Ratio1.26
Calmar Ratio-0.97

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.32
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life322.4%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-682.2%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)0.0%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)0.0%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.8%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex1.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss100.0%
Chance of 40% account loss100.0%
Chance of 50% account loss100.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)6.7%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated1.3%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$640
Avg Win$179
# Winners41
Sum Trade PL (losers)$34,575
Sum Trade PL (winners)$7,333
Num Months Winners51
# Losers54
% Winners43.2%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table108

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)193111.81
Avg Position Time (hrs)3218.53
Avg Trade Length134.10
Last Trade Ago389

Regression

Alpha0
Beta3.84
Treynor Index0

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.02
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.03
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.03
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-0.44
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.55
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats7.47
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats50.49
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.28
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-0.28
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-2.29

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean-0.20
SD1.30
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.15
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.15
df30
t-0.25
p0.60
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.37
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.07
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.37
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.07
Sortino ratio-0.20
Upside Potential Ratio1.55
Upside part of mean1.55
Downside part of mean-1.75
Upside SD0.79
Downside SD1.00
N nonnegative terms14
N negative terms17
N of observations31
Mean of predictor0.56
Mean of criterion-0.20
SD of predictor0.37
SD of criterion1.30
Covariance0.03
r0.05
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.19
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.31
Mean Square Error1.73
DF error29
t(b)0.29
p(b)0.39
t(a)-0.34
p(a)0.63
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.15
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.53
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-2.14
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.53
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.06
Jensen alpha (a)-0.31
Mean-3.51
SD4.71
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.74
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.73
df30
t-1.20
p0.88
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.97
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.50
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.96
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.51
Sortino ratio-0.75
Upside Potential Ratio0.28
Upside part of mean1.31
Downside part of mean-4.82
Upside SD0.65
Downside SD4.70
N nonnegative terms14
N negative terms17
N of observations31
Mean of predictor0.49
Mean of criterion-3.51
SD of predictor0.34
SD of criterion4.71
Covariance-0.10
r-0.07
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.91
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-3.06
Mean Square Error22.88
DF error29
t(b)-0.35
p(b)0.64
t(a)-0.94
p(a)0.82
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-6.20
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta4.38
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-9.68
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha3.57
Treynor index (mean / b)3.86
Jensen alpha (a)-3.06
VaR(95%)0.92
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.95
VaR(95%)0.36
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.68
Mean1217.57
SD1417.93
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.86
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.86
df688
t1.39
p0.08
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.35
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.07
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.35
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.07
Sortino ratio666.17
Upside Potential Ratio672.02
Upside part of mean1228.25
Downside part of mean-10.68
Upside SD1418.89
Downside SD1.83
N nonnegative terms300
N negative terms389
N of observations689
Mean of predictor0.60
Mean of criterion1217.57
SD of predictor0.39
SD of criterion1417.93
Covariance21.65
r0.04
b (slope, estimate of beta)143.38
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)1131.64
Mean Square Error2010333
DF error687
t(b)1.03
p(b)0.15
t(a)1.29
p(a)0.10
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-129.78
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta416.53
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-592.82
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2856.11
Treynor index (mean / b)8.49
Jensen alpha (a)1131.64
Mean-3.45
SD9.73
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.35
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.35
df688
t-0.57
p0.72
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.56
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.85
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.56
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.86
Sortino ratio-0.48
Upside Potential Ratio2.12
Upside part of mean15.04
Downside part of mean-18.49
Upside SD6.64
Downside SD7.11
N nonnegative terms300
N negative terms389
N of observations689
Mean of predictor0.52
Mean of criterion-3.45
SD of predictor0.38
SD of criterion9.73
Covariance0.36
r0.10
b (slope, estimate of beta)2.48
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-4.75
Mean Square Error93.97
DF error687
t(b)2.57
p(b)0.01
t(a)-0.79
p(a)0.79
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.58
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta4.38
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-16.53
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha7.03
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.39
Jensen alpha (a)-4.75
VaR(95%)0.63
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.71
VaR(95%)0.10
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.21
Mean6392.12
SD3242.38
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.97
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.96
df130
t1.39
p0.44
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.81
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.75
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.82
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.74
Sortino ratio1821.61
Upside Potential Ratio1827.10
Upside part of mean6411.39
Downside part of mean-19.27
Upside SD3254.03
Downside SD3.51
N nonnegative terms22
N negative terms109
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.11
Mean of criterion6392.12
SD of predictor0.51
SD of criterion3242.38
Covariance99.12
r0.06
b (slope, estimate of beta)378.13
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)5973.11
Mean Square Error10556771
DF error129
t(b)0.68
p(b)0.46
t(a)1.29
p(a)0.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-723.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1479.32
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-3199.64
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha15145.85
Treynor index (mean / b)16.90
Jensen alpha (a)5973.11
Mean-18.22
SD21.96
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.83
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.83
df130
t-0.59
p0.53
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.60
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.95
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.60
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.95
Sortino ratio-1.13
Upside Potential Ratio2.42
Upside part of mean38.90
Downside part of mean-57.12
Upside SD14.87
Downside SD16.08
N nonnegative terms22
N negative terms109
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.97
Mean of criterion-18.22
SD of predictor0.52
SD of criterion21.96
Covariance0.64
r0.06
b (slope, estimate of beta)2.40
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-20.56
Mean Square Error484.28
DF error129
t(b)0.64
p(b)0.46
t(a)-0.66
p(a)0.54
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-5.01
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.63
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta9.81
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-82.56
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha41.43
Treynor index (mean / b)-7.59
Jensen alpha (a)-20.56
VaR(95%)0.90
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.94
VaR(95%)0.23
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.48

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations31
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.81
Median1
Quartile 31.21
Maximum1.68
Mean of quarter 10.52
Mean of quarter 20.92
Mean of quarter 31.12
Mean of quarter 41.40
Inter Quartile Range0.40
Number outliers low2
Percentage of outliers low0.06
Mean of outliers low0.06
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.07
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.45
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.60
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.26
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.52
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.65
Number of observations689
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.96
Median1
Quartile 31.04
Maximum1897
Mean of quarter 10.85
Mean of quarter 20.99
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 419.77
Inter Quartile Range0.08
Number outliers low43
Percentage of outliers low0.06
Mean of outliers low0.65
Number of outliers high42
Percentage of outliers high0.06
Mean of outliers high77.58
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.52
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.14
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.34
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.21
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.12
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.20
Number of observations131
Minimum0.00
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1897
Mean of quarter 10.71
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 498.14
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low23
Percentage of outliers low0.18
Mean of outliers low0.58
Number of outliers high22
Percentage of outliers high0.17
Mean of outliers high146.71
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-1.39
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.36
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.40

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations4
Minimum0.25
Quartile 10.32
Median0.45
Quartile 30.67
Maximum1.00
Mean of quarter 10.25
Mean of quarter 20.34
Mean of quarter 30.56
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0.35
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations23
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.02
Median0.07
Quartile 30.16
Maximum1.00
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.05
Mean of quarter 30.11
Mean of quarter 40.58
Inter Quartile Range0.14
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high4
Percentage of outliers high0.17
Mean of outliers high0.77
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-1.13
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.48
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.52
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.94
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.81
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.90
Number of observations2
Minimum0.24
Quartile 10.43
Median0.62
Quartile 30.81
Maximum1.00
Mean of quarter 10.24
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0.38
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-417793440
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)983
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.5%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.39
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.97
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.97
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.97
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-1.02
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.38
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.97
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.97
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-1.67
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-1.37
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-2.00
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-1
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-1.00
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-1.00
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-1.07

Trading record

Placed 195 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
EUR/JPY short60Feb 16, 2014Aug 21, 2025($128)
EUR/AUD short60Feb 16, 2014Aug 21, 2025($12,647)
AUD/CAD long60Feb 16, 2014Aug 21, 2025($4,361)
USD/CHF short30Feb 13, 2014Feb 16, 2014$74
USD/JPY short30Feb 13, 2014Feb 16, 2014$1
AUD/USD long20Feb 13, 2014Feb 14, 2014$15
USD/CHF short20Feb 13, 2014Feb 13, 2014$105
USD/CHF long80Feb 12, 2014Feb 13, 2014($268)
USD/JPY long20Feb 7, 2014Feb 12, 2014$0
GBP/CAD short60Feb 11, 2014Feb 12, 2014($153)
GBP/CAD long30Feb 10, 2014Feb 11, 2014($26)
USD/CAD long40Feb 10, 2014Feb 11, 2014($103)
AUD/USD short20Feb 9, 2014Feb 10, 2014($32)
GBP/CAD long20Feb 9, 2014Feb 10, 2014($42)
GBP/USD short20Feb 7, 2014Feb 7, 2014($123)
USD/JPY long40Feb 6, 2014Feb 7, 2014($1)
EUR/CAD long40Feb 6, 2014Feb 7, 2014($132)
EUR/USD short20Feb 6, 2014Feb 6, 2014($53)
EUR/USD short80Feb 5, 2014Feb 6, 2014($368)
EUR/GBP short30Feb 6, 2014Feb 6, 2014($54)
EUR/USD short60Feb 4, 2014Feb 5, 2014($268)
USD/CAD long30Feb 4, 2014Feb 5, 2014($39)
AUD/USD short30Feb 3, 2014Feb 3, 2014($121)
USD/CHF long20Feb 3, 2014Feb 3, 2014($88)
GBP/USD short30Feb 2, 2014Feb 3, 2014$234
USD/CAD long20Feb 2, 2014Feb 3, 2014($62)
USD/CHF long90Jan 30, 2014Jan 31, 2014$413
GBP/USD short30Jan 30, 2014Jan 31, 2014$189
AUD/USD short90Jan 31, 2014Jan 31, 2014($210)
AUD/USD short60Jan 29, 2014Jan 30, 2014($223)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.